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Fremont, CA Hard Reject Underwriting Tape (94538)

FlipScout underwriting tape for Fremont, CA (94538) — 14 actives, 5 Verified / 5 Modeled. Absorption: Seller-leaning absorption; sold_6m=155 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject rate 100.0% on Verified w/ ARV (QDA defaults — Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy on Bid Tape; Bid $ free).

Signal Narrative

Fremont, CA (94538) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=155 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 14 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 0.5 mo (Seller-leaning absorption; velocity ≈ 25.8 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 5 Verified / 5 Modeled / 4 Unscored. Hard Reject at ask 100.0% on Verified-with-ARV (QDA defaults — rates only on free hubs). Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.

Underwriting terminal

Neighborhood tape

As of 2026-07-30T06:32:10Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro

Quant Art

Neighborhood math

Backed by FlipScout solds + Verified ask tape · 2026-07-30T06:32:10Z · daily snapshot

Absorption dial
0.5 MOS mo

MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 14 ÷ (155 ÷ 6) = 14 ÷ 25.8

Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12

Sold liquidity stripe
sold_6m 155 actives 14

monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 155 / 6 = 25.8 closings/mo

Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape

Margin quantile ladder
0% p25 -0.2%med +2.2%p75 +8.7%

gross_margin% = (ARV − list − rehab) / list · Verified actives @ ask

Universe: Verified ask tape · n=5 · not sold-comp ROI

Hard Reject ring
100% at ask

HardReject% = list_above_mao / Verified_w_ARV = 5 / 5

QDA defaults: 12% required net · 4-mo carry · 2% slip · Bid $ free on tape

Absorption / MOS

Seller-leaning absorption

MOS 0.5 mo

sold_6m 155 · actives 14 · High confidence

155 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.

Total Listings

14

Verified 5 · Modeled 5 · Unscored 4

Median Verified margin

2.2%

p25 -0.17% · p75 8.7% · n=5

Hard Reject at ask

100.0%

Strong 0.0% · Pass 0.0%

Share where list exceeds FlipScout MAO at QDA defaults (12% required net / 4-mo carry / 2% slip). Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy at ask on Bid Tape; Bid $ free on sheets.

Rehab bands

T2$88.94/sqft · n=5

Verified · condition tier $/sqft

Median Apex

49.0

Hot 0.0% · n=5

Trajectory

Stable

Neighborhood enrichment signal

Honesty mix

35.7% Verified

Modeled 35.7% · Unscored 28.6%

List → ARV discount

17.22%

Deep share 0.0% · n=5

Hold bleed pressure

$150–$200/day

Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro

Condo/SFR split withheld — need ≥8 Verified per class.

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes

Active inventory

14 shown of 14 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $594,500 · mix V5/M9/U0

Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 94538. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.

Browse all in Houses →
PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$448,8884.3% V50Verified

Fremont, CA · Verified listing

Open brief$460,0004.1% V50Verified

Fremont, CA · Verified listing

Open brief$588,8882.2% V49Verified

Fremont, CA · Verified listing

Open brief$599,0002.1% V49Verified

Fremont, CA · Verified listing

Open brief$599,9002.0% V49Verified

Fremont, CA · Verified listing

Open brief$449,0007.5% M53Modeled

Fremont, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$599,0002.1% M49Modeled

Fremont, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$748,0000.7% M48Modeled

Fremont, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$779,8000.5% M48Modeled

Fremont, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$788,0000.4% M48Modeled

Fremont, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$590,000——Modeled

Fremont, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$399,900——Modeled

Fremont, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$399,900——Modeled

Fremont, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$700,000——Modeled

Fremont, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief

Verified Invest Deals

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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — 100% of Verified actives with ARV screen Hard Reject at ask under FlipScout QDA defaults.

US Goldmine Atlas

Sold-density underwriting terminals nationwide. Browse all Goldmines · Absorption regimes · Fix & flip underwriting · Methodology · Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Markets hub · California Goldmines

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