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FlipScout Dealpedia

Chula Vista, CA Flip MOS Underwriting Tape (91910)

FlipScout underwriting tape for Chula Vista, CA (91910) — 45 actives, 0 Verified / 21 Modeled. Absorption: Seller-leaning absorption; sold_6m=144 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject % withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — sold liquidity and MOS remain the primary published signals.

Signal Narrative

Chula Vista, CA (91910) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=144 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 45 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 1.9 mo (Seller-leaning absorption; velocity ≈ 24.0 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 0 Verified / 21 Modeled / 24 Unscored. Hard Reject % and Verified margins are withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — we do not invent ask-tape from Modeled comps. Directional Modeled ask margin median is +7.2% (n=21) — labeled Modeled, not Verified. Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.

Underwriting terminal

Neighborhood tape

As of 2026-07-28T06:17:29Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro

Quant Art

Neighborhood math

Sold liquidity + MOS primary · ask-tape pending Verified depth · 2026-07-28T06:17:29Z · daily snapshot

Absorption dial
1.9 MOS mo

MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 45 ÷ (144 ÷ 6) = 45 ÷ 24.0

Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12

Sold liquidity stripe
sold_6m 144 actives 45

monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 144 / 6 = 24.0 closings/mo

Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape

Ask-tape status

Verified ask sample too thin for Hard Reject % and Verified margin ladder (need ≥3 Verified-with-ARV). Verified actives: 0.

Modeled actives: 21 · Median Modeled ask margin: +7.2% (directional only — not Verified comps).

This Goldmine still underwrites via sold liquidity + MOS. Hard Reject rates publish when Verified-with-ARV depth clears n≥3.

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Underwriting method

Absorption / MOS

Seller-leaning absorption

MOS 1.9 mo

sold_6m 144 · actives 45 · High confidence

144 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.

Total Listings

45

Verified 0 · Modeled 21 · Unscored 24

Median Modeled margin

7.2%

Directional Modeled ask tape · n=21 · not Verified comps

Rehab bands

Verified rehab $/sqft bands need deeper Verified sample.

Verified · condition tier $/sqft

Median Apex

N/A

Insufficient scored Apex sample (0-sentinel excluded)

Trajectory

Stable

Neighborhood enrichment signal

Honesty mix

0.0% Verified

Modeled 46.7% · Unscored 53.3%

List → ARV discount

—

Deep share — · n=—

Hold bleed pressure

—

Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro

Zero Verified actives — Hard Reject / margin tape withheld (Modeled-only).

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes

Active inventory

40 shown of 45 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $555,500 · mix V0/M40/U0

Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 91910. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.

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$513,0007.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$719,0000.9% M48Modeled

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Open brief$790,0000.5% M48Modeled

Chula Vista, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$799,0000.4% M48Modeled

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Open brief$750,000——Modeled

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Open brief$464,995——Modeled

Chula Vista, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$499,900——Modeled

Chula Vista, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$640,000——Modeled

Chula Vista, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$799,999——Modeled

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Open brief$549,900——Modeled

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Open brief$550,000——Modeled

Chula Vista, CA · Modeled listing

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Open brief$660,000——Modeled

Chula Vista, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$559,000——Modeled

Chula Vista, CA · Modeled listing

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Open brief$479,000——Modeled

Chula Vista, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$552,000——Modeled

Chula Vista, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$459,000——Modeled

Chula Vista, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$500,000——Modeled

Chula Vista, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$419,900——Modeled

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Chula Vista, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$699,000——Modeled

Chula Vista, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$790,000——Modeled

Chula Vista, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief

Verified Invest Deals

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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — actives are Modeled or unscored; honesty gate withholds the invest feed.

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