Absorption / MOS
Balanced absorption
MOS 4.3 mo
sold_6m 195 · actives 140 · High confidence
195 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.
Free: Hard Reject rates, MOS, Verified/Modeled mix. Pro $15/mo: street addresses + MAO $. Methodology
FlipScout Dealpedia
Marysville, WA Hard Reject Underwriting Tape (98270)
FlipScout underwriting tape for Marysville, WA (98270) — 140 actives, 5 Verified / 21 Modeled. Absorption: Balanced absorption; sold_6m=195 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject rate 100.0% on Verified w/ ARV (QDA defaults — Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy on Bid Tape; Bid $ free).
Signal Narrative
Marysville, WA (98270) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=195 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 140 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 4.3 mo (Balanced absorption; velocity ≈ 32.5 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 5 Verified / 21 Modeled / 114 Unscored. Hard Reject at ask 100.0% on Verified-with-ARV (QDA defaults — rates only on free hubs). Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.
Underwriting terminal
Neighborhood tape
As of 2026-07-28T06:01:07Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro
Quant Art
Neighborhood math
Backed by FlipScout solds + Verified ask tape · 2026-07-28T06:01:07Z · daily snapshot
MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 140 ÷ (195 ÷ 6) = 140 ÷ 32.5
Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12
monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 195 / 6 = 32.5 closings/mo
Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape
gross_margin% = (ARV − list − rehab) / list · Verified actives @ ask
Universe: Verified ask tape · n=5 · not sold-comp ROI
HardReject% = list_above_mao / Verified_w_ARV = 5 / 5
QDA defaults: 12% required net · 4-mo carry · 2% slip · Bid $ free on tape
Total Listings
140
Verified 5 · Modeled 21 · Unscored 114
Median Verified margin
-8.4%
p25 -26.99% · p75 4.43% · n=5
Hard Reject at ask
100.0%
Strong 0.0% · Pass 0.0%
Share where list exceeds FlipScout MAO at QDA defaults (12% required net / 4-mo carry / 2% slip). Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy at ask on Bid Tape; Bid $ free on sheets.
Rehab bands
T2$43.86/sqft · n=5
Verified · condition tier $/sqft
Median Apex
48.8
Hot 0.0% · n=5
Trajectory
Stable
Neighborhood enrichment signal
Honesty mix
3.6% Verified
Modeled 15.0% · Unscored 81.4%
List → ARV discount
4.52%
Deep share 0.0% · n=5
Hold bleed pressure
$150–$200/day
Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro
Condo/SFR split withheld — need ≥8 Verified per class.
Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes
Active inventory
40 shown of 140 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $694,722 · mix V5/M35/U0
Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 98270. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.
PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$549,0003.1% V50VerifiedMarysville, WA · Verified listing
Open brief
$572,9502.9% V50VerifiedMarysville, WA · Verified listing
Open brief
$725,0001.9% V49VerifiedMarysville, WA · Verified listing
Open brief
$684,9901.9% V49VerifiedMarysville, WA · Verified listing
Open brief
$739,9501.5% V48VerifiedMarysville, WA · Verified listing
Open brief
$764,9507.5% M53ModeledMarysville, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$764,9507.5% M53ModeledMarysville, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$719,9507.5% M53ModeledMarysville, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$699,9507.5% M53ModeledMarysville, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$684,9907.5% M53ModeledMarysville, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$599,9907.5% M53ModeledMarysville, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$595,0007.5% M53ModeledMarysville, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$564,9507.5% M53ModeledMarysville, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$559,9507.5% M53ModeledMarysville, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$559,9507.5% M53ModeledMarysville, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$554,9507.5% M53ModeledMarysville, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$542,9507.5% M53ModeledMarysville, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$475,0007.5% M53ModeledMarysville, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$799,0007.3% M53ModeledMarysville, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$782,6007.3% M53ModeledMarysville, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$599,9902.1% M49ModeledMarysville, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$624,0002.0% M49ModeledMarysville, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$629,9501.8% M49ModeledMarysville, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$633,5811.8% M49ModeledMarysville, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$763,4381.0% M48ModeledMarysville, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$773,8300.9% M48ModeledMarysville, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$689,950——ModeledMarysville, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$730,950——ModeledMarysville, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$774,990——ModeledMarysville, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$699,495——ModeledMarysville, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$649,990——ModeledMarysville, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$664,900——ModeledMarysville, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$789,950——ModeledMarysville, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$628,950——ModeledMarysville, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$699,900——ModeledMarysville, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$784,950——ModeledMarysville, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$749,990——ModeledMarysville, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief$784,613——ModeledMarysville, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$799,990——ModeledMarysville, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$793,495——ModeledMarysville, WA · Modeled listing
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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — 100% of Verified actives with ARV screen Hard Reject at ask under FlipScout QDA defaults.
US Goldmine Atlas
Sold-density underwriting terminals nationwide. Browse all Goldmines · Absorption regimes · Fix & flip underwriting · Methodology · Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Markets hub · Washington Goldmines