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FlipScout Dealpedia

Martinez, CA Flip MOS Underwriting Tape (94553)

FlipScout underwriting tape for Martinez, CA (94553) — 74 actives, 0 Verified / 26 Modeled. Absorption: Seller-leaning absorption; sold_6m=186 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject % withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — sold liquidity and MOS remain the primary published signals.

Signal Narrative

Martinez, CA (94553) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=186 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 74 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 2.4 mo (Seller-leaning absorption; velocity ≈ 31.0 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 0 Verified / 26 Modeled / 48 Unscored. Hard Reject % and Verified margins are withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — we do not invent ask-tape from Modeled comps. Directional Modeled ask margin median is +4.3% (n=26) — labeled Modeled, not Verified. Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.

Underwriting terminal

Neighborhood tape

As of 2026-07-28T06:09:36Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro

Quant Art

Neighborhood math

Sold liquidity + MOS primary · ask-tape pending Verified depth · 2026-07-28T06:09:36Z · daily snapshot

Absorption dial
2.4 MOS mo

MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 74 ÷ (186 ÷ 6) = 74 ÷ 31.0

Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12

Sold liquidity stripe
sold_6m 186 actives 74

monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 186 / 6 = 31.0 closings/mo

Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape

Ask-tape status

Verified ask sample too thin for Hard Reject % and Verified margin ladder (need ≥3 Verified-with-ARV). Verified actives: 0.

Modeled actives: 26 · Median Modeled ask margin: +4.3% (directional only — not Verified comps).

This Goldmine still underwrites via sold liquidity + MOS. Hard Reject rates publish when Verified-with-ARV depth clears n≥3.

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Underwriting method

Absorption / MOS

Seller-leaning absorption

MOS 2.4 mo

sold_6m 186 · actives 74 · High confidence

186 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.

Total Listings

74

Verified 0 · Modeled 26 · Unscored 48

Median Modeled margin

4.3%

Directional Modeled ask tape · n=26 · not Verified comps

Rehab bands

Verified rehab $/sqft bands need deeper Verified sample.

Verified · condition tier $/sqft

Median Apex

N/A

Insufficient scored Apex sample (0-sentinel excluded)

Trajectory

Stable

Neighborhood enrichment signal

Honesty mix

0.0% Verified

Modeled 35.1% · Unscored 64.9%

List → ARV discount

—

Deep share — · n=—

Hold bleed pressure

—

Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro

Zero Verified actives — Hard Reject / margin tape withheld (Modeled-only).

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes

Active inventory

40 shown of 74 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $692,000 · mix V0/M40/U0

Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 94553. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.

Browse all in Houses →
PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$749,0007.5% M53Modeled

Martinez, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$549,0007.5% M53Modeled

Martinez, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$529,9007.5% M53Modeled

Martinez, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$524,8007.5% M53Modeled

Martinez, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$500,0007.5% M53Modeled

Martinez, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$449,5007.5% M53Modeled

Martinez, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$439,0007.5% M53Modeled

Martinez, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$425,0007.5% M53Modeled

Martinez, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$419,5007.5% M53Modeled

Martinez, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$419,0007.5% M53Modeled

Martinez, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$400,0007.5% M53Modeled

Martinez, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$340,0007.5% M53Modeled

Martinez, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$339,0006.5% M52Modeled

Martinez, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$595,0002.2% M49Modeled

Martinez, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$600,0002.1% M49Modeled

Martinez, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$750,0001.6% M49Modeled

Martinez, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$730,0001.5% M48Modeled

Martinez, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$679,0001.5% M48Modeled

Martinez, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$749,9501.1% M48Modeled

Martinez, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$699,0001.1% M48Modeled

Martinez, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$725,0000.9% M48Modeled

Martinez, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$739,0000.9% M48Modeled

Martinez, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$745,0000.8% M48Modeled

Martinez, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$695,0000.8% M48Modeled

Martinez, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$799,8880.8% M48Modeled

Martinez, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$749,0000.7% M48Modeled

Martinez, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$695,000——Modeled

Martinez, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$799,000——Modeled

Martinez, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$725,000——Modeled

Martinez, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$699,000——Modeled

Martinez, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$710,000——Modeled

Martinez, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$725,000——Modeled

Martinez, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$719,000——Modeled

Martinez, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$599,000——Modeled

Martinez, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$689,000——Modeled

Martinez, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$779,000——Modeled

Martinez, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$499,000——Modeled

Martinez, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$789,000——Modeled

Martinez, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$639,000——Modeled

Martinez, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief$689,000——Modeled

Martinez, CA · Modeled listing

Open brief

Verified Invest Deals

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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — actives are Modeled or unscored; honesty gate withholds the invest feed.

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