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Richmond, VA Flip MOS Underwriting Tape (23220)

FlipScout underwriting tape for Richmond, VA (23220) — 82 actives, 0 Verified / 32 Modeled. Absorption: Market frozen / inventory backpressure; sold_6m=26 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject % withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — sold liquidity and MOS remain the primary published signals.

Signal Narrative

Richmond, VA (23220) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=26 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 82 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 18.9 mo (Market frozen / inventory backpressure; velocity ≈ 4.3 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 0 Verified / 32 Modeled / 50 Unscored. Hard Reject % and Verified margins are withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — we do not invent ask-tape from Modeled comps. Directional Modeled ask margin median is +7.5% (n=32) — labeled Modeled, not Verified. Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.

Underwriting terminal

Neighborhood tape

As of 2026-07-30T06:47:54Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro

Quant Art

Neighborhood math

Sold liquidity + MOS primary · ask-tape pending Verified depth · 2026-07-30T06:47:54Z · daily snapshot

Absorption dial
18.9 MOS mo

MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 82 ÷ (26 ÷ 6) = 82 ÷ 4.3

Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12

Sold liquidity stripe
sold_6m 26 actives 82

monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 26 / 6 = 4.3 closings/mo

Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape

Ask-tape status

Verified ask sample too thin for Hard Reject % and Verified margin ladder (need ≥3 Verified-with-ARV). Verified actives: 0.

Modeled actives: 32 · Median Modeled ask margin: +7.5% (directional only — not Verified comps).

This Goldmine still underwrites via sold liquidity + MOS. Hard Reject rates publish when Verified-with-ARV depth clears n≥3.

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Underwriting method

Absorption / MOS

Market frozen / inventory backpressure

MOS 18.9 mo

sold_6m 26 · actives 82 · High confidence

26 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.

Total Listings

82

Verified 0 · Modeled 32 · Unscored 50

Median Modeled margin

7.5%

Directional Modeled ask tape · n=32 · not Verified comps

Rehab bands

Verified rehab $/sqft bands need deeper Verified sample.

Verified · condition tier $/sqft

Median Apex

N/A

Insufficient scored Apex sample (0-sentinel excluded)

Trajectory

Stable

Neighborhood enrichment signal

Honesty mix

0.0% Verified

Modeled 39.0% · Unscored 61.0%

List → ARV discount

—

Deep share — · n=—

Hold bleed pressure

—

Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro

Zero Verified actives — Hard Reject / margin tape withheld (Modeled-only).

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes

Active inventory

40 shown of 82 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $458,950 · mix V0/M40/U0

Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 23220. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.

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PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$750,0007.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$699,9507.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$690,0007.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$600,0007.5% M53Modeled

Richmond, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$599,0007.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$559,0007.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$549,9507.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$459,9007.5% M53Modeled

Richmond, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$458,0007.5% M53Modeled

Richmond, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$457,9507.5% M53Modeled

Richmond, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$445,0007.5% M53Modeled

Richmond, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$429,9507.5% M53Modeled

Richmond, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$429,0007.5% M53Modeled

Richmond, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$425,0007.5% M53Modeled

Richmond, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$419,9007.5% M53Modeled

Richmond, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$399,9507.5% M53Modeled

Richmond, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$399,0007.5% M53Modeled

Richmond, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$380,0007.5% M53Modeled

Richmond, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$339,0007.5% M53Modeled

Richmond, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$329,9507.5% M53Modeled

Richmond, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$325,0007.5% M53Modeled

Richmond, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$279,9507.5% M53Modeled

Richmond, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$275,0007.5% M53Modeled

Richmond, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$270,0007.5% M53Modeled

Richmond, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$225,0007.5% M53Modeled

Richmond, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$599,9507.4% M53Modeled

Richmond, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$599,9907.3% M53Modeled

Richmond, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$659,9502.0% M49Modeled

Richmond, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$625,0001.9% M49Modeled

Richmond, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$799,9001.4% M48Modeled

Richmond, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$720,0000.9% M48Modeled

Richmond, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$480,000——Modeled

Richmond, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$480,000——Modeled

Richmond, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$324,950——Modeled

Richmond, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$249,950——Modeled

Richmond, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$275,000——Modeled

Richmond, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$714,950——Modeled

Richmond, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$695,000——Modeled

Richmond, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief$749,950——Modeled

Richmond, VA · Modeled listing

Open brief

Verified Invest Deals

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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — actives are Modeled or unscored; honesty gate withholds the invest feed.

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