Absorption / MOS
Elevated supply / slow absorption
MOS 6.5 mo
sold_6m 185 · actives 199 · High confidence
185 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.
Free: Hard Reject rates, MOS, Verified/Modeled mix. Pro $15/mo: street addresses + MAO $. Methodology
FlipScout Dealpedia
Salem, OR Hard Reject Underwriting Tape (97301)
FlipScout underwriting tape for Salem, OR (97301) — 199 actives, 5 Verified / 31 Modeled. Absorption: Elevated supply / slow absorption; sold_6m=185 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject rate 100.0% on Verified w/ ARV (QDA defaults — Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy on Bid Tape; Bid $ free).
Signal Narrative
Salem, OR (97301) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=185 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 199 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 6.5 mo (Elevated supply / slow absorption; velocity ≈ 30.8 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 5 Verified / 31 Modeled / 163 Unscored. Hard Reject at ask 100.0% on Verified-with-ARV (QDA defaults — rates only on free hubs). Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.
Underwriting terminal
Neighborhood tape
As of 2026-07-28T06:09:57Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro
Quant Art
Neighborhood math
Backed by FlipScout solds + Verified ask tape · 2026-07-28T06:09:57Z · daily snapshot
MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 199 ÷ (185 ÷ 6) = 199 ÷ 30.8
Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12
monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 185 / 6 = 30.8 closings/mo
Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape
gross_margin% = (ARV − list − rehab) / list · Verified actives @ ask
Universe: Verified ask tape · n=5 · not sold-comp ROI
HardReject% = list_above_mao / Verified_w_ARV = 5 / 5
QDA defaults: 12% required net · 4-mo carry · 2% slip · Bid $ free on tape
Total Listings
199
Verified 5 · Modeled 31 · Unscored 163
Median Verified margin
-21.78%
p25 -56.98% · p75 -16.15% · n=5
Hard Reject at ask
100.0%
Strong 0.0% · Pass 0.0%
Share where list exceeds FlipScout MAO at QDA defaults (12% required net / 4-mo carry / 2% slip). Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy at ask on Bid Tape; Bid $ free on sheets.
Rehab bands
T2$53.8/sqft · n=5
Verified · condition tier $/sqft
Median Apex
51.3
Hot 0.0% · n=5
Trajectory
Stable
Neighborhood enrichment signal
Honesty mix
2.5% Verified
Modeled 15.6% · Unscored 81.9%
List → ARV discount
-3.42%
Deep share 0.0% · n=5
Hold bleed pressure
$100–$150/day
Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro
Condo/SFR split withheld — need ≥8 Verified per class.
Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes
Active inventory
40 shown of 199 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $444,995 · mix V5/M35/U0
Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 97301. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.
PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$379,0006.1% V52VerifiedSalem, OR · Verified listing
Open brief
$399,0005.8% V52VerifiedSalem, OR · Verified listing
Open brief
$431,9955.5% V51VerifiedSalem, OR · Verified listing
Open brief
$464,9954.9% V51VerifiedSalem, OR · Verified listing
Open brief
$519,9704.2% V50VerifiedSalem, OR · Verified listing
Open brief
$557,9957.5% M53ModeledSalem, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$504,9957.5% M53ModeledSalem, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$494,9957.5% M53ModeledSalem, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$485,0007.5% M53ModeledSalem, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$484,9957.5% M53ModeledSalem, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$474,9957.5% M53ModeledSalem, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$467,0007.5% M53ModeledSalem, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$466,9957.5% M53ModeledSalem, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$464,9957.5% M53ModeledSalem, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$464,9957.5% M53ModeledSalem, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$459,0007.5% M53ModeledSalem, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$457,9957.5% M53ModeledSalem, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$447,9957.5% M53ModeledSalem, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$446,9957.5% M53ModeledSalem, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$445,0007.5% M53ModeledSalem, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$444,9957.5% M53ModeledSalem, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$444,9957.5% M53ModeledSalem, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$439,9957.5% M53ModeledSalem, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$431,9957.5% M53ModeledSalem, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$409,9957.5% M53ModeledSalem, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$409,9007.5% M53ModeledSalem, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$399,9957.5% M53ModeledSalem, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$395,0007.5% M53ModeledSalem, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$389,9007.5% M53ModeledSalem, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$389,9007.5% M53ModeledSalem, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$380,0007.5% M53ModeledSalem, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$365,0007.5% M53ModeledSalem, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$310,0007.5% M53ModeledSalem, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$319,9007.5% M53ModeledSalem, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$294,9007.5% M53ModeledSalem, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$275,0007.5% M53ModeledSalem, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$599,995——ModeledSalem, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$460,000——ModeledSalem, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$415,000——ModeledSalem, OR · Modeled listing
Open brief
$390,000——ModeledSalem, OR · Modeled listing
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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — 100% of Verified actives with ARV screen Hard Reject at ask under FlipScout QDA defaults.
US Goldmine Atlas
Sold-density underwriting terminals nationwide. Browse all Goldmines · Absorption regimes · Fix & flip underwriting · Methodology · Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Markets hub · Oregon Goldmines