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Staten Island, NY Hard Reject Underwriting Tape (10314)

FlipScout underwriting tape for Staten Island, NY (10314) — 124 actives, 5 Verified / 24 Modeled. Absorption: Balanced absorption; sold_6m=170 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject rate 100.0% on Verified w/ ARV (QDA defaults — Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy on Bid Tape; Bid $ free).

Signal Narrative

Staten Island, NY (10314) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=170 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 124 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 4.4 mo (Balanced absorption; velocity ≈ 28.3 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 5 Verified / 24 Modeled / 95 Unscored. Hard Reject at ask 100.0% on Verified-with-ARV (QDA defaults — rates only on free hubs). Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.

Underwriting terminal

Neighborhood tape

As of 2026-07-31T06:33:05Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro

Quant Art

Neighborhood math

Backed by FlipScout solds + Verified ask tape · 2026-07-31T06:33:05Z · daily snapshot

Absorption dial
4.4 MOS mo

MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 124 ÷ (170 ÷ 6) = 124 ÷ 28.3

Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12

Sold liquidity stripe
sold_6m 170 actives 124

monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 170 / 6 = 28.3 closings/mo

Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape

Margin quantile ladder
0% p25 -22.0%med -12.9%p75 -5.1%

gross_margin% = (ARV − list − rehab) / list · Verified actives @ ask

Universe: Verified ask tape · n=5 · not sold-comp ROI

Hard Reject ring
100% at ask

HardReject% = list_above_mao / Verified_w_ARV = 5 / 5

QDA defaults: 12% required net · 4-mo carry · 2% slip · Bid $ free on tape

Absorption / MOS

Balanced absorption

MOS 4.4 mo

sold_6m 170 · actives 124 · High confidence

170 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.

Total Listings

124

Verified 5 · Modeled 24 · Unscored 95

Median Verified margin

-12.9%

p25 -21.97% · p75 -5.12% · n=5

Hard Reject at ask

100.0%

Strong 0.0% · Pass 0.0%

Share where list exceeds FlipScout MAO at QDA defaults (12% required net / 4-mo carry / 2% slip). Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy at ask on Bid Tape; Bid $ free on sheets.

Rehab bands

T2$63.03/sqft · n=5

Verified · condition tier $/sqft

Median Apex

49.5

Hot 0.0% · n=5

Trajectory

Stable

Neighborhood enrichment signal

Honesty mix

4.0% Verified

Modeled 19.4% · Unscored 76.6%

List → ARV discount

3.78%

Deep share 0.0% · n=5

Hold bleed pressure

$150–$200/day

Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro

Condo/SFR split withheld — need ≥8 Verified per class.

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes

Active inventory

40 shown of 124 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $614,450 · mix V5/M35/U0

Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 10314. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.

Browse all in Houses →
PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$476,0004.2% V50Verified

Staten Island, NY · Verified listing

Open brief$515,0003.4% V50Verified

Staten Island, NY · Verified listing

Open brief$565,0002.9% V50Verified

Staten Island, NY · Verified listing

Open brief$565,0002.8% V50Verified

Staten Island, NY · Verified listing

Open brief$799,0000.6% V48Verified

Staten Island, NY · Verified listing

Open brief$488,0007.5% M53Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$445,9997.5% M53Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$349,9997.5% M53Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$349,9007.5% M53Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$469,0007.4% M53Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$579,0002.2% M49Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$465,0002.0% M49Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$609,0001.8% M49Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$479,0001.5% M48Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$580,0001.4% M48Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$599,0001.2% M48Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$629,0000.9% M48Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$625,0000.8% M48Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$750,0000.7% M48Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$788,8880.7% M48Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$698,8880.2% M48Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$598,0000.2% M48Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$690,0000.2% M48Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$759,0000.1% M48Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$799,9990.1% M48Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$699,000-0.0% M—ModeledNeg margin

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$780,000-0.4% M—ModeledNeg margin

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$799,999-0.4% M—ModeledNeg margin

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$778,888-0.6% M—ModeledNeg margin

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$519,000——Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$748,000——Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$759,000——Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$588,000——Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$765,000——Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$399,900——Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$788,000——Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$405,000——Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$650,000——Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$619,900——Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$768,000——Modeled

Staten Island, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief

Verified Invest Deals

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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — 100% of Verified actives with ARV screen Hard Reject at ask under FlipScout QDA defaults.

US Goldmine Atlas

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