Absorption / MOS
Market frozen / inventory backpressure
MOS 15.0 mo
sold_6m 12 · actives 30 · High confidence
12 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.
Free: Hard Reject rates, MOS, Verified/Modeled mix. Pro $15/mo: street addresses + MAO $. Methodology
FlipScout Dealpedia
Houston, TX Flip MOS Underwriting Tape (77081)
FlipScout underwriting tape for Houston, TX (77081) — 30 actives, 0 Verified / 29 Modeled. Absorption: Market frozen / inventory backpressure; sold_6m=12 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject % withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — sold liquidity and MOS remain the primary published signals.
Signal Narrative
Houston, TX (77081) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=12 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 30 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 15.0 mo (Market frozen / inventory backpressure; velocity ≈ 2.0 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 0 Verified / 29 Modeled / 1 Unscored. Hard Reject % and Verified margins are withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — we do not invent ask-tape from Modeled comps. Directional Modeled ask margin median is +7.5% (n=29) — labeled Modeled, not Verified. Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.
Underwriting terminal
Neighborhood tape
As of 2026-07-29T06:38:38Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro
Quant Art
Neighborhood math
Sold liquidity + MOS primary · ask-tape pending Verified depth · 2026-07-29T06:38:38Z · daily snapshot
MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 30 ÷ (12 ÷ 6) = 30 ÷ 2.0
Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12
monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 12 / 6 = 2.0 closings/mo
Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape
Verified ask sample too thin for Hard Reject % and Verified margin ladder (need ≥3 Verified-with-ARV). Verified actives: 0.
Modeled actives: 29 · Median Modeled ask margin: +7.5% (directional only — not Verified comps).
This Goldmine still underwrites via sold liquidity + MOS. Hard Reject rates publish when Verified-with-ARV depth clears n≥3.
Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Underwriting method
Total Listings
30
Verified 0 · Modeled 29 · Unscored 1
Median Modeled margin
7.5%
Directional Modeled ask tape · n=29 · not Verified comps
Hard Reject at ask
Pending
Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate
Need ≥3 Verified-with-ARV (have 0 Verified). We never invent Hard Reject from Modeled comps.
Rehab bands
Verified rehab $/sqft bands need deeper Verified sample.
Verified · condition tier $/sqft
Median Apex
N/A
Insufficient scored Apex sample (0-sentinel excluded)
Trajectory
Stable
Neighborhood enrichment signal
Honesty mix
0.0% Verified
Modeled 96.7% · Unscored 3.3%
List → ARV discount
—
Deep share — · n=—
Hold bleed pressure
—
Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro
Zero Verified actives — Hard Reject / margin tape withheld (Modeled-only).
Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes
Active inventory
30 shown of 30 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $265,000 · mix V0/M30/U0
Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 77081. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.
PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$778,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$609,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$584,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$479,5007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$449,5007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$446,9997.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$439,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$433,4007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$425,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$399,9007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$299,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$280,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$250,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$209,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$169,5007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$167,4007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$115,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$110,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$110,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$104,9007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$103,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$99,9997.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$99,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$95,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$89,5007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$75,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$680,0007.3% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$499,0006.5% M52ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$728,0001.3% M48ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$230,000——ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — actives are Modeled or unscored; honesty gate withholds the invest feed.
US Goldmine Atlas
Sold-density underwriting terminals nationwide. Browse all Goldmines · Absorption regimes · Fix & flip underwriting · Methodology · Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Markets hub · Texas Goldmines