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Mission Viejo, CA Hard Reject Underwriting Tape (92692)

FlipScout underwriting tape for Mission Viejo, CA (92692) — 25 actives, 15 Verified / 0 Modeled. Absorption: Seller-leaning absorption; sold_6m=186 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject rate 100.0% on Verified w/ ARV (QDA defaults — Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy on Bid Tape; Bid $ free).

Signal Narrative

Mission Viejo, CA (92692) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=186 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 25 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 0.8 mo (Seller-leaning absorption; velocity ≈ 31.0 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 15 Verified / 0 Modeled / 10 Unscored. Hard Reject at ask 100.0% on Verified-with-ARV (QDA defaults — rates only on free hubs). Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.

Underwriting terminal

Neighborhood tape

As of 2026-07-29T06:10:42Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro

Quant Art

Neighborhood math

Backed by FlipScout solds + Verified ask tape · 2026-07-29T06:10:42Z · daily snapshot

Absorption dial
0.8 MOS mo

MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 25 ÷ (186 ÷ 6) = 25 ÷ 31.0

Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12

Sold liquidity stripe
sold_6m 186 actives 25

monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 186 / 6 = 31.0 closings/mo

Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape

Margin quantile ladder
0% p25 -27.7%med -22.6%p75 -8.4%

gross_margin% = (ARV − list − rehab) / list · Verified actives @ ask

Universe: Verified ask tape · n=15 · not sold-comp ROI

Hard Reject ring
100% at ask

HardReject% = list_above_mao / Verified_w_ARV = 15 / 15

QDA defaults: 12% required net · 4-mo carry · 2% slip · Bid $ free on tape

Absorption / MOS

Seller-leaning absorption

MOS 0.8 mo

sold_6m 186 · actives 25 · High confidence

186 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.

Total Listings

25

Verified 15 · Modeled 0 · Unscored 10

Median Verified margin

-22.57%

p25 -27.68% · p75 -8.39% · n=15

Hard Reject at ask

100.0%

Strong 0.0% · Pass 0.0%

Share where list exceeds FlipScout MAO at QDA defaults (12% required net / 4-mo carry / 2% slip). Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy at ask on Bid Tape; Bid $ free on sheets.

Rehab bands

T2$72.26/sqft · n=5

Verified · condition tier $/sqft

Median Apex

48.4

Hot 0.0% · n=5

Trajectory

Stable

Neighborhood enrichment signal

Honesty mix

60.0% Verified

Modeled 0.0% · Unscored 40.0%

List → ARV discount

-17.34%

Deep share 0.0% · n=15

Hold bleed pressure

$150–$200/day

Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro

Condo/SFR split withheld — need ≥8 Verified per class.

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes

Active inventory

25 shown of 25 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $720,000 · mix V15/M10/U0

Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 92692. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.

Browse all in Houses →
PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$629,0001.8% V49Verified

Mission Viejo, CA · Verified listing

Open brief$659,9001.4% V48Verified

Mission Viejo, CA · Verified listing

Open brief$699,0001.3% V48Verified

Mission Viejo, CA · Verified listing

Open brief$728,5000.8% V48Verified

Mission Viejo, CA · Verified listing

Open brief$760,0000.8% V48Verified

Mission Viejo, CA · Verified listing

Open brief$680,000-4.7% V—VerifiedNeg margin

Mission Viejo, CA · Verified listing

Open brief$685,000-5.0% V—VerifiedNeg margin

Mission Viejo, CA · Verified listing

Open brief$660,000-5.8% V—VerifiedNeg margin

Mission Viejo, CA · Verified listing

Open brief$625,000-7.1% V—VerifiedNeg margin

Mission Viejo, CA · Verified listing

Open brief$720,000-7.4% V—VerifiedNeg margin

Mission Viejo, CA · Verified listing

Open brief$788,000-8.0% V—VerifiedNeg margin

Mission Viejo, CA · Verified listing

Open brief$799,000-9.0% V—VerifiedNeg margin

Mission Viejo, CA · Verified listing

Open brief$775,000-10.8% V—VerifiedNeg margin

Mission Viejo, CA · Verified listing

Open brief$620,000-13.6% V—VerifiedNeg margin

Mission Viejo, CA · Verified listing

Open brief$669,999-24.8% V—VerifiedNeg margin

Mission Viejo, CA · Verified listing

Open brief$575,000——Modeled

Mission Viejo, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$789,000——Modeled

Mission Viejo, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$720,000——Modeled

Mission Viejo, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$799,000——Modeled

Mission Viejo, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$759,900——Modeled

Mission Viejo, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$799,000——Modeled

Mission Viejo, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$799,900——Modeled

Mission Viejo, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$640,000——Modeled

Mission Viejo, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$647,999——Modeled

Mission Viejo, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$725,000——Modeled

Mission Viejo, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief

Verified Invest Deals

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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — 100% of Verified actives with ARV screen Hard Reject at ask under FlipScout QDA defaults.

US Goldmine Atlas

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