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FlipScout Dealpedia

San Francisco, CA Hard Reject Underwriting Tape (94110)

Name: FlipScout Market Dataset — San Francisco, CA 94110
Creator: FlipScout
License: https://flipscout.llc/legal/tos

FlipScout underwriting tape for San Francisco, CA (94110) — 11 actives, 4 Verified / 4 Modeled. Absorption: Seller-leaning absorption; sold_6m=172 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject rate 75.0% on Verified w/ ARV (QDA defaults — Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy on Bid Tape; Bid $ free).

Signal Narrative

San Francisco, CA (94110) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=172 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 11 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 0.4 mo (Seller-leaning absorption; velocity ≈ 28.7 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 4 Verified / 4 Modeled / 3 Unscored. Hard Reject at ask 75.0% on Verified-with-ARV (QDA defaults — rates only on free hubs). Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.

Underwriting terminal

Neighborhood tape

As of 2026-07-30T06:30:27Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro

Quant Art

Neighborhood math

Backed by FlipScout solds + Verified ask tape · 2026-07-30T06:30:27Z · daily snapshot

Absorption dial

MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 11 ÷ (172 ÷ 6) = 11 ÷ 28.7

Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12

Sold liquidity stripe

monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 172 / 6 = 28.7 closings/mo

Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape

Margin quantile ladder

gross_margin% = (ARV − list − rehab) / list · Verified actives @ ask

Universe: Verified ask tape · n=4 · not sold-comp ROI

Hard Reject ring

HardReject% = list_above_mao / Verified_w_ARV = 3 / 4

QDA defaults: 12% required net · 4-mo carry · 2% slip · Bid $ free on tape

Absorption / MOS

Seller-leaning absorption

MOS 0.4 mo

sold_6m 172 · actives 11 · High confidence

172 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.

Total Listings

Verified 4 · Modeled 4 · Unscored 3

Median Verified margin

26.48%

p25 5.46% · p75 49.29% · n=4

Hard Reject at ask

75.0%

Strong 0.0% · Pass 0.0%

Share where list exceeds FlipScout MAO at QDA defaults (12% required net / 4-mo carry / 2% slip). Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy at ask on Bid Tape; Bid $ free on sheets.