Bid Check with my reno → — your rehab, stressed Bid $
Street locked · 07307 | $754,000 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Ask
$754,000
$481/sqft
Bid $
$567,785
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$186,215 over max bid · 25% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$89,424
$57/sqft
ARV
$729,175

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $567,785 · Ask $754,000

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft1568 sqft
ARV$729,175
List− $754,000
Rehab− $89,424
Gross profit$-114,249

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 07307

Street locked · 07307 · CONDOS $785,000 · 1552 sqft
Street locked · 07307 · SINGLE_FAMILY $745,000 · 1636 sqft
Street locked · 07307 · CONDOS $785,000 · 1731 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 3.83-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$15,080
Holding carry$29,611
All-in capital$888,115
Sell costs (6%)− $43,750
Net proceeds$685,424
Net profit $-92,165
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: $89,424

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $89,424
Kitchen — Full Replacement $48,000
Bathroom — Full Renovation $18,000
Interior Paint (1,568 sqft × $3.00) $4,704
Flooring — Hardwood Refinish (1,568 sqft × $4.50) $7,056
Contingency (15%) $11,664

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Declining

07307 (07307) signals softer conditions: margins ~0.9%, DOM ~45 days, avg price drops ~0.0. Tighten ARV and rehab assumptions.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
2/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
20/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
4
Baths
2.0
Sqft
1568
Zip
07307

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

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Same zip or nearby price band — Bid/Pass Tape rows

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