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Winchester, VA Flip MOS Underwriting Tape (22602)

FlipScout underwriting tape for Winchester, VA (22602) — 164 actives, 0 Verified / 35 Modeled. Absorption: Market frozen / inventory backpressure; sold_6m=24 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject % withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — sold liquidity and MOS remain the primary published signals.

Signal Narrative

Winchester, VA (22602) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=24 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 164 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 41.0 mo (Market frozen / inventory backpressure; velocity ≈ 4.0 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 0 Verified / 35 Modeled / 129 Unscored. Hard Reject % and Verified margins are withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — we do not invent ask-tape from Modeled comps. Directional Modeled ask margin median is +7.5% (n=35) — labeled Modeled, not Verified. Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.

Underwriting terminal

Neighborhood tape

As of 2026-08-01T06:33:33Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro

Quant Art

Neighborhood math

Sold liquidity + MOS primary · ask-tape pending Verified depth · 2026-08-01T06:33:33Z · daily snapshot

Absorption dial
41.0 MOS mo

MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 164 ÷ (24 ÷ 6) = 164 ÷ 4.0

Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12

Sold liquidity stripe
sold_6m 24 actives 164

monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 24 / 6 = 4.0 closings/mo

Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape

Ask-tape status

Verified ask sample too thin for Hard Reject % and Verified margin ladder (need ≥3 Verified-with-ARV). Verified actives: 0.

Modeled actives: 35 · Median Modeled ask margin: +7.5% (directional only — not Verified comps).

This Goldmine still underwrites via sold liquidity + MOS. Hard Reject rates publish when Verified-with-ARV depth clears n≥3.

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Underwriting method

Absorption / MOS

Market frozen / inventory backpressure

MOS 41.0 mo

sold_6m 24 · actives 164 · High confidence

24 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.

Total Listings

164

Verified 0 · Modeled 35 · Unscored 129

Median Modeled margin

7.5%

Directional Modeled ask tape · n=35 · not Verified comps

Rehab bands

Verified rehab $/sqft bands need deeper Verified sample.

Verified · condition tier $/sqft

Median Apex

N/A

Insufficient scored Apex sample (0-sentinel excluded)

Trajectory

Stable

Neighborhood enrichment signal

Honesty mix

0.0% Verified

Modeled 21.3% · Unscored 78.7%

List → ARV discount

—

Deep share — · n=—

Hold bleed pressure

—

Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro

Zero Verified actives — Hard Reject / margin tape withheld (Modeled-only).

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes

Active inventory

40 shown of 164 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $462,240 · mix V0/M40/U0

Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 22602. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.

Browse all in Houses →
PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$775,0007.5% M53Modeled

Winchester, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$749,9907.5% M53Modeled

Winchester, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$636,9907.5% M53Modeled

Winchester, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$632,9907.5% M53Modeled

Winchester, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$609,9907.5% M53Modeled

Winchester, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$600,0007.5% M53Modeled

Winchester, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$599,9007.5% M53Modeled

Winchester, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$589,9907.5% M53Modeled

Winchester, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$575,9907.5% M53Modeled

Winchester, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$575,9907.5% M53Modeled

Winchester, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$539,9007.5% M53Modeled

Winchester, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$514,9007.5% M53Modeled

Winchester, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$509,9907.5% M53Modeled

Winchester, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$489,9907.5% M53Modeled

Winchester, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$474,4907.5% M53Modeled

Winchester, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$449,9907.5% M53Modeled

Winchester, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$425,0007.5% M53Modeled

Winchester, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$415,0007.5% M53Modeled

Winchester, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$415,0007.5% M53Modeled

Winchester, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$380,0007.5% M53Modeled

Winchester, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$378,2607.5% M53Modeled

Winchester, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$365,0007.5% M53Modeled

Winchester, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$359,9907.5% M53Modeled

Winchester, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$352,9997.5% M53Modeled

Winchester, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$337,0007.5% M53Modeled

Winchester, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$309,9007.5% M53Modeled

Winchester, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$299,9007.5% M53Modeled

Winchester, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$295,0007.5% M53Modeled

Winchester, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$295,0007.5% M53Modeled

Winchester, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$290,0007.5% M53Modeled

Winchester, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$289,0007.5% M53Modeled

Winchester, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$285,0007.5% M53Modeled

Winchester, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$229,9007.5% M53Modeled

Winchester, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$585,0007.3% M53Modeled

Winchester, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$695,0001.6% M49Modeled

Winchester, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$377,400——Modeled

Winchester, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$598,990——Modeled

Winchester, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$675,000——Modeled

Winchester, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$240,000——Modeled

Winchester, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$519,990——Modeled

Winchester, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief

Verified Invest Deals

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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — actives are Modeled or unscored; honesty gate withholds the invest feed.

US Goldmine Atlas

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