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Lompoc, CA Flip MOS Underwriting Tape (93436)

FlipScout underwriting tape for Lompoc, CA (93436) — 71 actives, 0 Verified / 19 Modeled. Absorption: Seller-leaning absorption; sold_6m=106 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject % withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — sold liquidity and MOS remain the primary published signals.

Signal Narrative

Lompoc, CA (93436) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=106 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 71 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 4.0 mo (Seller-leaning absorption; velocity ≈ 17.7 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 0 Verified / 19 Modeled / 52 Unscored. Hard Reject % and Verified margins are withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — we do not invent ask-tape from Modeled comps. Directional Modeled ask margin median is +7.4% (n=19) — labeled Modeled, not Verified. Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.

Underwriting terminal

Neighborhood tape

As of 2026-07-28T06:19:50Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro

Quant Art

Neighborhood math

Sold liquidity + MOS primary · ask-tape pending Verified depth · 2026-07-28T06:19:50Z · daily snapshot

Absorption dial
4.0 MOS mo

MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 71 ÷ (106 ÷ 6) = 71 ÷ 17.7

Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12

Sold liquidity stripe
sold_6m 106 actives 71

monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 106 / 6 = 17.7 closings/mo

Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape

Ask-tape status

Verified ask sample too thin for Hard Reject % and Verified margin ladder (need ≥3 Verified-with-ARV). Verified actives: 0.

Modeled actives: 19 · Median Modeled ask margin: +7.4% (directional only — not Verified comps).

This Goldmine still underwrites via sold liquidity + MOS. Hard Reject rates publish when Verified-with-ARV depth clears n≥3.

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Underwriting method

Absorption / MOS

Seller-leaning absorption

MOS 4.0 mo

sold_6m 106 · actives 71 · High confidence

106 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.

Total Listings

71

Verified 0 · Modeled 19 · Unscored 52

Median Modeled margin

7.4%

Directional Modeled ask tape · n=19 · not Verified comps

Rehab bands

Verified rehab $/sqft bands need deeper Verified sample.

Verified · condition tier $/sqft

Median Apex

N/A

Insufficient scored Apex sample (0-sentinel excluded)

Trajectory

Stable

Neighborhood enrichment signal

Honesty mix

0.0% Verified

Modeled 26.8% · Unscored 73.2%

List → ARV discount

—

Deep share — · n=—

Hold bleed pressure

—

Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro

Zero Verified actives — Hard Reject / margin tape withheld (Modeled-only).

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes

Active inventory

40 shown of 71 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $594,450 · mix V0/M40/U0

Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 93436. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.

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Open brief$550,0007.4% M53Modeled

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Open brief$589,9007.4% M53Modeled

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Open brief$605,0007.3% M53Modeled

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Open brief$730,0001.5% M48Modeled

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Open brief$660,0001.4% M48Modeled

Lompoc, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$419,900——Modeled

Lompoc, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$355,000——Modeled

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Open brief$589,000——Modeled

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Open brief$540,000——Modeled

Lompoc, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$389,000——Modeled

Lompoc, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$365,000——Modeled

Lompoc, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$567,000——Modeled

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Open brief$669,900——Modeled

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Open brief$570,000——Modeled

Lompoc, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$768,000——Modeled

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Open brief$399,000——Modeled

Lompoc, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$499,900——Modeled

Lompoc, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$677,500——Modeled

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Open brief$610,000——Modeled

Lompoc, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$682,500——Modeled

Lompoc, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$355,000——Modeled

Lompoc, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$578,000——Modeled

Lompoc, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$695,000——Modeled

Lompoc, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$619,000——Modeled

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Open brief$764,000——Modeled

Lompoc, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$635,000——Modeled

Lompoc, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief

Verified Invest Deals

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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — actives are Modeled or unscored; honesty gate withholds the invest feed.

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