Absorption / MOS
Market frozen / inventory backpressure
MOS 23.6 mo
sold_6m 31 · actives 122 · High confidence
31 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.
Free: Hard Reject rates, MOS, Verified/Modeled mix. Pro $15/mo: street addresses + MAO $. Methodology
FlipScout Dealpedia
Houston, TX Hard Reject Underwriting Tape (77099)
FlipScout underwriting tape for Houston, TX (77099) — 122 actives, 4 Verified / 32 Modeled. Absorption: Market frozen / inventory backpressure; sold_6m=31 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject rate 100.0% on Verified w/ ARV (QDA defaults — Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy on Bid Tape; Bid $ free).
Signal Narrative
Houston, TX (77099) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=31 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 122 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 23.6 mo (Market frozen / inventory backpressure; velocity ≈ 5.2 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 4 Verified / 32 Modeled / 86 Unscored. Hard Reject at ask 100.0% on Verified-with-ARV (QDA defaults — rates only on free hubs). Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.
Underwriting terminal
Neighborhood tape
As of 2026-07-31T06:43:19Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro
Quant Art
Neighborhood math
Backed by FlipScout solds + Verified ask tape · 2026-07-31T06:43:19Z · daily snapshot
MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 122 ÷ (31 ÷ 6) = 122 ÷ 5.2
Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12
monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 31 / 6 = 5.2 closings/mo
Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape
gross_margin% = (ARV − list − rehab) / list · Verified actives @ ask
Universe: Verified ask tape · n=4 · not sold-comp ROI
HardReject% = list_above_mao / Verified_w_ARV = 4 / 4
QDA defaults: 12% required net · 4-mo carry · 2% slip · Bid $ free on tape
Total Listings
122
Verified 4 · Modeled 32 · Unscored 86
Median Verified margin
-47.09%
p25 -59.18% · p75 -44.55% · n=4
Hard Reject at ask
100.0%
Strong 0.0% · Pass 0.0%
Share where list exceeds FlipScout MAO at QDA defaults (12% required net / 4-mo carry / 2% slip). Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy at ask on Bid Tape; Bid $ free on sheets.
Rehab bands
T2$65.98/sqft · n=4
Verified · condition tier $/sqft
Median Apex
N/A
Insufficient scored Apex sample (0-sentinel excluded)
Trajectory
Stable
Neighborhood enrichment signal
Honesty mix
3.3% Verified
Modeled 26.2% · Unscored 70.5%
List → ARV discount
18.36%
Deep share 25.0% · n=4
Hold bleed pressure
$0–$50/day
Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro
Apex Score withheld — only 1 meaningfully-scored Verified listings (need ≥3); UI shows N/A, never a fake 0.0. · Condo/SFR split withheld — need ≥8 Verified per class.
Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes
Active inventory
40 shown of 122 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $132,450 · mix V4/M36/U0
Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 77099. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.
PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$265,00012.4% V56VerifiedHouston, TX · Verified listing
Open brief
$112,0000.0% V—VerifiedHouston, TX · Verified listing
Open brief
$109,0000.0% V—VerifiedHouston, TX · Verified listing
Open brief
$110,0000.0% V—VerifiedHouston, TX · Verified listing
Open brief
$330,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$299,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$290,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$289,9007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$289,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$264,9007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$232,7507.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$229,9007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$223,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$220,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$219,5007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$185,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$178,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$162,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$149,9997.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$139,9007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$125,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$110,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$110,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$98,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$95,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$90,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$88,8887.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$83,9997.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$83,9997.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$82,5007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$82,3887.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$81,8887.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$79,9907.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$78,9997.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$77,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$75,0007.5% M53ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$95,000——ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$235,000——ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$265,000——ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open brief
$310,000——ModeledHouston, TX · Modeled listing
Open briefVerified Invest Deals
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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — 100% of Verified actives with ARV screen Hard Reject at ask under FlipScout QDA defaults.
US Goldmine Atlas
Sold-density underwriting terminals nationwide. Browse all Goldmines · Absorption regimes · Fix & flip underwriting · Methodology · Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Markets hub · Texas Goldmines