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Jersey City Heights, NJ Hard Reject Underwriting Tape (07307)

FlipScout underwriting tape for Jersey City Heights, NJ (07307) — 106 actives, 26 Verified / 62 Modeled. Absorption: Balanced absorption; sold_6m=132 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject rate 100.0% on Verified w/ ARV (QDA defaults — Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy on Bid Tape; Bid $ free).

Signal Narrative

Jersey City Heights, NJ (07307) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=132 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 106 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 4.8 mo (Balanced absorption; velocity ≈ 22.0 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 26 Verified / 62 Modeled / 18 Unscored. Hard Reject at ask 100.0% on Verified-with-ARV (QDA defaults — rates only on free hubs). Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.

Underwriting terminal

Neighborhood tape

As of 2026-08-01T06:18:18Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro

Quant Art

Neighborhood math

Backed by FlipScout solds + Verified ask tape · 2026-08-01T06:18:18Z · daily snapshot

Absorption dial
4.8 MOS mo

MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 106 ÷ (132 ÷ 6) = 106 ÷ 22.0

Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12

Sold liquidity stripe
sold_6m 132 actives 106

monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 132 / 6 = 22.0 closings/mo

Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape

Margin quantile ladder
0% p25 -63.3%med -58.3%p75 -46.3%

gross_margin% = (ARV − list − rehab) / list · Verified actives @ ask

Universe: Verified ask tape · n=26 · not sold-comp ROI

Hard Reject ring
100% at ask

HardReject% = list_above_mao / Verified_w_ARV = 26 / 26

QDA defaults: 12% required net · 4-mo carry · 2% slip · Bid $ free on tape

Absorption / MOS

Balanced absorption

MOS 4.8 mo

sold_6m 132 · actives 106 · High confidence

132 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.

Total Listings

106

Verified 26 · Modeled 62 · Unscored 18

Median Verified margin

-58.28%

p25 -63.34% · p75 -46.33% · n=26

Hard Reject at ask

100.0%

Strong 0.0% · Pass 0.0%

Share where list exceeds FlipScout MAO at QDA defaults (12% required net / 4-mo carry / 2% slip). Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy at ask on Bid Tape; Bid $ free on sheets.

Rehab bands

T2$267.02/sqft · n=5
T3$267.02/sqft · n=16
T4$47.47/sqft · n=5

Verified · condition tier $/sqft

Median Apex

42.75

Hot 0.0% · n=22

Trajectory

Declining

Neighborhood enrichment signal

Honesty mix

24.5% Verified

Modeled 58.5% · Unscored 17.0%

List → ARV discount

-15.3%

Deep share 0.0% · n=26

Hold bleed pressure

$150–$200/day

Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro

Condo/SFR split withheld — need ≥8 Verified per class.

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes

Active inventory

40 shown of 106 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $411,500 · mix V25/M15/U0

Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 07307. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.

Browse all in Houses →
PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$375,00030.0% V36VerifiedHigh margin

Jersey City Heights, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$325,00025.0% V52VerifiedHigh margin

Jersey City Heights, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$539,00022.3% V46VerifiedHigh margin

Jersey City Heights, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$569,00022.1% V53VerifiedHigh margin

Jersey City Heights, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$305,00022.1% V45VerifiedHigh margin

Jersey City Heights, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$495,00021.3% V45VerifiedHigh margin

Jersey City Heights, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$379,00020.4% V46VerifiedHigh margin

Jersey City Heights, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$398,00018.5% V48Verified

Jersey City Heights, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$375,00018.5% V41Verified

Jersey City Heights, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$389,00018.0% V42Verified

Jersey City Heights, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$747,00017.1% V40Verified

Jersey City Heights, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$775,31317.0% V49Verified

Jersey City Heights, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$365,00016.9% V42Verified

Jersey City Heights, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$799,00016.7% V44Verified

Jersey City Heights, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$445,00014.4% V43Verified

Jersey City Heights, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$650,00014.3% V38Verified

Jersey City Heights, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$450,00014.2% V45Verified

Jersey City Heights, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$549,00011.4% V34Verified

Jersey City Heights, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$749,0001.0% V41Verified

Jersey City Heights, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$755,0000.7% V42Verified

Jersey City Heights, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$650,0000.3% V42Verified

Jersey City Heights, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$799,0000.1% V38Verified

Jersey City Heights, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$350,0000.0% V—Verified

Jersey City Heights, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$634,9000.0% V—Verified

Jersey City Heights, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$525,0000.0% V—Verified

Jersey City Heights, NJ · Verified listing

Open brief$699,0007.6% M43Modeled

Jersey City Heights, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$425,0007.5% M43Modeled

Jersey City Heights, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$439,0007.3% M43Modeled

Jersey City Heights, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$475,0007.3% M43Modeled

Jersey City Heights, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$335,0004.0% M40Modeled

Jersey City Heights, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$250,0004.0% M40Modeled

Jersey City Heights, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$374,9003.9% M40Modeled

Jersey City Heights, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$389,0003.9% M40Modeled

Jersey City Heights, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$364,9003.8% M40Modeled

Jersey City Heights, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$375,0003.6% M40Modeled

Jersey City Heights, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$375,0003.5% M40Modeled

Jersey City Heights, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$375,0003.5% M40Modeled

Jersey City Heights, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$379,0003.5% M40Modeled

Jersey City Heights, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$379,0003.4% M40Modeled

Jersey City Heights, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief$379,0003.4% M40Modeled

Jersey City Heights, NJ · Modeled listing

Open brief

Verified Invest Deals

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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — 100% of Verified actives with ARV screen Hard Reject at ask under FlipScout QDA defaults.

Neighboring Corridors

Analyzing adjacent investment corridors? Track live margins in Journal Square, NJ (07306) and Hoboken, NJ (07030).

US Goldmine Atlas

Sold-density underwriting terminals nationwide. Browse all Goldmines · Absorption regimes · Fix & flip underwriting · Methodology · Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Markets hub · New Jersey Goldmines

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