Bid Check with my reno → — your rehab, stressed Bid $
Street locked · 07307 | $699,000 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Ask
$699,000
$411/sqft
Bid $
$565,870
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$133,130 over max bid · 19% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$90,554
$53/sqft
ARV
$801,590

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $565,870 · Ask $699,000

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft1699 sqft
ARV$801,590
List− $699,000
Rehab− $90,554
Gross profit$12,036

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 07307

Street locked · 07307 · CONDOS $785,000 · 1731 sqft
Street locked · 07307 · CONDOS $1,140,000 · 1750 sqft
Street locked · 07307 · SINGLE_FAMILY $745,000 · 1636 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 3.6-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$13,980
Holding carry$26,055
All-in capital$829,589
Sell costs (6%)− $48,095
Net proceeds$753,495
Net profit $-36,629
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: $90,554

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $90,554
Kitchen — Full Replacement $48,000
Bathroom — Full Renovation $18,000
Interior Paint (1,699 sqft × $3.00) $5,097
Flooring — Hardwood Refinish (1,699 sqft × $4.50) $7,646
Contingency (15%) $11,811

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Declining

07307 (07307) signals softer conditions: margins ~0.9%, DOM ~45 days, avg price drops ~0.0. Tighten ARV and rehab assumptions.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
15/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
20/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
3
Baths
3.0
Sqft
1699
Zip
07307

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

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Same zip or nearby price band — Bid/Pass Tape rows

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