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Philadelphia, PA Hard Reject Underwriting Tape (19140)

FlipScout underwriting tape for Philadelphia, PA (19140) — 159 actives, 7 Verified / 32 Modeled. Absorption: Balanced absorption; sold_6m=173 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject rate 100.0% on Verified w/ ARV (QDA defaults — Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy on Bid Tape; Bid $ free).

Signal Narrative

Philadelphia, PA (19140) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=173 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 159 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 5.5 mo (Balanced absorption; velocity ≈ 28.8 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 7 Verified / 32 Modeled / 120 Unscored. Hard Reject at ask 100.0% on Verified-with-ARV (QDA defaults — rates only on free hubs). Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.

Underwriting terminal

Neighborhood tape

As of 2026-07-30T06:25:02Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro

Quant Art

Neighborhood math

Backed by FlipScout solds + Verified ask tape · 2026-07-30T06:25:02Z · daily snapshot

Absorption dial
5.5 MOS mo

MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 159 ÷ (173 ÷ 6) = 159 ÷ 28.8

Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12

Sold liquidity stripe
sold_6m 173 actives 159

monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 173 / 6 = 28.8 closings/mo

Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape

Margin quantile ladder
0% p25 -100.9%med -83.9%p75 -62.3%

gross_margin% = (ARV − list − rehab) / list · Verified actives @ ask

Universe: Verified ask tape · n=7 · not sold-comp ROI

Hard Reject ring
100% at ask

HardReject% = list_above_mao / Verified_w_ARV = 7 / 7

QDA defaults: 12% required net · 4-mo carry · 2% slip · Bid $ free on tape

Absorption / MOS

Balanced absorption

MOS 5.5 mo

sold_6m 173 · actives 159 · High confidence

173 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.

Total Listings

159

Verified 7 · Modeled 32 · Unscored 120

Median Verified margin

-83.93%

p25 -100.93% · p75 -62.26% · n=7

Hard Reject at ask

100.0%

Strong 0.0% · Pass 0.0%

Share where list exceeds FlipScout MAO at QDA defaults (12% required net / 4-mo carry / 2% slip). Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy at ask on Bid Tape; Bid $ free on sheets.

Rehab bands

T2$64.85/sqft · n=7

Verified · condition tier $/sqft

Median Apex

58.35

Hot 0.0% · n=4

Trajectory

Stable

Neighborhood enrichment signal

Honesty mix

4.4% Verified

Modeled 20.1% · Unscored 75.5%

List → ARV discount

-6.42%

Deep share 0.0% · n=7

Hold bleed pressure

$50–$100/day

Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro

Condo/SFR split withheld — need ≥8 Verified per class.

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes

Active inventory

40 shown of 159 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $150,000 · mix V7/M33/U0

Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 19140. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.

Browse all in Houses →
PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$174,90018.9% V61Verified

Philadelphia, PA · Verified listing

Open brief
$210,00018.6% V60Verified

Philadelphia, PA · Verified listing

Open brief
$250,00012.5% V56Verified

Philadelphia, PA · Verified listing

Open brief
$290,00010.6% V55Verified

Philadelphia, PA · Verified listing

Open brief
$99,9000.0% VVerified

Philadelphia, PA · Verified listing

Open brief
$110,0000.0% VVerified

Philadelphia, PA · Verified listing

Open brief
$85,0000.0% VVerified

Philadelphia, PA · Verified listing

Open brief
$495,0007.5% M53Modeled

Philadelphia, PA · Modeled listing

Open brief
$250,0007.5% M53Modeled

Philadelphia, PA · Modeled listing

Open brief
$240,0007.5% M53Modeled

Philadelphia, PA · Modeled listing

Open brief
$229,0007.5% M53Modeled

Philadelphia, PA · Modeled listing

Open brief
$225,0007.5% M53Modeled

Philadelphia, PA · Modeled listing

Open brief
$220,0007.5% M53Modeled

Philadelphia, PA · Modeled listing

Open brief
$200,0007.5% M53Modeled

Philadelphia, PA · Modeled listing

Open brief
$200,0007.5% M53Modeled

Philadelphia, PA · Modeled listing

Open brief
$195,0007.5% M53Modeled

Philadelphia, PA · Modeled listing

Open brief
$195,0007.5% M53Modeled

Philadelphia, PA · Modeled listing

Open brief
$174,9977.5% M53Modeled

Philadelphia, PA · Modeled listing

Open brief
$174,9007.5% M53Modeled

Philadelphia, PA · Modeled listing

Open brief
$165,0007.5% M53Modeled

Philadelphia, PA · Modeled listing

Open brief
$150,0007.5% M53Modeled

Philadelphia, PA · Modeled listing

Open brief
$149,9997.5% M53Modeled

Philadelphia, PA · Modeled listing

Open brief
$149,9007.5% M53Modeled

Philadelphia, PA · Modeled listing

Open brief
$145,9007.5% M53Modeled

Philadelphia, PA · Modeled listing

Open brief
$140,0007.5% M53Modeled

Philadelphia, PA · Modeled listing

Open brief
$138,9007.5% M53Modeled

Philadelphia, PA · Modeled listing

Open brief
$135,5007.5% M53Modeled

Philadelphia, PA · Modeled listing

Open brief
$129,9997.5% M53Modeled

Philadelphia, PA · Modeled listing

Open brief
$125,0007.5% M53Modeled

Philadelphia, PA · Modeled listing

Open brief
$125,0007.5% M53Modeled

Philadelphia, PA · Modeled listing

Open brief
$124,9007.5% M53Modeled

Philadelphia, PA · Modeled listing

Open brief
$124,9007.5% M53Modeled

Philadelphia, PA · Modeled listing

Open brief
$109,9007.5% M53Modeled

Philadelphia, PA · Modeled listing

Open brief
$99,9007.5% M53Modeled

Philadelphia, PA · Modeled listing

Open brief
$95,0007.5% M53Modeled

Philadelphia, PA · Modeled listing

Open brief
$89,9007.5% M53Modeled

Philadelphia, PA · Modeled listing

Open brief
$87,2007.5% M53Modeled

Philadelphia, PA · Modeled listing

Open brief
$79,9907.5% M53Modeled

Philadelphia, PA · Modeled listing

Open brief
$780,0001.1% M48Modeled

Philadelphia, PA · Modeled listing

Open brief
$165,000Modeled

Philadelphia, PA · Modeled listing

Open brief

Verified Invest Deals

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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — 100% of Verified actives with ARV screen Hard Reject at ask under FlipScout QDA defaults.

US Goldmine Atlas

Sold-density underwriting terminals nationwide. Browse all Goldmines · Absorption regimes · Fix & flip underwriting · Methodology · Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Markets hub · Pennsylvania Goldmines

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