Absorption / MOS
Elevated supply / slow absorption
MOS 6.3 mo
sold_6m 111 · actives 117 · High confidence
111 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.
Free: Hard Reject rates, MOS, Verified/Modeled mix. Pro $15/mo: street addresses + MAO $. Methodology
FlipScout Dealpedia
Oregon City, OR Hard Reject Underwriting Tape (97045)
FlipScout underwriting tape for Oregon City, OR (97045) — 117 actives, 5 Verified / 16 Modeled. Absorption: Elevated supply / slow absorption; sold_6m=111 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject rate 100.0% on Verified w/ ARV (QDA defaults — Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy on Bid Tape; Bid $ free).
Signal Narrative
Oregon City, OR (97045) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=111 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 117 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 6.3 mo (Elevated supply / slow absorption; velocity ≈ 18.5 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 5 Verified / 16 Modeled / 96 Unscored. Hard Reject at ask 100.0% on Verified-with-ARV (QDA defaults — rates only on free hubs). Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.
Underwriting terminal
Neighborhood tape
As of 2026-07-29T06:27:28Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro
Quant Art
Neighborhood math
Backed by FlipScout solds + Verified ask tape · 2026-07-29T06:27:28Z · daily snapshot
MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 117 ÷ (111 ÷ 6) = 117 ÷ 18.5
Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12
monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 111 / 6 = 18.5 closings/mo
Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape
gross_margin% = (ARV − list − rehab) / list · Verified actives @ ask
Universe: Verified ask tape · n=5 · not sold-comp ROI
HardReject% = list_above_mao / Verified_w_ARV = 5 / 5
QDA defaults: 12% required net · 4-mo carry · 2% slip · Bid $ free on tape
Total Listings
117
Verified 5 · Modeled 16 · Unscored 96
Median Verified margin
-41.75%
p25 -53.42% · p75 -35.02% · n=5
Hard Reject at ask
100.0%
Strong 0.0% · Pass 0.0%
Share where list exceeds FlipScout MAO at QDA defaults (12% required net / 4-mo carry / 2% slip). Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy at ask on Bid Tape; Bid $ free on sheets.
Rehab bands
T2$43.35/sqft · n=5
Verified · condition tier $/sqft
Median Apex
48.4
Hot 0.0% · n=5
Trajectory
Stable
Neighborhood enrichment signal
Honesty mix
4.3% Verified
Modeled 13.7% · Unscored 82.1%
List → ARV discount
-34.68%
Deep share 0.0% · n=5
Hold bleed pressure
$200–$250/day
Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro
Condo/SFR split withheld — need ≥8 Verified per class.
Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes
Active inventory
40 shown of 117 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $602,450 · mix V5/M35/U0
Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 97045. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.
PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$299,0009.0% V54VerifiedOregon City, OR · Verified listing
Open brief
$335,0007.5% V53VerifiedOregon City, OR · Verified listing
Open brief
$766,8631.3% V48VerifiedOregon City, OR · Verified listing
Open brief
$780,0001.1% V48VerifiedOregon City, OR · Verified listing
Open brief
$799,9000.9% V48VerifiedOregon City, OR · Verified listing
Open brief
$744,0007.5% M53ModeledOregon City, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$604,9007.5% M53ModeledOregon City, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$599,9997.5% M53ModeledOregon City, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$569,5007.5% M53ModeledOregon City, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$549,9007.5% M53ModeledOregon City, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$534,9007.5% M53ModeledOregon City, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$534,9007.5% M53ModeledOregon City, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$325,0007.5% M53ModeledOregon City, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$315,0007.5% M53ModeledOregon City, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$285,0007.5% M53ModeledOregon City, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$699,9002.1% M49ModeledOregon City, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$789,9001.9% M49ModeledOregon City, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$679,0001.8% M49ModeledOregon City, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$679,9001.8% M49ModeledOregon City, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$745,0001.2% M48ModeledOregon City, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$789,0000.8% M48ModeledOregon City, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$575,000——ModeledOregon City, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$785,000——ModeledOregon City, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$750,000——ModeledOregon City, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$629,900——ModeledOregon City, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$658,000——ModeledOregon City, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$499,000——ModeledOregon City, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$699,000——ModeledOregon City, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$399,900——ModeledOregon City, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$675,000——ModeledOregon City, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$790,000——ModeledOregon City, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$415,000——ModeledOregon City, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$499,900——ModeledOregon City, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$619,000——ModeledOregon City, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$725,000——ModeledOregon City, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$555,000——ModeledOregon City, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$499,000——ModeledOregon City, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$509,900——ModeledOregon City, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$571,500——ModeledOregon City, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$479,000——ModeledOregon City, OR · Modeled listing
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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — 100% of Verified actives with ARV screen Hard Reject at ask under FlipScout QDA defaults.
US Goldmine Atlas
Sold-density underwriting terminals nationwide. Browse all Goldmines · Absorption regimes · Fix & flip underwriting · Methodology · Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Markets hub · Oregon Goldmines