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Elk Grove, CA Flip MOS Underwriting Tape (95624)

FlipScout underwriting tape for Elk Grove, CA (95624) — 115 actives, 0 Verified / 24 Modeled. Absorption: Seller-leaning absorption; sold_6m=181 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject % withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — sold liquidity and MOS remain the primary published signals.

Signal Narrative

Elk Grove, CA (95624) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=181 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 115 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 3.8 mo (Seller-leaning absorption; velocity ≈ 30.2 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 0 Verified / 24 Modeled / 91 Unscored. Hard Reject % and Verified margins are withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — we do not invent ask-tape from Modeled comps. Directional Modeled ask margin median is +7.5% (n=24) — labeled Modeled, not Verified. Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.

Underwriting terminal

Neighborhood tape

As of 2026-07-30T06:21:02Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro

Quant Art

Neighborhood math

Sold liquidity + MOS primary · ask-tape pending Verified depth · 2026-07-30T06:21:02Z · daily snapshot

Absorption dial
3.8 MOS mo

MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 115 ÷ (181 ÷ 6) = 115 ÷ 30.2

Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12

Sold liquidity stripe
sold_6m 181 actives 115

monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 181 / 6 = 30.2 closings/mo

Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape

Ask-tape status

Verified ask sample too thin for Hard Reject % and Verified margin ladder (need ≥3 Verified-with-ARV). Verified actives: 0.

Modeled actives: 24 · Median Modeled ask margin: +7.5% (directional only — not Verified comps).

This Goldmine still underwrites via sold liquidity + MOS. Hard Reject rates publish when Verified-with-ARV depth clears n≥3.

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Underwriting method

Absorption / MOS

Seller-leaning absorption

MOS 3.8 mo

sold_6m 181 · actives 115 · High confidence

181 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.

Total Listings

115

Verified 0 · Modeled 24 · Unscored 91

Median Modeled margin

7.5%

Directional Modeled ask tape · n=24 · not Verified comps

Rehab bands

Verified rehab $/sqft bands need deeper Verified sample.

Verified · condition tier $/sqft

Median Apex

N/A

Insufficient scored Apex sample (0-sentinel excluded)

Trajectory

Stable

Neighborhood enrichment signal

Honesty mix

0.0% Verified

Modeled 20.9% · Unscored 79.1%

List → ARV discount

—

Deep share — · n=—

Hold bleed pressure

—

Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro

Zero Verified actives — Hard Reject / margin tape withheld (Modeled-only).

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes

Active inventory

40 shown of 115 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $650,000 · mix V0/M40/U0

Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 95624. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.

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Open brief$785,0002.2% M49Modeled

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Open brief$779,0002.0% M49Modeled

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Open brief$649,0002.0% M49Modeled

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Open brief$668,8881.5% M48Modeled

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Open brief$718,6401.4% M48Modeled

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Open brief$680,3701.4% M48Modeled

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Open brief$749,7001.2% M48Modeled

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Open brief$699,000——Modeled

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Open brief$683,170——Modeled

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Open brief$559,000——Modeled

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Open brief$779,888——Modeled

Elk Grove, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$628,000——Modeled

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Open brief$629,000——Modeled

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Open brief$699,950——Modeled

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Open brief$599,900——Modeled

Elk Grove, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$610,000——Modeled

Elk Grove, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$700,000——Modeled

Elk Grove, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$479,999——Modeled

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Open brief$496,500——Modeled

Elk Grove, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$489,000——Modeled

Elk Grove, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$720,000——Modeled

Elk Grove, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$235,000——Modeled

Elk Grove, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief

Verified Invest Deals

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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — actives are Modeled or unscored; honesty gate withholds the invest feed.

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