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Collierville, TN Flip MOS Underwriting Tape (38017)

FlipScout underwriting tape for Collierville, TN (38017) — 151 actives, 0 Verified / 32 Modeled. Absorption: Balanced absorption; sold_6m=186 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject % withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — sold liquidity and MOS remain the primary published signals.

Signal Narrative

Collierville, TN (38017) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=186 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 151 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 4.9 mo (Balanced absorption; velocity ≈ 31.0 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 0 Verified / 32 Modeled / 119 Unscored. Hard Reject % and Verified margins are withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — we do not invent ask-tape from Modeled comps. Directional Modeled ask margin median is +7.5% (n=32) — labeled Modeled, not Verified. Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.

Underwriting terminal

Neighborhood tape

As of 2026-07-28T06:09:13Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro

Quant Art

Neighborhood math

Sold liquidity + MOS primary · ask-tape pending Verified depth · 2026-07-28T06:09:13Z · daily snapshot

Absorption dial
4.9 MOS mo

MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 151 ÷ (186 ÷ 6) = 151 ÷ 31.0

Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12

Sold liquidity stripe
sold_6m 186 actives 151

monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 186 / 6 = 31.0 closings/mo

Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape

Ask-tape status

Verified ask sample too thin for Hard Reject % and Verified margin ladder (need ≥3 Verified-with-ARV). Verified actives: 0.

Modeled actives: 32 · Median Modeled ask margin: +7.5% (directional only — not Verified comps).

This Goldmine still underwrites via sold liquidity + MOS. Hard Reject rates publish when Verified-with-ARV depth clears n≥3.

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Underwriting method

Absorption / MOS

Balanced absorption

MOS 4.9 mo

sold_6m 186 · actives 151 · High confidence

186 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.

Total Listings

151

Verified 0 · Modeled 32 · Unscored 119

Median Modeled margin

7.5%

Directional Modeled ask tape · n=32 · not Verified comps

Rehab bands

Verified rehab $/sqft bands need deeper Verified sample.

Verified · condition tier $/sqft

Median Apex

N/A

Insufficient scored Apex sample (0-sentinel excluded)

Trajectory

Stable

Neighborhood enrichment signal

Honesty mix

0.0% Verified

Modeled 21.2% · Unscored 78.8%

List → ARV discount

—

Deep share — · n=—

Hold bleed pressure

—

Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro

Zero Verified actives — Hard Reject / margin tape withheld (Modeled-only).

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes

Active inventory

40 shown of 151 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $492,000 · mix V0/M40/U0

Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 38017. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.

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Open brief$539,0007.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$535,0007.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$525,0007.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$520,0007.5% M53Modeled

Collierville, TN · Modeled listing

Open brief$494,0007.5% M53Modeled

Collierville, TN · Modeled listing

Open brief$490,0007.5% M53Modeled

Collierville, TN · Modeled listing

Open brief$489,7007.5% M53Modeled

Collierville, TN · Modeled listing

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Collierville, TN · Modeled listing

Open brief$465,0007.5% M53Modeled

Collierville, TN · Modeled listing

Open brief$450,0007.5% M53Modeled

Collierville, TN · Modeled listing

Open brief$449,0007.5% M53Modeled

Collierville, TN · Modeled listing

Open brief$439,0007.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$429,0007.5% M53Modeled

Collierville, TN · Modeled listing

Open brief$420,0007.5% M53Modeled

Collierville, TN · Modeled listing

Open brief$405,0007.5% M53Modeled

Collierville, TN · Modeled listing

Open brief$389,9007.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$350,0007.5% M53Modeled

Collierville, TN · Modeled listing

Open brief$329,0007.5% M53Modeled

Collierville, TN · Modeled listing

Open brief$315,0007.5% M53Modeled

Collierville, TN · Modeled listing

Open brief$242,0007.5% M53Modeled

Collierville, TN · Modeled listing

Open brief$214,9007.5% M53Modeled

Collierville, TN · Modeled listing

Open brief$789,9007.3% M53Modeled

Collierville, TN · Modeled listing

Open brief$389,0006.5% M52Modeled

Collierville, TN · Modeled listing

Open brief$399,900——Modeled

Collierville, TN · Modeled listing

Open brief$590,000——Modeled

Collierville, TN · Modeled listing

Open brief$669,000——Modeled

Collierville, TN · Modeled listing

Open brief$605,975——Modeled

Collierville, TN · Modeled listing

Open brief$669,900——Modeled

Collierville, TN · Modeled listing

Open brief$375,000——Modeled

Collierville, TN · Modeled listing

Open brief$469,900——Modeled

Collierville, TN · Modeled listing

Open brief$524,900——Modeled

Collierville, TN · Modeled listing

Open brief

Verified Invest Deals

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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — actives are Modeled or unscored; honesty gate withholds the invest feed.

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