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Maple Valley, WA Flip MOS Underwriting Tape (98038)

FlipScout underwriting tape for Maple Valley, WA (98038) — 77 actives, 0 Verified / 15 Modeled. Absorption: Market frozen / inventory backpressure; sold_6m=29 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject % withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — sold liquidity and MOS remain the primary published signals.

Signal Narrative

Maple Valley, WA (98038) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=29 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 77 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 15.9 mo (Market frozen / inventory backpressure; velocity ≈ 4.8 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 0 Verified / 15 Modeled / 62 Unscored. Hard Reject % and Verified margins are withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — we do not invent ask-tape from Modeled comps. Directional Modeled ask margin median is +1.8% (n=15) — labeled Modeled, not Verified. Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.

Underwriting terminal

Neighborhood tape

As of 2026-07-30T06:45:36Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro

Quant Art

Neighborhood math

Sold liquidity + MOS primary · ask-tape pending Verified depth · 2026-07-30T06:45:36Z · daily snapshot

Absorption dial
15.9 MOS mo

MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 77 ÷ (29 ÷ 6) = 77 ÷ 4.8

Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12

Sold liquidity stripe
sold_6m 29 actives 77

monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 29 / 6 = 4.8 closings/mo

Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape

Ask-tape status

Verified ask sample too thin for Hard Reject % and Verified margin ladder (need ≥3 Verified-with-ARV). Verified actives: 0.

Modeled actives: 15 · Median Modeled ask margin: +1.8% (directional only — not Verified comps).

This Goldmine still underwrites via sold liquidity + MOS. Hard Reject rates publish when Verified-with-ARV depth clears n≥3.

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Underwriting method

Absorption / MOS

Market frozen / inventory backpressure

MOS 15.9 mo

sold_6m 29 · actives 77 · High confidence

29 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.

Total Listings

77

Verified 0 · Modeled 15 · Unscored 62

Median Modeled margin

1.8%

Directional Modeled ask tape · n=15 · not Verified comps

Rehab bands

Verified rehab $/sqft bands need deeper Verified sample.

Verified · condition tier $/sqft

Median Apex

N/A

Insufficient scored Apex sample (0-sentinel excluded)

Trajectory

Stable

Neighborhood enrichment signal

Honesty mix

0.0% Verified

Modeled 19.5% · Unscored 80.5%

List → ARV discount

—

Deep share — · n=—

Hold bleed pressure

—

Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro

Zero Verified actives — Hard Reject / margin tape withheld (Modeled-only).

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes

Active inventory

40 shown of 77 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $681,425 · mix V0/M40/U0

Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 98038. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.

Browse all in Houses →
PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$699,0007.5% M53Modeled

Maple Valley, WA · Modeled listing

Open brief$585,0007.5% M53Modeled

Maple Valley, WA · Modeled listing

Open brief$529,9957.5% M53Modeled

Maple Valley, WA · Modeled listing

Open brief$515,0007.5% M53Modeled

Maple Valley, WA · Modeled listing

Open brief$500,0007.5% M53Modeled

Maple Valley, WA · Modeled listing

Open brief$429,5007.5% M53Modeled

Maple Valley, WA · Modeled listing

Open brief$565,0002.2% M49Modeled

Maple Valley, WA · Modeled listing

Open brief$695,9501.8% M49Modeled

Maple Valley, WA · Modeled listing

Open brief$650,0001.7% M49Modeled

Maple Valley, WA · Modeled listing

Open brief$650,0001.7% M49Modeled

Maple Valley, WA · Modeled listing

Open brief$617,4501.6% M49Modeled

Maple Valley, WA · Modeled listing

Open brief$715,0001.5% M48Modeled

Maple Valley, WA · Modeled listing

Open brief$650,0001.2% M48Modeled

Maple Valley, WA · Modeled listing

Open brief$715,0001.0% M48Modeled

Maple Valley, WA · Modeled listing

Open brief$749,0000.8% M48Modeled

Maple Valley, WA · Modeled listing

Open brief$538,000——Modeled

Maple Valley, WA · Modeled listing

Open brief$599,990——Modeled

Maple Valley, WA · Modeled listing

Open brief$759,000——Modeled

Maple Valley, WA · Modeled listing

Open brief$764,950——Modeled

Maple Valley, WA · Modeled listing

Open brief$759,950——Modeled

Maple Valley, WA · Modeled listing

Open brief$649,950——Modeled

Maple Valley, WA · Modeled listing

Open brief$479,000——Modeled

Maple Valley, WA · Modeled listing

Open brief$699,950——Modeled

Maple Valley, WA · Modeled listing

Open brief$750,000——Modeled

Maple Valley, WA · Modeled listing

Open brief$499,950——Modeled

Maple Valley, WA · Modeled listing

Open brief$679,950——Modeled

Maple Valley, WA · Modeled listing

Open brief$682,900——Modeled

Maple Valley, WA · Modeled listing

Open brief$780,000——Modeled

Maple Valley, WA · Modeled listing

Open brief$725,000——Modeled

Maple Valley, WA · Modeled listing

Open brief$685,000——Modeled

Maple Valley, WA · Modeled listing

Open brief$699,950——Modeled

Maple Valley, WA · Modeled listing

Open brief$695,000——Modeled

Maple Valley, WA · Modeled listing

Open brief$715,000——Modeled

Maple Valley, WA · Modeled listing

Open brief$514,950——Modeled

Maple Valley, WA · Modeled listing

Open brief$760,400——Modeled

Maple Valley, WA · Modeled listing

Open brief$565,000——Modeled

Maple Valley, WA · Modeled listing

Open brief$469,990——Modeled

Maple Valley, WA · Modeled listing

Open brief$774,999——Modeled

Maple Valley, WA · Modeled listing

Open brief$725,000——Modeled

Maple Valley, WA · Modeled listing

Open brief$569,950——Modeled

Maple Valley, WA · Modeled listing

Open brief

Verified Invest Deals

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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — actives are Modeled or unscored; honesty gate withholds the invest feed.

US Goldmine Atlas

Sold-density underwriting terminals nationwide. Browse all Goldmines · Absorption regimes · Fix & flip underwriting · Methodology · Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Markets hub · Washington Goldmines

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