Bid Check with my reno → — your rehab, stressed Bid $
Street locked · 07306 | $489,000 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Property photo 1 Property photo 2 Property photo 3 Property photo 4 Property photo 5
Ask
$489,000
$554/sqft
Bid $
$348,623
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$140,377 over max bid · 29% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$83,507
$95/sqft
ARV
$378,204

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $348,623 · Ask $489,000

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

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Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft882 sqft
ARV$378,204
List− $489,000
Rehab− $83,507
Gross profit$-194,303

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 07306

Street locked · 07306 · CONDOS $410,000 · 830 sqft
Street locked · 07306 · CONDOS $419,000 · 974 sqft
Street locked · 07306 · CONDOS $299,000 · 751 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 3.84-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$9,780
Holding carry$20,152
All-in capital$602,439
Sell costs (6%)− $22,692
Net proceeds$355,512
Net profit $-79,484
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: $83,507

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • ▸Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • ▸Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • ▸Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • ▸Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $83,507
Kitchen — Full Replacement $48,000
Bathroom — Full Renovation $18,000
Interior Paint (882 sqft × $3.00) $2,646
Flooring — Hardwood Refinish (882 sqft × $4.50) $3,969
Contingency (15%) $10,892

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Declining

07306 (07306) signals softer conditions: margins ~1.6%, DOM ~45 days, avg price drops ~0.0. Tighten ARV and rehab assumptions.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
3/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
20/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
1
Baths
1.0
Sqft
882
Zip
07306

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

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