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Billerica, MA Flip MOS Underwriting Tape (01821)

FlipScout underwriting tape for Billerica, MA (01821) — 58 actives, 0 Verified / 28 Modeled. Absorption: Seller-leaning absorption; sold_6m=108 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject % withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — sold liquidity and MOS remain the primary published signals.

Signal Narrative

Billerica, MA (01821) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=108 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 58 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 3.2 mo (Seller-leaning absorption; velocity ≈ 18.0 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 0 Verified / 28 Modeled / 30 Unscored. Hard Reject % and Verified margins are withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — we do not invent ask-tape from Modeled comps. Directional Modeled ask margin median is +1.8% (n=28) — labeled Modeled, not Verified. Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.

Underwriting terminal

Neighborhood tape

As of 2026-07-28T06:19:50Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro

Quant Art

Neighborhood math

Sold liquidity + MOS primary · ask-tape pending Verified depth · 2026-07-28T06:19:50Z · daily snapshot

Absorption dial
3.2 MOS mo

MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 58 ÷ (108 ÷ 6) = 58 ÷ 18.0

Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12

Sold liquidity stripe
sold_6m 108 actives 58

monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 108 / 6 = 18.0 closings/mo

Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape

Ask-tape status

Verified ask sample too thin for Hard Reject % and Verified margin ladder (need ≥3 Verified-with-ARV). Verified actives: 0.

Modeled actives: 28 · Median Modeled ask margin: +1.8% (directional only — not Verified comps).

This Goldmine still underwrites via sold liquidity + MOS. Hard Reject rates publish when Verified-with-ARV depth clears n≥3.

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Underwriting method

Absorption / MOS

Seller-leaning absorption

MOS 3.2 mo

sold_6m 108 · actives 58 · High confidence

108 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.

Total Listings

58

Verified 0 · Modeled 28 · Unscored 30

Median Modeled margin

1.8%

Directional Modeled ask tape · n=28 · not Verified comps

Rehab bands

Verified rehab $/sqft bands need deeper Verified sample.

Verified · condition tier $/sqft

Median Apex

N/A

Insufficient scored Apex sample (0-sentinel excluded)

Trajectory

Stable

Neighborhood enrichment signal

Honesty mix

0.0% Verified

Modeled 48.3% · Unscored 51.7%

List → ARV discount

—

Deep share — · n=—

Hold bleed pressure

—

Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro

Zero Verified actives — Hard Reject / margin tape withheld (Modeled-only).

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes

Active inventory

40 shown of 58 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $644,700 · mix V0/M40/U0

Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 01821. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.

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PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$765,0007.5% M53Modeled

Billerica, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$679,0007.5% M53Modeled

Billerica, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$599,9007.5% M53Modeled

Billerica, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$534,9007.5% M53Modeled

Billerica, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$500,0007.5% M53Modeled

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Billerica, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$339,9997.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$329,9007.5% M53Modeled

Billerica, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$285,0007.5% M53Modeled

Billerica, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$715,0007.3% M53Modeled

Billerica, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$799,9002.2% M49Modeled

Billerica, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$799,9002.2% M49Modeled

Billerica, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$724,9002.1% M49Modeled

Billerica, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$524,9001.9% M49Modeled

Billerica, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$679,9001.6% M49Modeled

Billerica, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$749,9001.6% M49Modeled

Billerica, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$738,0001.5% M48Modeled

Billerica, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$799,9991.4% M48Modeled

Billerica, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$499,9001.4% M48Modeled

Billerica, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$499,9001.3% M48Modeled

Billerica, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$639,5001.3% M48Modeled

Billerica, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$699,9001.1% M48Modeled

Billerica, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$619,9001.0% M48Modeled

Billerica, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$779,9000.8% M48Modeled

Billerica, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$679,9000.8% M48Modeled

Billerica, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$599,0000.8% M48Modeled

Billerica, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$699,9000.6% M48Modeled

Billerica, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$699,900-0.3% M—ModeledNeg margin

Billerica, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$330,000——Modeled

Billerica, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$639,000——Modeled

Billerica, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$719,000——Modeled

Billerica, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$699,900——Modeled

Billerica, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$524,900——Modeled

Billerica, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$424,900——Modeled

Billerica, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$529,900——Modeled

Billerica, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$349,900——Modeled

Billerica, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$704,900——Modeled

Billerica, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$339,900——Modeled

Billerica, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$799,900——Modeled

Billerica, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$649,900——Modeled

Billerica, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief

Verified Invest Deals

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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — actives are Modeled or unscored; honesty gate withholds the invest feed.

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