Absorption / MOS
Market frozen / inventory backpressure
MOS 86.4 mo
sold_6m 15 · actives 216 · High confidence
15 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.
Free: Hard Reject rates, MOS, Verified/Modeled mix. Pro $15/mo: street addresses + MAO $. Methodology
FlipScout Dealpedia
Philadelphia, PA Flip MOS Underwriting Tape (19148)
FlipScout underwriting tape for Philadelphia, PA (19148) — 216 actives, 0 Verified / 34 Modeled. Absorption: Market frozen / inventory backpressure; sold_6m=15 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject % withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — sold liquidity and MOS remain the primary published signals.
Signal Narrative
Philadelphia, PA (19148) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=15 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 216 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 86.4 mo (Market frozen / inventory backpressure; velocity ≈ 2.5 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 0 Verified / 34 Modeled / 182 Unscored. Hard Reject % and Verified margins are withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — we do not invent ask-tape from Modeled comps. Directional Modeled ask margin median is +7.5% (n=34) — labeled Modeled, not Verified. Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.
Underwriting terminal
Neighborhood tape
As of 2026-07-28T06:26:10Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro
Quant Art
Neighborhood math
Sold liquidity + MOS primary · ask-tape pending Verified depth · 2026-07-28T06:26:10Z · daily snapshot
MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 216 ÷ (15 ÷ 6) = 216 ÷ 2.5
Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12
monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 15 / 6 = 2.5 closings/mo
Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape
Verified ask sample too thin for Hard Reject % and Verified margin ladder (need ≥3 Verified-with-ARV). Verified actives: 0.
Modeled actives: 34 · Median Modeled ask margin: +7.5% (directional only — not Verified comps).
This Goldmine still underwrites via sold liquidity + MOS. Hard Reject rates publish when Verified-with-ARV depth clears n≥3.
Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Underwriting method
Total Listings
216
Verified 0 · Modeled 34 · Unscored 182
Median Modeled margin
7.5%
Directional Modeled ask tape · n=34 · not Verified comps
Hard Reject at ask
Pending
Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate
Need ≥3 Verified-with-ARV (have 0 Verified). We never invent Hard Reject from Modeled comps.
Rehab bands
Verified rehab $/sqft bands need deeper Verified sample.
Verified · condition tier $/sqft
Median Apex
N/A
Insufficient scored Apex sample (0-sentinel excluded)
Trajectory
Stable
Neighborhood enrichment signal
Honesty mix
0.0% Verified
Modeled 15.7% · Unscored 84.3%
List → ARV discount
—
Deep share — · n=—
Hold bleed pressure
—
Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro
Zero Verified actives — Hard Reject / margin tape withheld (Modeled-only).
Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes
Active inventory
40 shown of 216 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $359,450 · mix V0/M40/U0
Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 19148. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.
PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$750,0007.5% M53ModeledPhiladelphia, PA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$749,9007.5% M53ModeledPhiladelphia, PA · Modeled listing
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$725,0007.5% M53ModeledPhiladelphia, PA · Modeled listing
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$600,0007.5% M53ModeledPhiladelphia, PA · Modeled listing
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$599,0007.5% M53ModeledPhiladelphia, PA · Modeled listing
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$575,0007.5% M53ModeledPhiladelphia, PA · Modeled listing
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$559,9007.5% M53ModeledPhiladelphia, PA · Modeled listing
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$550,0007.5% M53ModeledPhiladelphia, PA · Modeled listing
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$499,0007.5% M53ModeledPhiladelphia, PA · Modeled listing
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$475,0007.5% M53ModeledPhiladelphia, PA · Modeled listing
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$475,0007.5% M53ModeledPhiladelphia, PA · Modeled listing
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$415,0007.5% M53ModeledPhiladelphia, PA · Modeled listing
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$414,9007.5% M53ModeledPhiladelphia, PA · Modeled listing
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$375,0007.5% M53ModeledPhiladelphia, PA · Modeled listing
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$370,0007.5% M53ModeledPhiladelphia, PA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$369,9007.5% M53ModeledPhiladelphia, PA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$349,0007.5% M53ModeledPhiladelphia, PA · Modeled listing
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$299,9007.5% M53ModeledPhiladelphia, PA · Modeled listing
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$295,0007.5% M53ModeledPhiladelphia, PA · Modeled listing
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$289,0007.5% M53ModeledPhiladelphia, PA · Modeled listing
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$285,0007.5% M53ModeledPhiladelphia, PA · Modeled listing
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$280,0007.5% M53ModeledPhiladelphia, PA · Modeled listing
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$269,9997.5% M53ModeledPhiladelphia, PA · Modeled listing
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$260,0007.5% M53ModeledPhiladelphia, PA · Modeled listing
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$249,9997.5% M53ModeledPhiladelphia, PA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$245,0007.5% M53ModeledPhiladelphia, PA · Modeled listing
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$239,9007.5% M53ModeledPhiladelphia, PA · Modeled listing
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$210,0007.5% M53ModeledPhiladelphia, PA · Modeled listing
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$209,9007.5% M53ModeledPhiladelphia, PA · Modeled listing
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$209,0007.5% M53ModeledPhiladelphia, PA · Modeled listing
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$199,9997.5% M53ModeledPhiladelphia, PA · Modeled listing
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$199,9007.5% M53ModeledPhiladelphia, PA · Modeled listing
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$599,9991.6% M49ModeledPhiladelphia, PA · Modeled listing
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$780,0000.9% M48ModeledPhiladelphia, PA · Modeled listing
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$599,850——ModeledPhiladelphia, PA · Modeled listing
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$209,999——ModeledPhiladelphia, PA · Modeled listing
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$179,900——ModeledPhiladelphia, PA · Modeled listing
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$415,000——ModeledPhiladelphia, PA · Modeled listing
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$199,000——ModeledPhiladelphia, PA · Modeled listing
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$259,000——ModeledPhiladelphia, PA · Modeled listing
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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — actives are Modeled or unscored; honesty gate withholds the invest feed.
US Goldmine Atlas
Sold-density underwriting terminals nationwide. Browse all Goldmines · Absorption regimes · Fix & flip underwriting · Methodology · Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Markets hub · Pennsylvania Goldmines