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FlipScout Dealpedia

Vista, CA Flip MOS Underwriting Tape (92084)

FlipScout underwriting tape for Vista, CA (92084) — 27 actives, 0 Verified / 10 Modeled. Absorption: Seller-leaning absorption; sold_6m=152 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject % withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — sold liquidity and MOS remain the primary published signals.

Signal Narrative

Vista, CA (92084) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=152 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 27 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 1.1 mo (Seller-leaning absorption; velocity ≈ 25.3 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 0 Verified / 10 Modeled / 17 Unscored. Hard Reject % and Verified margins are withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — we do not invent ask-tape from Modeled comps. Directional Modeled ask margin median is +4.6% (n=10) — labeled Modeled, not Verified. Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.

Underwriting terminal

Neighborhood tape

As of 2026-07-28T06:17:14Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro

Quant Art

Neighborhood math

Sold liquidity + MOS primary · ask-tape pending Verified depth · 2026-07-28T06:17:14Z · daily snapshot

Absorption dial
1.1 MOS mo

MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 27 ÷ (152 ÷ 6) = 27 ÷ 25.3

Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12

Sold liquidity stripe
sold_6m 152 actives 27

monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 152 / 6 = 25.3 closings/mo

Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape

Ask-tape status

Verified ask sample too thin for Hard Reject % and Verified margin ladder (need ≥3 Verified-with-ARV). Verified actives: 0.

Modeled actives: 10 · Median Modeled ask margin: +4.6% (directional only — not Verified comps).

This Goldmine still underwrites via sold liquidity + MOS. Hard Reject rates publish when Verified-with-ARV depth clears n≥3.

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Underwriting method

Absorption / MOS

Seller-leaning absorption

MOS 1.1 mo

sold_6m 152 · actives 27 · High confidence

152 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.

Total Listings

27

Verified 0 · Modeled 10 · Unscored 17

Median Modeled margin

4.6%

Directional Modeled ask tape · n=10 · not Verified comps

Rehab bands

Verified rehab $/sqft bands need deeper Verified sample.

Verified · condition tier $/sqft

Median Apex

N/A

Insufficient scored Apex sample (0-sentinel excluded)

Trajectory

Stable

Neighborhood enrichment signal

Honesty mix

0.0% Verified

Modeled 37.0% · Unscored 63.0%

List → ARV discount

Deep share — · n=—

Hold bleed pressure

Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro

Zero Verified actives — Hard Reject / margin tape withheld (Modeled-only).

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes

Active inventory

27 shown of 27 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $639,000 · mix V0/M27/U0

Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 92084. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.

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$529,0007.5% M53Modeled

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$639,0001.7% M49Modeled

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$719,0001.0% M48Modeled

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$775,0000.6% M48Modeled

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$660,000Modeled

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$499,000Modeled

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$729,000Modeled

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$649,000Modeled

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$759,900Modeled

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$559,900Modeled

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$599,900Modeled

Vista, CA · Modeled listing

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Verified Invest Deals

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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — actives are Modeled or unscored; honesty gate withholds the invest feed.

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