Absorption / MOS
Seller-leaning absorption
MOS 2.3 mo
sold_6m 187 · actives 71 · High confidence
187 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.
Free: Hard Reject rates, MOS, Verified/Modeled mix. Pro $15/mo: street addresses + MAO $. Methodology
FlipScout Dealpedia
Seattle, WA Hard Reject Underwriting Tape (98115)
FlipScout underwriting tape for Seattle, WA (98115) — 71 actives, 5 Verified / 8 Modeled. Absorption: Seller-leaning absorption; sold_6m=187 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject rate 100.0% on Verified w/ ARV (QDA defaults — Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy on Bid Tape; Bid $ free).
Signal Narrative
Seattle, WA (98115) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=187 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 71 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 2.3 mo (Seller-leaning absorption; velocity ≈ 31.2 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 5 Verified / 8 Modeled / 58 Unscored. Hard Reject at ask 100.0% on Verified-with-ARV (QDA defaults — rates only on free hubs). Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.
Underwriting terminal
Neighborhood tape
As of 2026-07-30T06:08:26Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro
Quant Art
Neighborhood math
Backed by FlipScout solds + Verified ask tape · 2026-07-30T06:08:26Z · daily snapshot
MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 71 ÷ (187 ÷ 6) = 71 ÷ 31.2
Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12
monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 187 / 6 = 31.2 closings/mo
Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape
gross_margin% = (ARV − list − rehab) / list · Verified actives @ ask
Universe: Verified ask tape · n=5 · not sold-comp ROI
HardReject% = list_above_mao / Verified_w_ARV = 5 / 5
QDA defaults: 12% required net · 4-mo carry · 2% slip · Bid $ free on tape
Total Listings
71
Verified 5 · Modeled 8 · Unscored 58
Median Verified margin
-26.0%
p25 -42.17% · p75 2.61% · n=5
Hard Reject at ask
100.0%
Strong 0.0% · Pass 0.0%
Share where list exceeds FlipScout MAO at QDA defaults (12% required net / 4-mo carry / 2% slip). Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy at ask on Bid Tape; Bid $ free on sheets.
Rehab bands
T2$92.03/sqft · n=5
Verified · condition tier $/sqft
Median Apex
50.6
Hot 0.0% · n=5
Trajectory
Stable
Neighborhood enrichment signal
Honesty mix
7.0% Verified
Modeled 11.3% · Unscored 81.7%
List → ARV discount
-3.41%
Deep share 0.0% · n=5
Hold bleed pressure
$100–$150/day
Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro
Condo/SFR split withheld — need ≥8 Verified per class.
Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes
Active inventory
40 shown of 71 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $627,000 · mix V5/M35/U0
Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 98115. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.
PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$319,3607.9% V53VerifiedSeattle, WA · Verified listing
Open brief
$360,0006.3% V52VerifiedSeattle, WA · Verified listing
Open brief
$449,5004.5% V51VerifiedSeattle, WA · Verified listing
Open brief
$735,0000.7% V48VerifiedSeattle, WA · Verified listing
Open brief
$769,9000.6% V48VerifiedSeattle, WA · Verified listing
Open brief
$449,9997.5% M53ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$390,0007.5% M53ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$375,0007.5% M53ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$375,0007.5% M53ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$375,0007.5% M53ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$275,0007.5% M53ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$599,0002.1% M49ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$638,0001.7% M49ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$799,950——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$739,950——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$535,000——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$749,995——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$749,950——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$699,950——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$799,950——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$725,000——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$429,000——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$754,950——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$280,000——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$629,000——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$275,000——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$645,000——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$599,000——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$299,000——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$795,000——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$625,000——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$449,950——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$360,000——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$700,000——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$749,000——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$789,950——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$685,800——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$775,000——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$599,990——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$760,000——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — 100% of Verified actives with ARV screen Hard Reject at ask under FlipScout QDA defaults.
US Goldmine Atlas
Sold-density underwriting terminals nationwide. Browse all Goldmines · Absorption regimes · Fix & flip underwriting · Methodology · Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Markets hub · Washington Goldmines