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Richmond Hill South, NY Flip MOS Underwriting Tape (11419)

FlipScout underwriting tape for Richmond Hill South, NY (11419) — 23 actives, 0 Verified / 19 Modeled. Absorption: Balanced absorption; sold_6m=30 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject % withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — sold liquidity and MOS remain the primary published signals.

Signal Narrative

Richmond Hill South, NY (11419) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=30 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 23 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 4.6 mo (Balanced absorption; velocity ≈ 5.0 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 0 Verified / 19 Modeled / 4 Unscored. Hard Reject % and Verified margins are withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — we do not invent ask-tape from Modeled comps. Directional Modeled ask margin median is -0.2% (n=19) — labeled Modeled, not Verified. Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.

Underwriting terminal

Neighborhood tape

As of 2026-07-28T06:23:36Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro

Quant Art

Neighborhood math

Sold liquidity + MOS primary · ask-tape pending Verified depth · 2026-07-28T06:23:36Z · daily snapshot

Absorption dial
4.6 MOS mo

MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 23 ÷ (30 ÷ 6) = 23 ÷ 5.0

Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12

Sold liquidity stripe
sold_6m 30 actives 23

monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 30 / 6 = 5.0 closings/mo

Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape

Ask-tape status

Verified ask sample too thin for Hard Reject % and Verified margin ladder (need ≥3 Verified-with-ARV). Verified actives: 0.

Modeled actives: 19 · Median Modeled ask margin: -0.2% (directional only — not Verified comps).

This Goldmine still underwrites via sold liquidity + MOS. Hard Reject rates publish when Verified-with-ARV depth clears n≥3.

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Underwriting method

Absorption / MOS

Balanced absorption

MOS 4.6 mo

sold_6m 30 · actives 23 · High confidence

30 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.

Total Listings

23

Verified 0 · Modeled 19 · Unscored 4

Median Modeled margin

-0.2%

Directional Modeled ask tape · n=19 · not Verified comps

Rehab bands

Verified rehab $/sqft bands need deeper Verified sample.

Verified · condition tier $/sqft

Median Apex

N/A

Insufficient scored Apex sample (0-sentinel excluded)

Trajectory

Stable

Neighborhood enrichment signal

Honesty mix

0.0% Verified

Modeled 82.6% · Unscored 17.4%

List → ARV discount

—

Deep share — · n=—

Hold bleed pressure

—

Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro

Zero Verified actives — Hard Reject / margin tape withheld (Modeled-only).

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes

Active inventory

23 shown of 23 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $759,000 · mix V0/M23/U0

Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 11419. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.

Browse all in Houses →
PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$525,0007.5% M53Modeled

Richmond Hill South, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$425,0007.5% M53Modeled

Richmond Hill South, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$669,0001.1% M48Modeled

Richmond Hill South, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$759,0000.7% M48Modeled

Richmond Hill South, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$789,9990.6% M48Modeled

Richmond Hill South, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$718,0000.2% M48Modeled

Richmond Hill South, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$705,0000.1% M48Modeled

Richmond Hill South, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$749,999-0.1% M—ModeledNeg margin

Richmond Hill South, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$779,000-0.1% M—ModeledNeg margin

Richmond Hill South, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$779,999-0.2% M—ModeledNeg margin

Richmond Hill South, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$775,000-0.2% M—ModeledNeg margin

Richmond Hill South, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$759,000-0.3% M—ModeledNeg margin

Richmond Hill South, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$799,000-0.4% M—ModeledNeg margin

Richmond Hill South, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$779,000-0.4% M—ModeledNeg margin

Richmond Hill South, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$799,999-0.5% M—ModeledNeg margin

Richmond Hill South, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$779,000-0.5% M—ModeledNeg margin

Richmond Hill South, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$699,000-0.5% M—ModeledNeg margin

Richmond Hill South, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$799,000-0.6% M—ModeledNeg margin

Richmond Hill South, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$799,999-0.6% M—ModeledNeg margin

Richmond Hill South, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$785,000——Modeled

Richmond Hill South, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$699,999——Modeled

Richmond Hill South, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$725,000——Modeled

Richmond Hill South, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief$729,000——Modeled

Richmond Hill South, NY · Modeled listing

Open brief

Verified Invest Deals

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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — actives are Modeled or unscored; honesty gate withholds the invest feed.

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