Absorption / MOS
Seller-leaning absorption
MOS 1.8 mo
sold_6m 188 · actives 55 · High confidence
188 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.
Free: Hard Reject rates, MOS, Verified/Modeled mix. Pro $15/mo: street addresses + MAO $. Methodology
FlipScout Dealpedia
Seattle, WA Hard Reject Underwriting Tape (98122)
FlipScout underwriting tape for Seattle, WA (98122) — 55 actives, 4 Verified / 15 Modeled. Absorption: Seller-leaning absorption; sold_6m=188 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject rate 100.0% on Verified w/ ARV (QDA defaults — Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy on Bid Tape; Bid $ free).
Signal Narrative
Seattle, WA (98122) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=188 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 55 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 1.8 mo (Seller-leaning absorption; velocity ≈ 31.3 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 4 Verified / 15 Modeled / 36 Unscored. Hard Reject at ask 100.0% on Verified-with-ARV (QDA defaults — rates only on free hubs). Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.
Underwriting terminal
Neighborhood tape
As of 2026-07-30T06:08:11Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro
Quant Art
Neighborhood math
Backed by FlipScout solds + Verified ask tape · 2026-07-30T06:08:11Z · daily snapshot
MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 55 ÷ (188 ÷ 6) = 55 ÷ 31.3
Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12
monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 188 / 6 = 31.3 closings/mo
Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape
gross_margin% = (ARV − list − rehab) / list · Verified actives @ ask
Universe: Verified ask tape · n=4 · not sold-comp ROI
HardReject% = list_above_mao / Verified_w_ARV = 4 / 4
QDA defaults: 12% required net · 4-mo carry · 2% slip · Bid $ free on tape
Total Listings
55
Verified 4 · Modeled 15 · Unscored 36
Median Verified margin
-24.62%
p25 -46.9% · p75 -4.59% · n=4
Hard Reject at ask
100.0%
Strong 0.0% · Pass 0.0%
Share where list exceeds FlipScout MAO at QDA defaults (12% required net / 4-mo carry / 2% slip). Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy at ask on Bid Tape; Bid $ free on sheets.
Rehab bands
T2$86.84/sqft · n=4
Verified · condition tier $/sqft
Median Apex
49.15
Hot 0.0% · n=4
Trajectory
Stable
Neighborhood enrichment signal
Honesty mix
7.3% Verified
Modeled 27.3% · Unscored 65.5%
List → ARV discount
-10.0%
Deep share 0.0% · n=4
Hold bleed pressure
$150–$200/day
Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro
Condo/SFR split withheld — need ≥8 Verified per class.
Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes
Active inventory
40 shown of 55 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $613,250 · mix V4/M36/U0
Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 98122. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.
PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$424,0004.8% V51VerifiedSeattle, WA · Verified listing
Open brief
$499,5003.2% V50VerifiedSeattle, WA · Verified listing
Open brief
$699,0001.6% V49VerifiedSeattle, WA · Verified listing
Open brief
$649,9501.6% V49VerifiedSeattle, WA · Verified listing
Open brief
$725,0007.5% M53ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$549,0007.5% M53ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$479,0007.5% M53ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$475,0007.5% M53ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$460,0007.5% M53ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$430,0007.5% M53ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$290,0007.5% M53ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$600,0007.3% M53ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$599,9002.1% M49ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$609,9502.0% M49ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$679,0001.3% M48ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$739,9001.2% M48ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$699,0001.1% M48ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$699,9991.1% M48ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$715,0000.9% M48ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$460,000——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$799,000——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$530,000——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$750,000——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$616,550——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$699,950——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$749,950——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$597,500——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$399,950——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$449,000——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$700,000——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$705,000——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$410,000——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$674,990——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$699,900——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$685,000——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$375,000——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$799,950——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$599,000——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$549,900——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
Open brief
$700,000——ModeledSeattle, WA · Modeled listing
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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — 100% of Verified actives with ARV screen Hard Reject at ask under FlipScout QDA defaults.
US Goldmine Atlas
Sold-density underwriting terminals nationwide. Browse all Goldmines · Absorption regimes · Fix & flip underwriting · Methodology · Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Markets hub · Washington Goldmines