Free: Hard Reject rates, MOS, Verified/Modeled mix. Pro $15/mo: street addresses + MAO $. Methodology

FlipScout Dealpedia

Jacksonville, FL Hard Reject Underwriting Tape (32246)

FlipScout underwriting tape for Jacksonville, FL (32246) — 205 actives, 8 Verified / 23 Modeled. Absorption: Elevated supply / slow absorption; sold_6m=192 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject rate 100.0% on Verified w/ ARV (QDA defaults — Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy on Bid Tape; Bid $ free).

Signal Narrative

Jacksonville, FL (32246) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=192 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 205 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 6.4 mo (Elevated supply / slow absorption; velocity ≈ 32.0 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 8 Verified / 23 Modeled / 174 Unscored. Hard Reject at ask 100.0% on Verified-with-ARV (QDA defaults — rates only on free hubs). Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.

Underwriting terminal

Neighborhood tape

As of 2026-07-28T06:01:52Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro

Quant Art

Neighborhood math

Backed by FlipScout solds + Verified ask tape · 2026-07-28T06:01:52Z · daily snapshot

Absorption dial
6.4 MOS mo

MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 205 ÷ (192 ÷ 6) = 205 ÷ 32.0

Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12

Sold liquidity stripe
sold_6m 192 actives 205

monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 192 / 6 = 32.0 closings/mo

Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape

Margin quantile ladder
0% p25 -50.2%med -37.0%p75 -16.0%

gross_margin% = (ARV − list − rehab) / list · Verified actives @ ask

Universe: Verified ask tape · n=8 · not sold-comp ROI

Hard Reject ring
100% at ask

HardReject% = list_above_mao / Verified_w_ARV = 8 / 8

QDA defaults: 12% required net · 4-mo carry · 2% slip · Bid $ free on tape

Absorption / MOS

Elevated supply / slow absorption

MOS 6.4 mo

sold_6m 192 · actives 205 · High confidence

192 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.

Total Listings

205

Verified 8 · Modeled 23 · Unscored 174

Median Verified margin

-36.95%

p25 -50.16% · p75 -16.0% · n=8

Hard Reject at ask

100.0%

Strong 0.0% · Pass 0.0%

Share where list exceeds FlipScout MAO at QDA defaults (12% required net / 4-mo carry / 2% slip). Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy at ask on Bid Tape; Bid $ free on sheets.

Rehab bands

T2$55.06/sqft · n=8

Verified · condition tier $/sqft

Median Apex

52.85

Hot 0.0% · n=8

Trajectory

Stable

Neighborhood enrichment signal

Honesty mix

3.9% Verified

Modeled 11.2% · Unscored 84.9%

List → ARV discount

-5.6%

Deep share 0.0% · n=8

Hold bleed pressure

$100–$150/day

Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro

Condo/SFR split withheld — need ≥8 Verified per class.

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes

Active inventory

40 shown of 205 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $333,950 · mix V8/M32/U0

Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 32246. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.

Browse all in Houses →
PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$209,00015.4% V58Verified

Jacksonville, FL · Verified listing

Open brief$299,9909.1% V54Verified

Jacksonville, FL · Verified listing

Open brief$310,0008.9% V54Verified

Jacksonville, FL · Verified listing

Open brief$354,9007.8% V53Verified

Jacksonville, FL · Verified listing

Open brief$354,9007.6% V53Verified

Jacksonville, FL · Verified listing

Open brief$415,0006.3% V52Verified

Jacksonville, FL · Verified listing

Open brief$435,0005.5% V51Verified

Jacksonville, FL · Verified listing

Open brief$500,0004.6% V51Verified

Jacksonville, FL · Verified listing

Open brief$759,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$545,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$478,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$450,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$455,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$440,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$434,8007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$419,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$375,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$363,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$342,9007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$344,9007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$325,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$323,9007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$315,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$299,9997.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$290,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$258,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$239,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$204,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$189,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$170,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$319,9006.5% M52Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$355,000——Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$211,000——Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$299,900——Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$199,900——Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$530,000——Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$499,000——Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$224,900——Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$209,000——Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$249,900——Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief

Verified Invest Deals

0 tracked · Sign up to unlock street + deal science

PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — 100% of Verified actives with ARV screen Hard Reject at ask under FlipScout QDA defaults.

US Goldmine Atlas

Sold-density underwriting terminals nationwide. Browse all Goldmines · Absorption regimes · Fix & flip underwriting · Methodology · Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Markets hub · Florida Goldmines

Unlock the Terminal