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Tampa, FL Flip MOS Underwriting Tape (33607)

FlipScout underwriting tape for Tampa, FL (33607) — 106 actives, 1 Verified / 36 Modeled. Absorption: Seller-leaning absorption; sold_6m=163 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject % withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — sold liquidity and MOS remain the primary published signals.

Signal Narrative

Tampa, FL (33607) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=163 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 106 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 3.9 mo (Seller-leaning absorption; velocity ≈ 27.2 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 1 Verified / 36 Modeled / 69 Unscored. Hard Reject % and Verified margins are withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — we do not invent ask-tape from Modeled comps. Directional Modeled ask margin median is +7.5% (n=36) — labeled Modeled, not Verified. Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.

Underwriting terminal

Neighborhood tape

As of 2026-07-28T06:16:39Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro

Quant Art

Neighborhood math

Sold liquidity + MOS primary · ask-tape pending Verified depth · 2026-07-28T06:16:39Z · daily snapshot

Absorption dial
3.9 MOS mo

MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 106 ÷ (163 ÷ 6) = 106 ÷ 27.2

Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12

Sold liquidity stripe
sold_6m 163 actives 106

monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 163 / 6 = 27.2 closings/mo

Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape

Ask-tape status

Verified ask sample too thin for Hard Reject % and Verified margin ladder (need ≥3 Verified-with-ARV). Verified actives: 1.

Modeled actives: 36 · Median Modeled ask margin: +7.5% (directional only — not Verified comps).

This Goldmine still underwrites via sold liquidity + MOS. Hard Reject rates publish when Verified-with-ARV depth clears n≥3.

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Underwriting method

Absorption / MOS

Seller-leaning absorption

MOS 3.9 mo

sold_6m 163 · actives 106 · High confidence

163 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.

Total Listings

106

Verified 1 · Modeled 36 · Unscored 69

Median Modeled margin

7.5%

Directional Modeled ask tape · n=36 · not Verified comps

Rehab bands

Verified rehab $/sqft bands need deeper Verified sample.

Verified · condition tier $/sqft

Median Apex

N/A

Insufficient scored Apex sample (0-sentinel excluded)

Trajectory

Stable

Neighborhood enrichment signal

Honesty mix

0.9% Verified

Modeled 34.0% · Unscored 65.1%

List → ARV discount

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Deep share — · n=—

Hold bleed pressure

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Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro

Only 1 Verified listings with ARV (need ≥3) — Hard Reject rate withheld. · Apex Score withheld — only 1 meaningfully-scored Verified listings (need ≥3); UI shows N/A, never a fake 0.0. · Condo/SFR split withheld — need ≥8 Verified per class.

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes

Active inventory

40 shown of 106 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $450,000 · mix V1/M39/U0

Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 33607. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.

Browse all in Houses →
PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$465,0006.0% V52Verified

Tampa, FL · Verified listing

Open brief$770,0007.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$699,9997.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$650,0007.5% M53Modeled

Tampa, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$612,6007.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$550,0007.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$515,0007.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$489,9907.5% M53Modeled

Tampa, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$474,9007.5% M53Modeled

Tampa, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$470,0007.5% M53Modeled

Tampa, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$469,9007.5% M53Modeled

Tampa, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$465,0007.5% M53Modeled

Tampa, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$450,0007.5% M53Modeled

Tampa, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$450,0007.5% M53Modeled

Tampa, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$450,0007.5% M53Modeled

Tampa, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$449,9997.5% M53Modeled

Tampa, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$429,0007.5% M53Modeled

Tampa, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$399,9507.5% M53Modeled

Tampa, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$399,0007.5% M53Modeled

Tampa, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$389,9007.5% M53Modeled

Tampa, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$355,0007.5% M53Modeled

Tampa, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$349,9997.5% M53Modeled

Tampa, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$335,0007.5% M53Modeled

Tampa, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$299,0007.5% M53Modeled

Tampa, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$289,0007.5% M53Modeled

Tampa, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$285,0007.5% M53Modeled

Tampa, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$279,0007.5% M53Modeled

Tampa, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$260,0007.5% M53Modeled

Tampa, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$244,9007.5% M53Modeled

Tampa, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$219,9007.5% M53Modeled

Tampa, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$214,9007.5% M53Modeled

Tampa, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$195,9007.5% M53Modeled

Tampa, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$669,9007.3% M53Modeled

Tampa, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$625,0001.9% M49Modeled

Tampa, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$634,9001.8% M49Modeled

Tampa, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$689,9001.7% M49Modeled

Tampa, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$700,0001.6% M49Modeled

Tampa, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$645,000——Modeled

Tampa, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$424,900——Modeled

Tampa, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$480,000——Modeled

Tampa, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief

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PriceMarginApexAddress
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