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Jacksonville, FL Hard Reject Underwriting Tape (32207)

FlipScout underwriting tape for Jacksonville, FL (32207) — 160 actives, 5 Verified / 27 Modeled. Absorption: Balanced absorption; sold_6m=181 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject rate 100.0% on Verified w/ ARV (QDA defaults — Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy on Bid Tape; Bid $ free).

Signal Narrative

Jacksonville, FL (32207) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=181 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 160 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 5.3 mo (Balanced absorption; velocity ≈ 30.2 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 5 Verified / 27 Modeled / 128 Unscored. Hard Reject at ask 100.0% on Verified-with-ARV (QDA defaults — rates only on free hubs). Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.

Underwriting terminal

Neighborhood tape

As of 2026-07-30T06:20:40Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro

Quant Art

Neighborhood math

Backed by FlipScout solds + Verified ask tape · 2026-07-30T06:20:40Z · daily snapshot

Absorption dial
5.3 MOS mo

MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 160 ÷ (181 ÷ 6) = 160 ÷ 30.2

Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12

Sold liquidity stripe
sold_6m 181 actives 160

monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 181 / 6 = 30.2 closings/mo

Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape

Margin quantile ladder
0% p25 -52.0%med -11.7%p75 -7.8%

gross_margin% = (ARV − list − rehab) / list · Verified actives @ ask

Universe: Verified ask tape · n=5 · not sold-comp ROI

Hard Reject ring
100% at ask

HardReject% = list_above_mao / Verified_w_ARV = 5 / 5

QDA defaults: 12% required net · 4-mo carry · 2% slip · Bid $ free on tape

Absorption / MOS

Balanced absorption

MOS 5.3 mo

sold_6m 181 · actives 160 · High confidence

181 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.

Total Listings

160

Verified 5 · Modeled 27 · Unscored 128

Median Verified margin

-11.65%

p25 -51.95% · p75 -7.8% · n=5

Hard Reject at ask

100.0%

Strong 0.0% · Pass 0.0%

Share where list exceeds FlipScout MAO at QDA defaults (12% required net / 4-mo carry / 2% slip). Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy at ask on Bid Tape; Bid $ free on sheets.

Rehab bands

T2$56.6/sqft · n=5

Verified · condition tier $/sqft

Median Apex

55.0

Hot 0.0% · n=5

Trajectory

Stable

Neighborhood enrichment signal

Honesty mix

3.1% Verified

Modeled 16.9% · Unscored 80.0%

List → ARV discount

19.4%

Deep share 20.0% · n=5

Hold bleed pressure

$50–$100/day

Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro

Condo/SFR split withheld — need ≥8 Verified per class.

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes

Active inventory

40 shown of 160 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $312,500 · mix V5/M35/U0

Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 32207. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.

Browse all in Houses →
PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$130,00028.0% V67VerifiedHigh margin

Jacksonville, FL · Verified listing

Open brief$255,00012.6% V56Verified

Jacksonville, FL · Verified listing

Open brief$290,00010.7% V55Verified

Jacksonville, FL · Verified listing

Open brief$520,0003.4% V50Verified

Jacksonville, FL · Verified listing

Open brief$589,9003.0% V50Verified

Jacksonville, FL · Verified listing

Open brief$599,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$517,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$434,9007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$409,9007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$400,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$350,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$339,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$335,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$290,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$274,9007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$269,9907.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$250,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$250,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$250,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$245,3007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$241,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$239,9007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$225,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$200,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$179,9007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$159,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$105,0007.5% M53Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$599,0002.1% M49Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$799,0001.8% M49Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$777,0001.6% M49Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$792,0001.2% M48Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$765,0000.6% M48Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$369,900——Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$195,000——Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$94,999——Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$196,000——Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$600,000——Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$499,900——Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$495,000——Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$349,900——Modeled

Jacksonville, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief

Verified Invest Deals

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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — 100% of Verified actives with ARV screen Hard Reject at ask under FlipScout QDA defaults.

US Goldmine Atlas

Sold-density underwriting terminals nationwide. Browse all Goldmines · Absorption regimes · Fix & flip underwriting · Methodology · Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Markets hub · Florida Goldmines

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