Absorption / MOS
Seller-leaning absorption
MOS 2.7 mo
sold_6m 161 · actives 72 · High confidence
161 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.
Free: Hard Reject rates, MOS, Verified/Modeled mix. Pro $15/mo: street addresses + MAO $. Methodology
FlipScout Dealpedia
Miami Beach, FL Hard Reject Underwriting Tape (33139)
FlipScout underwriting tape for Miami Beach, FL (33139) — 72 actives, 5 Verified / 3 Modeled. Absorption: Seller-leaning absorption; sold_6m=161 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject rate 100.0% on Verified w/ ARV (QDA defaults — Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy on Bid Tape; Bid $ free).
Signal Narrative
Miami Beach, FL (33139) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=161 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 72 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 2.7 mo (Seller-leaning absorption; velocity ≈ 26.8 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 5 Verified / 3 Modeled / 64 Unscored. Hard Reject at ask 100.0% on Verified-with-ARV (QDA defaults — rates only on free hubs). Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.
Underwriting terminal
Neighborhood tape
As of 2026-07-30T06:31:46Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro
Quant Art
Neighborhood math
Backed by FlipScout solds + Verified ask tape · 2026-07-30T06:31:46Z · daily snapshot
MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 72 ÷ (161 ÷ 6) = 72 ÷ 26.8
Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12
monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 161 / 6 = 26.8 closings/mo
Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape
gross_margin% = (ARV − list − rehab) / list · Verified actives @ ask
Universe: Verified ask tape · n=5 · not sold-comp ROI
HardReject% = list_above_mao / Verified_w_ARV = 5 / 5
QDA defaults: 12% required net · 4-mo carry · 2% slip · Bid $ free on tape
Total Listings
72
Verified 5 · Modeled 3 · Unscored 64
Median Verified margin
-16.42%
p25 -26.6% · p75 2.4% · n=5
Hard Reject at ask
100.0%
Strong 0.0% · Pass 0.0%
Share where list exceeds FlipScout MAO at QDA defaults (12% required net / 4-mo carry / 2% slip). Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy at ask on Bid Tape; Bid $ free on sheets.
Rehab bands
T2$111.47/sqft · n=5
Verified · condition tier $/sqft
Median Apex
52.3
Hot 0.0% · n=5
Trajectory
Stable
Neighborhood enrichment signal
Honesty mix
6.9% Verified
Modeled 4.2% · Unscored 88.9%
List → ARV discount
11.62%
Deep share 0.0% · n=5
Hold bleed pressure
$100–$150/day
Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro
Condo/SFR split withheld — need ≥8 Verified per class.
Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes
Active inventory
40 shown of 72 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $466,500 · mix V5/M35/U0
Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 33139. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.
PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$275,5009.8% V54VerifiedMiami Beach, FL · Verified listing
Open brief
$350,0006.9% V52VerifiedMiami Beach, FL · Verified listing
Open brief
$350,0006.8% V52VerifiedMiami Beach, FL · Verified listing
Open brief
$349,0006.7% V52VerifiedMiami Beach, FL · Verified listing
Open brief
$525,0002.8% V50VerifiedMiami Beach, FL · Verified listing
Open brief
$496,0007.5% M53ModeledMiami Beach, FL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$545,0001.9% M49ModeledMiami Beach, FL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$750,0000.7% M48ModeledMiami Beach, FL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$425,000——ModeledMiami Beach, FL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$299,000——ModeledMiami Beach, FL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$469,000——ModeledMiami Beach, FL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$469,000——ModeledMiami Beach, FL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$550,000——ModeledMiami Beach, FL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$695,000——ModeledMiami Beach, FL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$350,000——ModeledMiami Beach, FL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$354,000——ModeledMiami Beach, FL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$475,000——ModeledMiami Beach, FL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$279,000——ModeledMiami Beach, FL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$499,000——ModeledMiami Beach, FL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$235,000——ModeledMiami Beach, FL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$479,900——ModeledMiami Beach, FL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$345,000——ModeledMiami Beach, FL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$489,000——ModeledMiami Beach, FL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$335,000——ModeledMiami Beach, FL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$337,000——ModeledMiami Beach, FL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$325,000——ModeledMiami Beach, FL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$599,000——ModeledMiami Beach, FL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$499,000——ModeledMiami Beach, FL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$489,000——ModeledMiami Beach, FL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$464,000——ModeledMiami Beach, FL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$308,500——ModeledMiami Beach, FL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$799,000——ModeledMiami Beach, FL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$375,000——ModeledMiami Beach, FL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$330,000——ModeledMiami Beach, FL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$675,000——ModeledMiami Beach, FL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$327,000——ModeledMiami Beach, FL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$580,000——ModeledMiami Beach, FL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$500,000——ModeledMiami Beach, FL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$340,000——ModeledMiami Beach, FL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$725,000——ModeledMiami Beach, FL · Modeled listing
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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — 100% of Verified actives with ARV screen Hard Reject at ask under FlipScout QDA defaults.
Neighboring Corridors
Analyzing adjacent investment corridors? Track live margins in ZIP 33054 (33054) and ZIP 32801 (32801).
US Goldmine Atlas
Sold-density underwriting terminals nationwide. Browse all Goldmines · Absorption regimes · Fix & flip underwriting · Methodology · Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Markets hub · Florida Goldmines