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Street locked · 08701 | $635,000 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Property photo 1 Property photo 2 Property photo 3 Property photo 4 Property photo 5
Ask
$635,000
$319/sqft
Bid $
$465,426
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$169,574 over max bid · 27% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$93,055
$47/sqft
ARV
$496,198

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

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Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $465,426 · Ask $635,000

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

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Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft1989 sqft
ARV$496,198
List− $635,000
Rehab− $93,055
Gross profit$-231,857

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 08701

Street locked · 08701 · SINGLE_FAMILY $1,200,000 · 1941 sqft
Street locked · 08701 · SINGLE_FAMILY $685,000 · 1902 sqft
Street locked · 08701 · SINGLE_FAMILY $560,000 · 1863 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 3.63-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$12,700
Holding carry$24,226
All-in capital$764,981
Sell costs (6%)− $29,772
Net proceeds$466,426
Net profit $-90,255
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: $93,055

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • ▸Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • ▸Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • ▸Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • ▸Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $93,055
Kitchen — Full Replacement $48,000
Bathroom — Full Renovation $18,000
Interior Paint (1,989 sqft × $3.00) $5,967
Flooring — Hardwood Refinish (1,989 sqft × $4.50) $8,950
Contingency (15%) $12,138

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Declining

08701 (08701) signals softer conditions: margins ~2.9%, DOM ~45 days, avg price drops ~0.0. Tighten ARV and rehab assumptions.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
3/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
20/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
2
Baths
2.0
Sqft
1989
Zip
08701

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

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