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FlipScout Dealpedia

Austin, TX Flip MOS Underwriting Tape (78749)

FlipScout underwriting tape for Austin, TX (78749) — 112 actives, 0 Verified / 37 Modeled. Absorption: Market frozen / inventory backpressure; sold_6m=14 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject % withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — sold liquidity and MOS remain the primary published signals.

Signal Narrative

Austin, TX (78749) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=14 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 112 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 48.0 mo (Market frozen / inventory backpressure; velocity ≈ 2.3 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 0 Verified / 37 Modeled / 75 Unscored. Hard Reject % and Verified margins are withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — we do not invent ask-tape from Modeled comps. Directional Modeled ask margin median is +7.5% (n=37) — labeled Modeled, not Verified. Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.

Underwriting terminal

Neighborhood tape

As of 2026-07-29T06:38:37Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro

Quant Art

Neighborhood math

Sold liquidity + MOS primary · ask-tape pending Verified depth · 2026-07-29T06:38:37Z · daily snapshot

Absorption dial
48.0 MOS mo

MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 112 ÷ (14 ÷ 6) = 112 ÷ 2.3

Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12

Sold liquidity stripe
sold_6m 14 actives 112

monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 14 / 6 = 2.3 closings/mo

Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape

Ask-tape status

Verified ask sample too thin for Hard Reject % and Verified margin ladder (need ≥3 Verified-with-ARV). Verified actives: 0.

Modeled actives: 37 · Median Modeled ask margin: +7.5% (directional only — not Verified comps).

This Goldmine still underwrites via sold liquidity + MOS. Hard Reject rates publish when Verified-with-ARV depth clears n≥3.

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Underwriting method

Absorption / MOS

Market frozen / inventory backpressure

MOS 48.0 mo

sold_6m 14 · actives 112 · High confidence

14 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.

Total Listings

112

Verified 0 · Modeled 37 · Unscored 75

Median Modeled margin

7.5%

Directional Modeled ask tape · n=37 · not Verified comps

Rehab bands

Verified rehab $/sqft bands need deeper Verified sample.

Verified · condition tier $/sqft

Median Apex

N/A

Insufficient scored Apex sample (0-sentinel excluded)

Trajectory

Stable

Neighborhood enrichment signal

Honesty mix

0.0% Verified

Modeled 33.0% · Unscored 67.0%

List → ARV discount

—

Deep share — · n=—

Hold bleed pressure

—

Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro

Zero Verified actives — Hard Reject / margin tape withheld (Modeled-only).

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes

Active inventory

40 shown of 112 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $527,450 · mix V0/M40/U0

Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 78749. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.

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Open brief$479,0007.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$475,0007.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$464,9007.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$399,9997.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$695,0007.4% M53Modeled

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Open brief$619,0007.3% M53Modeled

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Open brief$595,0007.3% M53Modeled

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Open brief$665,0001.9% M49Modeled

Austin, TX · Modeled listing

Open brief$715,0001.4% M48Modeled

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Open brief$469,000——Modeled

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Open brief$615,000——Modeled

Austin, TX · Modeled listing

Open brief$423,700——Modeled

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Open brief

Verified Invest Deals

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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — actives are Modeled or unscored; honesty gate withholds the invest feed.

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