Absorption / MOS
Seller-leaning absorption
MOS 2.3 mo
sold_6m 187 · actives 73 · High confidence
187 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.
Free: Hard Reject rates, MOS, Verified/Modeled mix. Pro $15/mo: street addresses + MAO $. Methodology
FlipScout Dealpedia
Pittsburg, CA Hard Reject Underwriting Tape (94565)
FlipScout underwriting tape for Pittsburg, CA (94565) — 73 actives, 8 Verified / 22 Modeled. Absorption: Seller-leaning absorption; sold_6m=187 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject rate 100.0% on Verified w/ ARV (QDA defaults — Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy on Bid Tape; Bid $ free).
Signal Narrative
Pittsburg, CA (94565) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=187 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 73 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 2.3 mo (Seller-leaning absorption; velocity ≈ 31.2 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 8 Verified / 22 Modeled / 43 Unscored. Hard Reject at ask 100.0% on Verified-with-ARV (QDA defaults — rates only on free hubs). Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.
Underwriting terminal
Neighborhood tape
As of 2026-07-31T06:16:25Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro
Quant Art
Neighborhood math
Backed by FlipScout solds + Verified ask tape · 2026-07-31T06:16:25Z · daily snapshot
MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 73 ÷ (187 ÷ 6) = 73 ÷ 31.2
Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12
monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 187 / 6 = 31.2 closings/mo
Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape
gross_margin% = (ARV − list − rehab) / list · Verified actives @ ask
Universe: Verified ask tape · n=8 · not sold-comp ROI
HardReject% = list_above_mao / Verified_w_ARV = 8 / 8
QDA defaults: 12% required net · 4-mo carry · 2% slip · Bid $ free on tape
Total Listings
73
Verified 8 · Modeled 22 · Unscored 43
Median Verified margin
-15.06%
p25 -36.27% · p75 -4.48% · n=8
Hard Reject at ask
100.0%
Strong 0.0% · Pass 0.0%
Share where list exceeds FlipScout MAO at QDA defaults (12% required net / 4-mo carry / 2% slip). Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy at ask on Bid Tape; Bid $ free on sheets.
Rehab bands
T2$47.5/sqft · n=8
Verified · condition tier $/sqft
Median Apex
49.45
Hot 0.0% · n=8
Trajectory
Stable
Neighborhood enrichment signal
Honesty mix
11.0% Verified
Modeled 30.1% · Unscored 58.9%
List → ARV discount
4.41%
Deep share 0.0% · n=8
Hold bleed pressure
$150–$200/day
Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro
Condo/SFR split withheld — need ≥8 Verified per class.
Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes
Active inventory
40 shown of 73 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $575,000 · mix V8/M32/U0
Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 94565. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.
PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$315,0008.6% V54VerifiedPittsburg, CA · Verified listing
Open brief
$460,0004.2% V50VerifiedPittsburg, CA · Verified listing
Open brief
$510,0004.1% V50VerifiedPittsburg, CA · Verified listing
Open brief
$584,0003.0% V50VerifiedPittsburg, CA · Verified listing
Open brief
$624,0002.6% V49VerifiedPittsburg, CA · Verified listing
Open brief
$599,0002.4% V49VerifiedPittsburg, CA · Verified listing
Open brief
$725,0002.3% V49VerifiedPittsburg, CA · Verified listing
Open brief
$758,0001.2% V48VerifiedPittsburg, CA · Verified listing
Open brief
$600,0007.5% M53ModeledPittsburg, CA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$595,0007.5% M53ModeledPittsburg, CA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$585,0007.5% M53ModeledPittsburg, CA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$580,0007.5% M53ModeledPittsburg, CA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$563,0007.5% M53ModeledPittsburg, CA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$499,0007.5% M53ModeledPittsburg, CA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$495,0007.5% M53ModeledPittsburg, CA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$411,5007.5% M53ModeledPittsburg, CA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$400,0007.5% M53ModeledPittsburg, CA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$399,0007.5% M53ModeledPittsburg, CA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$399,0007.5% M53ModeledPittsburg, CA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$315,0007.5% M53ModeledPittsburg, CA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$279,0007.5% M53ModeledPittsburg, CA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$229,0007.5% M53ModeledPittsburg, CA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$175,0007.5% M53ModeledPittsburg, CA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$600,0007.3% M53ModeledPittsburg, CA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$680,0002.2% M49ModeledPittsburg, CA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$599,0002.1% M49ModeledPittsburg, CA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$570,0002.1% M49ModeledPittsburg, CA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$690,8701.9% M49ModeledPittsburg, CA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$629,0001.8% M49ModeledPittsburg, CA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$739,0001.2% M48ModeledPittsburg, CA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$749,000——ModeledPittsburg, CA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$525,000——ModeledPittsburg, CA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$689,000——ModeledPittsburg, CA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$749,990——ModeledPittsburg, CA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$478,000——ModeledPittsburg, CA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$460,000——ModeledPittsburg, CA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$625,000——ModeledPittsburg, CA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$440,000——ModeledPittsburg, CA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$631,000——ModeledPittsburg, CA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$499,000——ModeledPittsburg, CA · Modeled listing
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PriceMarginApexAddress
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US Goldmine Atlas
Sold-density underwriting terminals nationwide. Browse all Goldmines · Absorption regimes · Fix & flip underwriting · Methodology · Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Markets hub · California Goldmines