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FlipScout Dealpedia

Winter Garden, FL Flip MOS Underwriting Tape (34787)

FlipScout underwriting tape for Winter Garden, FL (34787) — 174 actives, 0 Verified / 29 Modeled. Absorption: Market frozen / inventory backpressure; sold_6m=73 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject % withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — sold liquidity and MOS remain the primary published signals.

Signal Narrative

Winter Garden, FL (34787) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=73 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 174 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 14.3 mo (Market frozen / inventory backpressure; velocity ≈ 12.2 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 0 Verified / 29 Modeled / 145 Unscored. Hard Reject % and Verified margins are withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — we do not invent ask-tape from Modeled comps. Directional Modeled ask margin median is +7.5% (n=29) — labeled Modeled, not Verified. Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.

Underwriting terminal

Neighborhood tape

As of 2026-07-28T06:21:23Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro

Quant Art

Neighborhood math

Sold liquidity + MOS primary · ask-tape pending Verified depth · 2026-07-28T06:21:23Z · daily snapshot

Absorption dial
14.3 MOS mo

MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 174 ÷ (73 ÷ 6) = 174 ÷ 12.2

Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12

Sold liquidity stripe
sold_6m 73 actives 174

monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 73 / 6 = 12.2 closings/mo

Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape

Ask-tape status

Verified ask sample too thin for Hard Reject % and Verified margin ladder (need ≥3 Verified-with-ARV). Verified actives: 0.

Modeled actives: 29 · Median Modeled ask margin: +7.5% (directional only — not Verified comps).

This Goldmine still underwrites via sold liquidity + MOS. Hard Reject rates publish when Verified-with-ARV depth clears n≥3.

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Underwriting method

Absorption / MOS

Market frozen / inventory backpressure

MOS 14.3 mo

sold_6m 73 · actives 174 · High confidence

73 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.

Total Listings

174

Verified 0 · Modeled 29 · Unscored 145

Median Modeled margin

7.5%

Directional Modeled ask tape · n=29 · not Verified comps

Rehab bands

Verified rehab $/sqft bands need deeper Verified sample.

Verified · condition tier $/sqft

Median Apex

N/A

Insufficient scored Apex sample (0-sentinel excluded)

Trajectory

Stable

Neighborhood enrichment signal

Honesty mix

0.0% Verified

Modeled 16.7% · Unscored 83.3%

List → ARV discount

—

Deep share — · n=—

Hold bleed pressure

—

Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro

Zero Verified actives — Hard Reject / margin tape withheld (Modeled-only).

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes

Active inventory

40 shown of 174 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $584,990 · mix V0/M40/U0

Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 34787. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.

Browse all in Houses →
PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$774,8157.5% M53Modeled

Winter Garden, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$754,5507.5% M53Modeled

Winter Garden, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$750,0007.5% M53Modeled

Winter Garden, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$749,0007.5% M53Modeled

Winter Garden, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$737,1097.5% M53Modeled

Winter Garden, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$732,9907.5% M53Modeled

Winter Garden, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$696,0007.5% M53Modeled

Winter Garden, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$693,2307.5% M53Modeled

Winter Garden, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$679,0007.5% M53Modeled

Winter Garden, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$668,9907.5% M53Modeled

Winter Garden, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$649,9907.5% M53Modeled

Winter Garden, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$609,6117.5% M53Modeled

Winter Garden, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$606,4407.5% M53Modeled

Winter Garden, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$599,0007.5% M53Modeled

Winter Garden, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$589,9907.5% M53Modeled

Winter Garden, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$579,9907.5% M53Modeled

Winter Garden, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$550,0007.5% M53Modeled

Winter Garden, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$537,0007.5% M53Modeled

Winter Garden, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$515,0007.5% M53Modeled

Winter Garden, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$484,9967.5% M53Modeled

Winter Garden, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$471,7357.5% M53Modeled

Winter Garden, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$464,9907.5% M53Modeled

Winter Garden, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$415,0007.5% M53Modeled

Winter Garden, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$360,0007.5% M53Modeled

Winter Garden, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$299,9997.5% M53Modeled

Winter Garden, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$271,0007.5% M53Modeled

Winter Garden, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$215,0007.5% M53Modeled

Winter Garden, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$169,9007.5% M53Modeled

Winter Garden, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$758,1881.8% M49Modeled

Winter Garden, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$350,000——Modeled

Winter Garden, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$549,990——Modeled

Winter Garden, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$493,583——Modeled

Winter Garden, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$715,442——Modeled

Winter Garden, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$174,999——Modeled

Winter Garden, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$690,000——Modeled

Winter Garden, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$764,990——Modeled

Winter Garden, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$485,000——Modeled

Winter Garden, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$351,450——Modeled

Winter Garden, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$464,990——Modeled

Winter Garden, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief$740,205——Modeled

Winter Garden, FL · Modeled listing

Open brief

Verified Invest Deals

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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — actives are Modeled or unscored; honesty gate withholds the invest feed.

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