Absorption / MOS
Market frozen / inventory backpressure
MOS 39.1 mo
sold_6m 29 · actives 189 · High confidence
29 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.
Free: Hard Reject rates, MOS, Verified/Modeled mix. Pro $15/mo: street addresses + MAO $. Methodology
FlipScout Dealpedia
Houston, TX Flip MOS Underwriting Tape (77083)
FlipScout underwriting tape for Houston, TX (77083) — 189 actives, 0 Verified / 39 Modeled. Absorption: Market frozen / inventory backpressure; sold_6m=29 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject % withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — sold liquidity and MOS remain the primary published signals.
Signal Narrative
Houston, TX (77083) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=29 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 189 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 39.1 mo (Market frozen / inventory backpressure; velocity ≈ 4.8 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 0 Verified / 39 Modeled / 150 Unscored. Hard Reject % and Verified margins are withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — we do not invent ask-tape from Modeled comps. Directional Modeled ask margin median is +7.5% (n=39) — labeled Modeled, not Verified. Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.
Underwriting terminal
Neighborhood tape
As of 2026-07-29T06:35:52Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro
Quant Art
Neighborhood math
Sold liquidity + MOS primary · ask-tape pending Verified depth · 2026-07-29T06:35:52Z · daily snapshot
MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 189 ÷ (29 ÷ 6) = 189 ÷ 4.8
Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12
monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 29 / 6 = 4.8 closings/mo
Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape
Verified ask sample too thin for Hard Reject % and Verified margin ladder (need ≥3 Verified-with-ARV). Verified actives: 0.
Modeled actives: 39 · Median Modeled ask margin: +7.5% (directional only — not Verified comps).
This Goldmine still underwrites via sold liquidity + MOS. Hard Reject rates publish when Verified-with-ARV depth clears n≥3.
Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Underwriting method
Total Listings
189
Verified 0 · Modeled 39 · Unscored 150
Median Modeled margin
7.5%
Directional Modeled ask tape · n=39 · not Verified comps
Hard Reject at ask
Pending
Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate
Need ≥3 Verified-with-ARV (have 0 Verified). We never invent Hard Reject from Modeled comps.
Rehab bands
Verified rehab $/sqft bands need deeper Verified sample.
Verified · condition tier $/sqft
Median Apex
N/A
Insufficient scored Apex sample (0-sentinel excluded)
Trajectory
Stable
Neighborhood enrichment signal
Honesty mix
0.0% Verified
Modeled 20.6% · Unscored 79.4%
List → ARV discount
—
Deep share — · n=—
Hold bleed pressure
—
Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro
Zero Verified actives — Hard Reject / margin tape withheld (Modeled-only).
Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes
Active inventory
40 shown of 189 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $304,995 · mix V0/M40/U0
Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 77083. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.
PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$439,7867.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$415,9007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
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$403,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
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$379,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
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$378,1007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
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$361,1907.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
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$352,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
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$349,9007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
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$345,7007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
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$339,9007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
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$336,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
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$336,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
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$330,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
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$325,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
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$319,9007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
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$318,9007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$313,7807.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
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$310,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
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$299,9907.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
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$297,5007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
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$295,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
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$289,9007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
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$283,9007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
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$282,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
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$280,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
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$279,9007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
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$279,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
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$275,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
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$265,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
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$259,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
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$250,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
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$249,9007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
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$240,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
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$219,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
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$215,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
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$213,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$210,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
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$210,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
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$380,0006.5% M52ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
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$315,000——ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — actives are Modeled or unscored; honesty gate withholds the invest feed.
US Goldmine Atlas
Sold-density underwriting terminals nationwide. Browse all Goldmines · Absorption regimes · Fix & flip underwriting · Methodology · Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Markets hub · Texas Goldmines