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Antioch, CA Flip MOS Underwriting Tape (94531)

FlipScout underwriting tape for Antioch, CA (94531) — 52 actives, 0 Verified / 32 Modeled. Absorption: Market frozen / inventory backpressure; sold_6m=22 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject % withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — sold liquidity and MOS remain the primary published signals.

Signal Narrative

Antioch, CA (94531) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=22 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 52 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 14.2 mo (Market frozen / inventory backpressure; velocity ≈ 3.7 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 0 Verified / 32 Modeled / 20 Unscored. Hard Reject % and Verified margins are withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — we do not invent ask-tape from Modeled comps. Directional Modeled ask margin median is +7.5% (n=32) — labeled Modeled, not Verified. Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.

Underwriting terminal

Neighborhood tape

As of 2026-07-30T06:48:16Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro

Quant Art

Neighborhood math

Sold liquidity + MOS primary · ask-tape pending Verified depth · 2026-07-30T06:48:16Z · daily snapshot

Absorption dial
14.2 MOS mo

MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 52 ÷ (22 ÷ 6) = 52 ÷ 3.7

Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12

Sold liquidity stripe
sold_6m 22 actives 52

monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 22 / 6 = 3.7 closings/mo

Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape

Ask-tape status

Verified ask sample too thin for Hard Reject % and Verified margin ladder (need ≥3 Verified-with-ARV). Verified actives: 0.

Modeled actives: 32 · Median Modeled ask margin: +7.5% (directional only — not Verified comps).

This Goldmine still underwrites via sold liquidity + MOS. Hard Reject rates publish when Verified-with-ARV depth clears n≥3.

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Underwriting method

Absorption / MOS

Market frozen / inventory backpressure

MOS 14.2 mo

sold_6m 22 · actives 52 · High confidence

22 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.

Total Listings

52

Verified 0 · Modeled 32 · Unscored 20

Median Modeled margin

7.5%

Directional Modeled ask tape · n=32 · not Verified comps

Rehab bands

Verified rehab $/sqft bands need deeper Verified sample.

Verified · condition tier $/sqft

Median Apex

N/A

Insufficient scored Apex sample (0-sentinel excluded)

Trajectory

Stable

Neighborhood enrichment signal

Honesty mix

0.0% Verified

Modeled 61.5% · Unscored 38.5%

List → ARV discount

—

Deep share — · n=—

Hold bleed pressure

—

Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro

Zero Verified actives — Hard Reject / margin tape withheld (Modeled-only).

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes

Active inventory

40 shown of 52 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $676,500 · mix V0/M40/U0

Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 94531. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.

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PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$769,9507.5% M53Modeled

Antioch, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$759,9007.5% M53Modeled

Antioch, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$738,0007.5% M53Modeled

Antioch, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$715,0007.5% M53Modeled

Antioch, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$699,8887.5% M53Modeled

Antioch, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$699,0007.5% M53Modeled

Antioch, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$698,0007.5% M53Modeled

Antioch, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$695,0007.5% M53Modeled

Antioch, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$688,0007.5% M53Modeled

Antioch, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$659,0007.5% M53Modeled

Antioch, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$615,0007.5% M53Modeled

Antioch, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$599,8887.5% M53Modeled

Antioch, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$599,0007.5% M53Modeled

Antioch, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$529,8887.5% M53Modeled

Antioch, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$525,0007.5% M53Modeled

Antioch, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$515,0007.5% M53Modeled

Antioch, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$500,0007.5% M53Modeled

Antioch, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$599,0007.5% M53Modeled

Antioch, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$799,0007.5% M53Modeled

Antioch, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$659,0007.4% M53Modeled

Antioch, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$789,0007.4% M53Modeled

Antioch, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$579,9507.4% M53Modeled

Antioch, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$580,0007.4% M53Modeled

Antioch, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$792,9007.4% M53Modeled

Antioch, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$665,0007.4% M53Modeled

Antioch, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$770,0007.3% M53Modeled

Antioch, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$589,9007.3% M53Modeled

Antioch, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$799,9992.2% M49Modeled

Antioch, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$599,0002.1% M49Modeled

Antioch, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$599,8882.1% M49Modeled

Antioch, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$749,5001.6% M49Modeled

Antioch, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$750,0001.6% M49Modeled

Antioch, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$699,000——Modeled

Antioch, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$629,000——Modeled

Antioch, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$524,000——Modeled

Antioch, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$335,000——Modeled

Antioch, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$659,000——Modeled

Antioch, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$719,950——Modeled

Antioch, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$690,000——Modeled

Antioch, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$749,900——Modeled

Antioch, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief

Verified Invest Deals

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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — actives are Modeled or unscored; honesty gate withholds the invest feed.

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