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Staten Island, NY Hard Reject Underwriting Tape (10306)

FlipScout underwriting tape for Staten Island, NY (10306) — 109 actives, 5 Verified / 14 Modeled. Absorption: Balanced absorption; sold_6m=154 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject rate 100.0% on Verified w/ ARV (QDA defaults — Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy on Bid Tape; Bid $ free).

Signal Narrative

Staten Island, NY (10306) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=154 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 109 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 4.2 mo (Balanced absorption; velocity ≈ 25.7 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 5 Verified / 14 Modeled / 90 Unscored. Hard Reject at ask 100.0% on Verified-with-ARV (QDA defaults — rates only on free hubs). Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.

Underwriting terminal

Neighborhood tape

As of 2026-07-30T06:32:30Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro

Quant Art

Neighborhood math

Backed by FlipScout solds + Verified ask tape · 2026-07-30T06:32:30Z · daily snapshot

Absorption dial
4.2 MOS mo

MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 109 ÷ (154 ÷ 6) = 109 ÷ 25.7

Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12

Sold liquidity stripe
sold_6m 154 actives 109

monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 154 / 6 = 25.7 closings/mo

Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape

Margin quantile ladder
0% p25 -14.9%med -1.1%p75 +7.0%

gross_margin% = (ARV − list − rehab) / list · Verified actives @ ask

Universe: Verified ask tape · n=5 · not sold-comp ROI

Hard Reject ring
100% at ask

HardReject% = list_above_mao / Verified_w_ARV = 5 / 5

QDA defaults: 12% required net · 4-mo carry · 2% slip · Bid $ free on tape

Absorption / MOS

Balanced absorption

MOS 4.2 mo

sold_6m 154 · actives 109 · High confidence

154 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.

Total Listings

109

Verified 5 · Modeled 14 · Unscored 90

Median Verified margin

-1.06%

p25 -14.88% · p75 6.96% · n=5

Hard Reject at ask

100.0%

Strong 0.0% · Pass 0.0%

Share where list exceeds FlipScout MAO at QDA defaults (12% required net / 4-mo carry / 2% slip). Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy at ask on Bid Tape; Bid $ free on sheets.

Rehab bands

T2$57.03/sqft · n=5

Verified · condition tier $/sqft

Median Apex

48.7

Hot 0.0% · n=5

Trajectory

Stable

Neighborhood enrichment signal

Honesty mix

4.6% Verified

Modeled 12.8% · Unscored 82.6%

List → ARV discount

11.78%

Deep share 20.0% · n=5

Hold bleed pressure

$150–$200/day

Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro

Condo/SFR split withheld — need ≥8 Verified per class.

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes

Active inventory

40 shown of 109 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $666,444 · mix V5/M35/U0

Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 10306. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.

Browse all in Houses →
PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$298,0009.2% V54Verified

Staten Island, NY · Verified listing

Open brief$628,0002.2% V49Verified

Staten Island, NY · Verified listing

Open brief$649,0001.6% V49Verified

Staten Island, NY · Verified listing

Open brief$725,0001.2% V48Verified

Staten Island, NY · Verified listing

Open brief$795,0001.0% V48Verified

Staten Island, NY · Verified listing

Open brief$484,9997.5% M53Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$320,0007.5% M53Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$429,9997.3% M53Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$728,0001.7% M49Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$659,0000.4% M48Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$685,0000.4% M48Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$679,0000.3% M48Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$748,000-0.0% M—ModeledNeg margin

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$769,900-0.2% M—ModeledNeg margin

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$774,999-0.2% M—ModeledNeg margin

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$799,000-0.5% M—ModeledNeg margin

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$789,000-0.7% M—ModeledNeg margin

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$799,000-0.8% M—ModeledNeg margin

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$774,999-0.9% M—ModeledNeg margin

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$689,000——Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$625,000——Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$754,900——Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$583,000——Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$384,000——Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$729,000——Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$550,000——Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$388,000——Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$719,888——Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$550,000——Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$539,000——Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$525,000——Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$525,000——Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$634,999——Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$649,000——Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$673,888——Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$799,000——Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$649,800——Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$749,900——Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$749,000——Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$289,000——Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief

Verified Invest Deals

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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — 100% of Verified actives with ARV screen Hard Reject at ask under FlipScout QDA defaults.

US Goldmine Atlas

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