Absorption / MOS
Seller-leaning absorption
MOS 3.4 mo
sold_6m 25 · actives 14 · High confidence
25 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.
Free: Hard Reject rates, MOS, Verified/Modeled mix. Pro $15/mo: street addresses + MAO $. Methodology
FlipScout Dealpedia
Santa Monica, CA Flip MOS Underwriting Tape (90403)
FlipScout underwriting tape for Santa Monica, CA (90403) — 14 actives, 0 Verified / 0 Modeled. Absorption: Seller-leaning absorption; sold_6m=25 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject % withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — sold liquidity and MOS remain the primary published signals.
Signal Narrative
Santa Monica, CA (90403) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=25 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 14 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 3.4 mo (Seller-leaning absorption; velocity ≈ 4.2 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 0 Verified / 0 Modeled / 14 Unscored. Hard Reject % and Verified margins are withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — we do not invent ask-tape from Modeled comps. Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.
Underwriting terminal
Neighborhood tape
As of 2026-07-28T06:26:08Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro
Quant Art
Neighborhood math
Sold liquidity + MOS primary · ask-tape pending Verified depth · 2026-07-28T06:26:08Z · daily snapshot
MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 14 ÷ (25 ÷ 6) = 14 ÷ 4.2
Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12
monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 25 / 6 = 4.2 closings/mo
Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape
Verified ask sample too thin for Hard Reject % and Verified margin ladder (need ≥3 Verified-with-ARV). Verified actives: 0.
Modeled actives: 0 · Median Modeled ask margin: — (directional only — not Verified comps).
This Goldmine still underwrites via sold liquidity + MOS. Hard Reject rates publish when Verified-with-ARV depth clears n≥3.
Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Underwriting method
Total Listings
14
Verified 0 · Modeled 0 · Unscored 14
Ask margin
Pending
Need ≥3 Verified or Modeled ask margins with ARV
Hard Reject at ask
Pending
Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate
Need ≥3 Verified-with-ARV (have 0 Verified). We never invent Hard Reject from Modeled comps.
Rehab bands
Verified rehab $/sqft bands need deeper Verified sample.
Verified · condition tier $/sqft
Median Apex
N/A
Insufficient scored Apex sample (0-sentinel excluded)
Trajectory
Stable
Neighborhood enrichment signal
Honesty mix
0.0% Verified
Modeled 0.0% · Unscored 100.0%
List → ARV discount
—
Deep share — · n=—
Hold bleed pressure
—
Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro
Zero Verified actives — Hard Reject / margin tape withheld (Modeled-only).
Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes
Active inventory
14 shown of 14 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $687,000 · mix V0/M14/U0
Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 90403. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.
PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$735,000——ModeledSanta Monica, CA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$649,000——ModeledSanta Monica, CA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$635,000——ModeledSanta Monica, CA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$549,000——ModeledSanta Monica, CA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$595,000——ModeledSanta Monica, CA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$675,000——ModeledSanta Monica, CA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$699,000——ModeledSanta Monica, CA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$599,000——ModeledSanta Monica, CA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$799,000——ModeledSanta Monica, CA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$749,000——ModeledSanta Monica, CA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$660,000——ModeledSanta Monica, CA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$793,500——ModeledSanta Monica, CA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$775,000——ModeledSanta Monica, CA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$699,000——ModeledSanta Monica, CA · Modeled listing
Open briefVerified Invest Deals
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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — actives are Modeled or unscored; honesty gate withholds the invest feed.
US Goldmine Atlas
Sold-density underwriting terminals nationwide. Browse all Goldmines · Absorption regimes · Fix & flip underwriting · Methodology · Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Markets hub · California Goldmines