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Honolulu, HI Flip MOS Underwriting Tape (96816)

FlipScout underwriting tape for Honolulu, HI (96816) — 31 actives, 0 Verified / 10 Modeled. Absorption: Seller-leaning absorption; sold_6m=106 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject % withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — sold liquidity and MOS remain the primary published signals.

Signal Narrative

Honolulu, HI (96816) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=106 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 31 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 1.8 mo (Seller-leaning absorption; velocity ≈ 17.7 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 0 Verified / 10 Modeled / 21 Unscored. Hard Reject % and Verified margins are withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — we do not invent ask-tape from Modeled comps. Directional Modeled ask margin median is +4.8% (n=10) — labeled Modeled, not Verified. Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.

Underwriting terminal

Neighborhood tape

As of 2026-07-31T06:36:15Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro

Quant Art

Neighborhood math

Sold liquidity + MOS primary · ask-tape pending Verified depth · 2026-07-31T06:36:15Z · daily snapshot

Absorption dial
1.8 MOS mo

MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 31 ÷ (106 ÷ 6) = 31 ÷ 17.7

Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12

Sold liquidity stripe
sold_6m 106 actives 31

monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 106 / 6 = 17.7 closings/mo

Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape

Ask-tape status

Verified ask sample too thin for Hard Reject % and Verified margin ladder (need ≥3 Verified-with-ARV). Verified actives: 0.

Modeled actives: 10 · Median Modeled ask margin: +4.8% (directional only — not Verified comps).

This Goldmine still underwrites via sold liquidity + MOS. Hard Reject rates publish when Verified-with-ARV depth clears n≥3.

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Underwriting method

Absorption / MOS

Seller-leaning absorption

MOS 1.8 mo

sold_6m 106 · actives 31 · High confidence

106 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.

Total Listings

31

Verified 0 · Modeled 10 · Unscored 21

Median Modeled margin

4.8%

Directional Modeled ask tape · n=10 · not Verified comps

Rehab bands

Verified rehab $/sqft bands need deeper Verified sample.

Verified · condition tier $/sqft

Median Apex

N/A

Insufficient scored Apex sample (0-sentinel excluded)

Trajectory

Stable

Neighborhood enrichment signal

Honesty mix

0.0% Verified

Modeled 32.3% · Unscored 67.7%

List → ARV discount

—

Deep share — · n=—

Hold bleed pressure

—

Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro

Zero Verified actives — Hard Reject / margin tape withheld (Modeled-only).

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes

Active inventory

31 shown of 31 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $599,000 · mix V0/M31/U0

Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 96816. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.

Browse all in Houses →
PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$530,0007.5% M53Modeled

Honolulu, HI · Modeled listing

Open brief$509,0007.5% M53Modeled

Honolulu, HI · Modeled listing

Open brief$499,0007.5% M53Modeled

Honolulu, HI · Modeled listing

Open brief$495,0007.5% M53Modeled

Honolulu, HI · Modeled listing

Open brief$378,0007.5% M53Modeled

Honolulu, HI · Modeled listing

Open brief$599,0002.1% M49Modeled

Honolulu, HI · Modeled listing

Open brief$620,0001.9% M49Modeled

Honolulu, HI · Modeled listing

Open brief$625,0001.8% M49Modeled

Honolulu, HI · Modeled listing

Open brief$749,0000.8% M48Modeled

Honolulu, HI · Modeled listing

Open brief$755,0000.8% M48Modeled

Honolulu, HI · Modeled listing

Open brief$775,000——Modeled

Honolulu, HI · Modeled listing

Open brief$525,000——Modeled

Honolulu, HI · Modeled listing

Open brief$650,000——Modeled

Honolulu, HI · Modeled listing

Open brief$680,000——Modeled

Honolulu, HI · Modeled listing

Open brief$540,000——Modeled

Honolulu, HI · Modeled listing

Open brief$628,000——Modeled

Honolulu, HI · Modeled listing

Open brief$675,000——Modeled

Honolulu, HI · Modeled listing

Open brief$609,000——Modeled

Honolulu, HI · Modeled listing

Open brief$735,000——Modeled

Honolulu, HI · Modeled listing

Open brief$799,000——Modeled

Honolulu, HI · Modeled listing

Open brief$508,000——Modeled

Honolulu, HI · Modeled listing

Open brief$630,000——Modeled

Honolulu, HI · Modeled listing

Open brief$275,000——Modeled

Honolulu, HI · Modeled listing

Open brief$405,000——Modeled

Honolulu, HI · Modeled listing

Open brief$80,000——Modeled

Honolulu, HI · Modeled listing

Open brief$549,900——Modeled

Honolulu, HI · Modeled listing

Open brief$315,000——Modeled

Honolulu, HI · Modeled listing

Open brief$635,000——Modeled

Honolulu, HI · Modeled listing

Open brief$515,000——Modeled

Honolulu, HI · Modeled listing

Open brief$600,000——Modeled

Honolulu, HI · Modeled listing

Open brief$499,000——Modeled

Honolulu, HI · Modeled listing

Open brief

Verified Invest Deals

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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — actives are Modeled or unscored; honesty gate withholds the invest feed.

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