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Jacksonville, FL Hard Reject Underwriting Tape (32218)

FlipScout underwriting tape for Jacksonville, FL (32218) — 331 actives, 5 Verified / 31 Modeled. Absorption: Elevated supply / slow absorption; sold_6m=186 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject rate 100.0% on Verified w/ ARV (QDA defaults — Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy on Bid Tape; Bid $ free).

Signal Narrative

Jacksonville, FL (32218) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=186 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 331 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 10.7 mo (Elevated supply / slow absorption; velocity ≈ 31.0 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 5 Verified / 31 Modeled / 295 Unscored. Hard Reject at ask 100.0% on Verified-with-ARV (QDA defaults — rates only on free hubs). Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.

Underwriting terminal

Neighborhood tape

As of 2026-07-30T06:09:41Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro

Quant Art

Neighborhood math

Backed by FlipScout solds + Verified ask tape · 2026-07-30T06:09:41Z · daily snapshot

Absorption dial
10.7 MOS mo

MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 331 ÷ (186 ÷ 6) = 331 ÷ 31.0

Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12

Sold liquidity stripe
sold_6m 186 actives 331

monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 186 / 6 = 31.0 closings/mo

Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape

Margin quantile ladder
0% p25 -40.5%med -37.2%p75 -30.1%

gross_margin% = (ARV − list − rehab) / list · Verified actives @ ask

Universe: Verified ask tape · n=5 · not sold-comp ROI

Hard Reject ring
100% at ask

HardReject% = list_above_mao / Verified_w_ARV = 5 / 5

QDA defaults: 12% required net · 4-mo carry · 2% slip · Bid $ free on tape

Absorption / MOS

Elevated supply / slow absorption

MOS 10.7 mo

sold_6m 186 · actives 331 · High confidence

186 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.

Total Listings

331

Verified 5 · Modeled 31 · Unscored 295

Median Verified margin

-37.18%

p25 -40.51% · p75 -30.11% · n=5

Hard Reject at ask

100.0%

Strong 0.0% · Pass 0.0%

Share where list exceeds FlipScout MAO at QDA defaults (12% required net / 4-mo carry / 2% slip). Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy at ask on Bid Tape; Bid $ free on sheets.

Rehab bands

T2$44.66/sqft · n=5

Verified · condition tier $/sqft

Median Apex

53.1

Hot 0.0% · n=5

Trajectory

Stable

Neighborhood enrichment signal

Honesty mix

1.5% Verified

Modeled 9.4% · Unscored 89.1%

List → ARV discount

-7.89%

Deep share 0.0% · n=5

Hold bleed pressure

$100–$150/day

Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro

Condo/SFR split withheld — need ≥8 Verified per class.

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes

Active inventory

40 shown of 331 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $349,350 · mix V5/M35/U0

Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 32218. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.

Browse all in Houses →
PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$265,90011.8% V56Verified

Jacksonville, FL · Verified listing

Open brief$355,0008.3% V53Verified

Jacksonville, FL · Verified listing

Open brief$360,0007.9% V53Verified

Jacksonville, FL · Verified listing

Open brief$394,3507.2% V52Verified

Jacksonville, FL · Verified listing

Open brief$402,9906.7% V52Verified

Jacksonville, FL · Verified listing

Open brief$730,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$510,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$485,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$449,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$427,9907.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$400,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$385,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$382,3507.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$380,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$374,8887.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$369,9907.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$361,4907.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$354,3507.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$344,3507.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$339,9007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$330,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$314,9007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$309,9007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$305,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$285,9407.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$260,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$255,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$254,9907.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$244,9907.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$235,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$229,9007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$234,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$199,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$189,9007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$175,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$159,9007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$304,000——Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$400,000——Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$354,900——Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$379,850——Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief

Verified Invest Deals

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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — 100% of Verified actives with ARV screen Hard Reject at ask under FlipScout QDA defaults.

US Goldmine Atlas

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