Absorption / MOS
Seller-leaning absorption
MOS 3.4 mo
sold_6m 186 · actives 105 · High confidence
186 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.
Free: Hard Reject rates, MOS, Verified/Modeled mix. Pro $15/mo: street addresses + MAO $. Methodology
FlipScout Dealpedia
Lancaster, PA Hard Reject Underwriting Tape (17602)
FlipScout underwriting tape for Lancaster, PA (17602) — 105 actives, 6 Verified / 32 Modeled. Absorption: Seller-leaning absorption; sold_6m=186 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject rate 100.0% on Verified w/ ARV (QDA defaults — Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy on Bid Tape; Bid $ free).
Signal Narrative
Lancaster, PA (17602) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=186 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 105 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 3.4 mo (Seller-leaning absorption; velocity ≈ 31.0 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 6 Verified / 32 Modeled / 67 Unscored. Hard Reject at ask 100.0% on Verified-with-ARV (QDA defaults — rates only on free hubs). Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.
Underwriting terminal
Neighborhood tape
As of 2026-07-30T06:11:43Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro
Quant Art
Neighborhood math
Backed by FlipScout solds + Verified ask tape · 2026-07-30T06:11:43Z · daily snapshot
MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 105 ÷ (186 ÷ 6) = 105 ÷ 31.0
Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12
monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 186 / 6 = 31.0 closings/mo
Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape
gross_margin% = (ARV − list − rehab) / list · Verified actives @ ask
Universe: Verified ask tape · n=6 · not sold-comp ROI
HardReject% = list_above_mao / Verified_w_ARV = 6 / 6
QDA defaults: 12% required net · 4-mo carry · 2% slip · Bid $ free on tape
Total Listings
105
Verified 6 · Modeled 32 · Unscored 67
Median Verified margin
-44.72%
p25 -49.41% · p75 -31.91% · n=6
Hard Reject at ask
100.0%
Strong 0.0% · Pass 0.0%
Share where list exceeds FlipScout MAO at QDA defaults (12% required net / 4-mo carry / 2% slip). Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy at ask on Bid Tape; Bid $ free on sheets.
Rehab bands
T2$59.89/sqft · n=6
Verified · condition tier $/sqft
Median Apex
54.8
Hot 0.0% · n=6
Trajectory
Stable
Neighborhood enrichment signal
Honesty mix
5.7% Verified
Modeled 30.5% · Unscored 63.8%
List → ARV discount
-16.78%
Deep share 0.0% · n=6
Hold bleed pressure
$50–$100/day
Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro
Condo/SFR split withheld — need ≥8 Verified per class.
Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes
Active inventory
40 shown of 105 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $300,000 · mix V6/M34/U0
Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 17602. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.
PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$229,90014.0% V57VerifiedLancaster, PA · Verified listing
Open brief
$236,00013.4% V57VerifiedLancaster, PA · Verified listing
Open brief
$234,90013.1% V57VerifiedLancaster, PA · Verified listing
Open brief
$349,9007.9% V53VerifiedLancaster, PA · Verified listing
Open brief
$475,0005.7% V52VerifiedLancaster, PA · Verified listing
Open brief
$460,0005.2% V51VerifiedLancaster, PA · Verified listing
Open brief
$750,0007.5% M53ModeledLancaster, PA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$699,9007.5% M53ModeledLancaster, PA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$689,9007.5% M53ModeledLancaster, PA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$629,9007.5% M53ModeledLancaster, PA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$625,0007.5% M53ModeledLancaster, PA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$549,9007.5% M53ModeledLancaster, PA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$499,9007.5% M53ModeledLancaster, PA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$489,9007.5% M53ModeledLancaster, PA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$475,0007.5% M53ModeledLancaster, PA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$415,0007.5% M53ModeledLancaster, PA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$375,0007.5% M53ModeledLancaster, PA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$355,0007.5% M53ModeledLancaster, PA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$349,9997.5% M53ModeledLancaster, PA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$349,9007.5% M53ModeledLancaster, PA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$325,0007.5% M53ModeledLancaster, PA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$300,0007.5% M53ModeledLancaster, PA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$300,0007.5% M53ModeledLancaster, PA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$299,5007.5% M53ModeledLancaster, PA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$295,0007.5% M53ModeledLancaster, PA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$289,9007.5% M53ModeledLancaster, PA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$250,0007.5% M53ModeledLancaster, PA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$249,9007.5% M53ModeledLancaster, PA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$239,9007.5% M53ModeledLancaster, PA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$248,0007.5% M53ModeledLancaster, PA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$245,0007.5% M53ModeledLancaster, PA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$225,0007.5% M53ModeledLancaster, PA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$225,0007.5% M53ModeledLancaster, PA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$225,0007.5% M53ModeledLancaster, PA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$219,9007.5% M53ModeledLancaster, PA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$210,0007.5% M53ModeledLancaster, PA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$175,0007.5% M53ModeledLancaster, PA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$130,0007.5% M53ModeledLancaster, PA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$244,900——ModeledLancaster, PA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$429,900——ModeledLancaster, PA · Modeled listing
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PriceMarginApexAddress
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US Goldmine Atlas
Sold-density underwriting terminals nationwide. Browse all Goldmines · Absorption regimes · Fix & flip underwriting · Methodology · Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Markets hub · Pennsylvania Goldmines