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Dundalk, MD Flip MOS Underwriting Tape (21222)

FlipScout underwriting tape for Dundalk, MD (21222) — 175 actives, 0 Verified / 38 Modeled. Absorption: Balanced absorption; sold_6m=186 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject % withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — sold liquidity and MOS remain the primary published signals.

Signal Narrative

Dundalk, MD (21222) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=186 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 175 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 5.6 mo (Balanced absorption; velocity ≈ 31.0 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 0 Verified / 38 Modeled / 137 Unscored. Hard Reject % and Verified margins are withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — we do not invent ask-tape from Modeled comps. Directional Modeled ask margin median is +7.5% (n=38) — labeled Modeled, not Verified. Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.

Underwriting terminal

Neighborhood tape

As of 2026-07-28T06:08:59Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro

Quant Art

Neighborhood math

Sold liquidity + MOS primary · ask-tape pending Verified depth · 2026-07-28T06:08:59Z · daily snapshot

Absorption dial
5.6 MOS mo

MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 175 ÷ (186 ÷ 6) = 175 ÷ 31.0

Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12

Sold liquidity stripe
sold_6m 186 actives 175

monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 186 / 6 = 31.0 closings/mo

Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape

Ask-tape status

Verified ask sample too thin for Hard Reject % and Verified margin ladder (need ≥3 Verified-with-ARV). Verified actives: 0.

Modeled actives: 38 · Median Modeled ask margin: +7.5% (directional only — not Verified comps).

This Goldmine still underwrites via sold liquidity + MOS. Hard Reject rates publish when Verified-with-ARV depth clears n≥3.

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Underwriting method

Absorption / MOS

Balanced absorption

MOS 5.6 mo

sold_6m 186 · actives 175 · High confidence

186 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.

Total Listings

175

Verified 0 · Modeled 38 · Unscored 137

Median Modeled margin

7.5%

Directional Modeled ask tape · n=38 · not Verified comps

Rehab bands

Verified rehab $/sqft bands need deeper Verified sample.

Verified · condition tier $/sqft

Median Apex

N/A

Insufficient scored Apex sample (0-sentinel excluded)

Trajectory

Stable

Neighborhood enrichment signal

Honesty mix

0.0% Verified

Modeled 21.7% · Unscored 78.3%

List → ARV discount

—

Deep share — · n=—

Hold bleed pressure

—

Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro

Zero Verified actives — Hard Reject / margin tape withheld (Modeled-only).

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes

Active inventory

40 shown of 175 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $269,650 · mix V0/M40/U0

Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 21222. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.

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PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$700,0007.5% M53Modeled

Dundalk, MD · Modeled listing

Open brief$474,9907.5% M53Modeled

Dundalk, MD · Modeled listing

Open brief$462,9907.5% M53Modeled

Dundalk, MD · Modeled listing

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Dundalk, MD · Modeled listing

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Dundalk, MD · Modeled listing

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Dundalk, MD · Modeled listing

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Dundalk, MD · Modeled listing

Open brief$365,0007.5% M53Modeled

Dundalk, MD · Modeled listing

Open brief$359,0007.5% M53Modeled

Dundalk, MD · Modeled listing

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Dundalk, MD · Modeled listing

Open brief$339,9907.5% M53Modeled

Dundalk, MD · Modeled listing

Open brief$335,0007.5% M53Modeled

Dundalk, MD · Modeled listing

Open brief$324,9007.5% M53Modeled

Dundalk, MD · Modeled listing

Open brief$319,9007.5% M53Modeled

Dundalk, MD · Modeled listing

Open brief$315,0007.5% M53Modeled

Dundalk, MD · Modeled listing

Open brief$299,9007.5% M53Modeled

Dundalk, MD · Modeled listing

Open brief$279,4007.5% M53Modeled

Dundalk, MD · Modeled listing

Open brief$259,9007.5% M53Modeled

Dundalk, MD · Modeled listing

Open brief$259,9007.5% M53Modeled

Dundalk, MD · Modeled listing

Open brief$255,0007.5% M53Modeled

Dundalk, MD · Modeled listing

Open brief$249,9007.5% M53Modeled

Dundalk, MD · Modeled listing

Open brief$249,9007.5% M53Modeled

Dundalk, MD · Modeled listing

Open brief$244,9007.5% M53Modeled

Dundalk, MD · Modeled listing

Open brief$239,9007.5% M53Modeled

Dundalk, MD · Modeled listing

Open brief$229,9007.5% M53Modeled

Dundalk, MD · Modeled listing

Open brief$220,0007.5% M53Modeled

Dundalk, MD · Modeled listing

Open brief$219,9997.5% M53Modeled

Dundalk, MD · Modeled listing

Open brief$219,0007.5% M53Modeled

Dundalk, MD · Modeled listing

Open brief$214,9007.5% M53Modeled

Dundalk, MD · Modeled listing

Open brief$210,0007.5% M53Modeled

Dundalk, MD · Modeled listing

Open brief$209,9007.5% M53Modeled

Dundalk, MD · Modeled listing

Open brief$199,9007.5% M53Modeled

Dundalk, MD · Modeled listing

Open brief$199,9007.5% M53Modeled

Dundalk, MD · Modeled listing

Open brief$150,0007.5% M53Modeled

Dundalk, MD · Modeled listing

Open brief$150,0007.5% M53Modeled

Dundalk, MD · Modeled listing

Open brief$140,0007.5% M53Modeled

Dundalk, MD · Modeled listing

Open brief$105,000——Modeled

Dundalk, MD · Modeled listing

Open brief$335,000——Modeled

Dundalk, MD · Modeled listing

Open brief

Verified Invest Deals

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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — actives are Modeled or unscored; honesty gate withholds the invest feed.

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