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Methuen, MA Flip MOS Underwriting Tape (01844)

FlipScout underwriting tape for Methuen, MA (01844) — 104 actives, 0 Verified / 30 Modeled. Absorption: Balanced absorption; sold_6m=149 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject % withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — sold liquidity and MOS remain the primary published signals.

Signal Narrative

Methuen, MA (01844) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=149 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 104 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 4.2 mo (Balanced absorption; velocity ≈ 24.8 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 0 Verified / 30 Modeled / 74 Unscored. Hard Reject % and Verified margins are withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — we do not invent ask-tape from Modeled comps. Directional Modeled ask margin median is +7.4% (n=30) — labeled Modeled, not Verified. Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.

Underwriting terminal

Neighborhood tape

As of 2026-07-28T06:17:29Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro

Quant Art

Neighborhood math

Sold liquidity + MOS primary · ask-tape pending Verified depth · 2026-07-28T06:17:29Z · daily snapshot

Absorption dial
4.2 MOS mo

MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 104 ÷ (149 ÷ 6) = 104 ÷ 24.8

Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12

Sold liquidity stripe
sold_6m 149 actives 104

monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 149 / 6 = 24.8 closings/mo

Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape

Ask-tape status

Verified ask sample too thin for Hard Reject % and Verified margin ladder (need ≥3 Verified-with-ARV). Verified actives: 0.

Modeled actives: 30 · Median Modeled ask margin: +7.4% (directional only — not Verified comps).

This Goldmine still underwrites via sold liquidity + MOS. Hard Reject rates publish when Verified-with-ARV depth clears n≥3.

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Underwriting method

Absorption / MOS

Balanced absorption

MOS 4.2 mo

sold_6m 149 · actives 104 · High confidence

149 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.

Total Listings

104

Verified 0 · Modeled 30 · Unscored 74

Median Modeled margin

7.4%

Directional Modeled ask tape · n=30 · not Verified comps

Rehab bands

Verified rehab $/sqft bands need deeper Verified sample.

Verified · condition tier $/sqft

Median Apex

N/A

Insufficient scored Apex sample (0-sentinel excluded)

Trajectory

Stable

Neighborhood enrichment signal

Honesty mix

0.0% Verified

Modeled 28.8% · Unscored 71.2%

List → ARV discount

—

Deep share — · n=—

Hold bleed pressure

—

Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro

Zero Verified actives — Hard Reject / margin tape withheld (Modeled-only).

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes

Active inventory

40 shown of 104 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $504,900 · mix V0/M40/U0

Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 01844. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.

Browse all in Houses →
PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$799,9007.5% M53Modeled

Methuen, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$749,9007.5% M53Modeled

Methuen, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$744,9007.5% M53Modeled

Methuen, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$590,0007.5% M53Modeled

Methuen, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$525,0007.5% M53Modeled

Methuen, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$435,0007.5% M53Modeled

Methuen, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$430,0007.5% M53Modeled

Methuen, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$415,0007.5% M53Modeled

Methuen, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$384,9007.5% M53Modeled

Methuen, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$370,0007.5% M53Modeled

Methuen, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$359,9007.5% M53Modeled

Methuen, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$340,0007.5% M53Modeled

Methuen, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$334,0707.5% M53Modeled

Methuen, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$299,0007.5% M53Modeled

Methuen, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$205,0007.5% M53Modeled

Methuen, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$449,0007.4% M53Modeled

Methuen, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$449,0002.2% M49Modeled

Methuen, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$799,9002.1% M49Modeled

Methuen, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$489,9002.1% M49Modeled

Methuen, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$499,9002.0% M49Modeled

Methuen, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$474,0002.0% M49Modeled

Methuen, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$455,0001.8% M49Modeled

Methuen, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$679,9001.7% M49Modeled

Methuen, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$679,9001.6% M49Modeled

Methuen, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$469,9991.6% M49Modeled

Methuen, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$525,0001.4% M48Modeled

Methuen, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$509,9001.2% M48Modeled

Methuen, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$570,0000.8% M48Modeled

Methuen, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$579,9000.7% M48Modeled

Methuen, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$649,9000.4% M48Modeled

Methuen, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$474,618——Modeled

Methuen, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$698,900——Modeled

Methuen, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$549,900——Modeled

Methuen, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$555,000——Modeled

Methuen, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$525,000——Modeled

Methuen, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$560,000——Modeled

Methuen, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$399,999——Modeled

Methuen, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$329,000——Modeled

Methuen, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$599,900——Modeled

Methuen, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief$540,000——Modeled

Methuen, MA · Modeled listing

Open brief

Verified Invest Deals

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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — actives are Modeled or unscored; honesty gate withholds the invest feed.

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