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Perth Amboy, NJ Flip MOS Underwriting Tape (08861)

FlipScout underwriting tape for Perth Amboy, NJ (08861) — 61 actives, 0 Verified / 29 Modeled. Absorption: Balanced absorption; sold_6m=72 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject % withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — sold liquidity and MOS remain the primary published signals.

Signal Narrative

Perth Amboy, NJ (08861) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=72 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 61 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 5.1 mo (Balanced absorption; velocity ≈ 12.0 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 0 Verified / 29 Modeled / 32 Unscored. Hard Reject % and Verified margins are withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — we do not invent ask-tape from Modeled comps. Directional Modeled ask margin median is +7.5% (n=29) — labeled Modeled, not Verified. Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.

Underwriting terminal

Neighborhood tape

As of 2026-07-28T06:21:23Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro

Quant Art

Neighborhood math

Sold liquidity + MOS primary · ask-tape pending Verified depth · 2026-07-28T06:21:23Z · daily snapshot

Absorption dial
5.1 MOS mo

MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 61 ÷ (72 ÷ 6) = 61 ÷ 12.0

Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12

Sold liquidity stripe
sold_6m 72 actives 61

monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 72 / 6 = 12.0 closings/mo

Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape

Ask-tape status

Verified ask sample too thin for Hard Reject % and Verified margin ladder (need ≥3 Verified-with-ARV). Verified actives: 0.

Modeled actives: 29 · Median Modeled ask margin: +7.5% (directional only — not Verified comps).

This Goldmine still underwrites via sold liquidity + MOS. Hard Reject rates publish when Verified-with-ARV depth clears n≥3.

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Underwriting method

Absorption / MOS

Balanced absorption

MOS 5.1 mo

sold_6m 72 · actives 61 · High confidence

72 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.

Total Listings

61

Verified 0 · Modeled 29 · Unscored 32

Median Modeled margin

7.5%

Directional Modeled ask tape · n=29 · not Verified comps

Rehab bands

Verified rehab $/sqft bands need deeper Verified sample.

Verified · condition tier $/sqft

Median Apex

N/A

Insufficient scored Apex sample (0-sentinel excluded)

Trajectory

Stable

Neighborhood enrichment signal

Honesty mix

0.0% Verified

Modeled 47.5% · Unscored 52.5%

List → ARV discount

—

Deep share — · n=—

Hold bleed pressure

—

Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro

Zero Verified actives — Hard Reject / margin tape withheld (Modeled-only).

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes

Active inventory

40 shown of 61 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $420,000 · mix V0/M40/U0

Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 08861. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.

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$600,0007.5% M53Modeled

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Perth Amboy, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$439,9997.5% M53Modeled

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Perth Amboy, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$414,9007.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$410,0007.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$399,9997.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$379,0007.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$369,0007.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$359,9007.5% M53Modeled

Perth Amboy, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$349,9997.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$335,0007.5% M53Modeled

Perth Amboy, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$274,9007.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$485,0007.5% M53Modeled

Perth Amboy, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$439,9997.4% M53Modeled

Perth Amboy, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$549,9001.9% M49Modeled

Perth Amboy, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$399,9001.8% M49Modeled

Perth Amboy, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$550,0001.3% M48Modeled

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Open brief$469,000——Modeled

Perth Amboy, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$300,000——Modeled

Perth Amboy, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$499,999——Modeled

Perth Amboy, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$334,900——Modeled

Perth Amboy, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$289,000——Modeled

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Open brief$489,900——Modeled

Perth Amboy, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$300,000——Modeled

Perth Amboy, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$630,000——Modeled

Perth Amboy, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$299,900——Modeled

Perth Amboy, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$550,000——Modeled

Perth Amboy, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$420,000——Modeled

Perth Amboy, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief

Verified Invest Deals

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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — actives are Modeled or unscored; honesty gate withholds the invest feed.

US Goldmine Atlas

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