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Wilmington, CA Flip MOS Underwriting Tape (90744)

FlipScout underwriting tape for Wilmington, CA (90744) — 33 actives, 0 Verified / 31 Modeled. Absorption: Balanced absorption; sold_6m=36 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject % withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — sold liquidity and MOS remain the primary published signals.

Signal Narrative

Wilmington, CA (90744) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=36 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 33 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 5.5 mo (Balanced absorption; velocity ≈ 6.0 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 0 Verified / 31 Modeled / 2 Unscored. Hard Reject % and Verified margins are withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — we do not invent ask-tape from Modeled comps. Directional Modeled ask margin median is +1.7% (n=31) — labeled Modeled, not Verified. Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.

Underwriting terminal

Neighborhood tape

As of 2026-07-30T06:43:20Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro

Quant Art

Neighborhood math

Sold liquidity + MOS primary · ask-tape pending Verified depth · 2026-07-30T06:43:20Z · daily snapshot

Absorption dial
5.5 MOS mo

MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 33 ÷ (36 ÷ 6) = 33 ÷ 6.0

Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12

Sold liquidity stripe
sold_6m 36 actives 33

monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 36 / 6 = 6.0 closings/mo

Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape

Ask-tape status

Verified ask sample too thin for Hard Reject % and Verified margin ladder (need ≥3 Verified-with-ARV). Verified actives: 0.

Modeled actives: 31 · Median Modeled ask margin: +1.7% (directional only — not Verified comps).

This Goldmine still underwrites via sold liquidity + MOS. Hard Reject rates publish when Verified-with-ARV depth clears n≥3.

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Underwriting method

Absorption / MOS

Balanced absorption

MOS 5.5 mo

sold_6m 36 · actives 33 · High confidence

36 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.

Total Listings

33

Verified 0 · Modeled 31 · Unscored 2

Median Modeled margin

1.7%

Directional Modeled ask tape · n=31 · not Verified comps

Rehab bands

Verified rehab $/sqft bands need deeper Verified sample.

Verified · condition tier $/sqft

Median Apex

N/A

Insufficient scored Apex sample (0-sentinel excluded)

Trajectory

Stable

Neighborhood enrichment signal

Honesty mix

0.0% Verified

Modeled 93.9% · Unscored 6.1%

List → ARV discount

—

Deep share — · n=—

Hold bleed pressure

—

Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro

Zero Verified actives — Hard Reject / margin tape withheld (Modeled-only).

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes

Active inventory

33 shown of 33 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $649,900 · mix V0/M33/U0

Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 90744. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.

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PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$510,0007.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$499,0007.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$475,0007.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$450,0007.5% M53Modeled

Wilmington, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$449,0007.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$425,9007.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$409,9997.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$405,0007.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$399,9007.5% M53Modeled

Wilmington, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$384,0007.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$645,0002.2% M49Modeled

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Open brief$649,9002.1% M49Modeled

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Open brief$624,9502.0% M49Modeled

Wilmington, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$650,0001.8% M49Modeled

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Open brief$655,0001.7% M49Modeled

Wilmington, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$649,0001.7% M49Modeled

Wilmington, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$645,0001.6% M49Modeled

Wilmington, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$700,0001.6% M49Modeled

Wilmington, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$650,0001.6% M49Modeled

Wilmington, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$674,9991.5% M48Modeled

Wilmington, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$675,0001.4% M48Modeled

Wilmington, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$710,0001.2% M48Modeled

Wilmington, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$689,0001.2% M48Modeled

Wilmington, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$715,0001.1% M48Modeled

Wilmington, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$721,0001.0% M48Modeled

Wilmington, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$679,0001.0% M48Modeled

Wilmington, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$750,0000.8% M48Modeled

Wilmington, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$700,0000.8% M48Modeled

Wilmington, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$750,0000.7% M48Modeled

Wilmington, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$790,0000.5% M48Modeled

Wilmington, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$799,0000.4% M48Modeled

Wilmington, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$525,000——Modeled

Wilmington, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$449,000——Modeled

Wilmington, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief

Verified Invest Deals

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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — actives are Modeled or unscored; honesty gate withholds the invest feed.

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