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Montclair, NJ Hard Reject Underwriting Tape (07042)

FlipScout underwriting tape for Montclair, NJ (07042) — 5 actives, 5 Verified / 0 Modeled. Absorption: Seller-leaning absorption; sold_6m=39 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject rate 100.0% on Verified w/ ARV (QDA defaults — Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy on Bid Tape; Bid $ free).

Signal Narrative

Montclair, NJ (07042) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=39 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 5 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 0.8 mo (Seller-leaning absorption; velocity ≈ 6.5 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 5 Verified / 0 Modeled / 0 Unscored. Hard Reject at ask 100.0% on Verified-with-ARV (QDA defaults — rates only on free hubs). Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.

Underwriting terminal

Neighborhood tape

As of 2026-07-31T06:42:06Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro

Quant Art

Neighborhood math

Backed by FlipScout solds + Verified ask tape · 2026-07-31T06:42:06Z · daily snapshot

Absorption dial
0.8 MOS mo

MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 5 ÷ (39 ÷ 6) = 5 ÷ 6.5

Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12

Sold liquidity stripe
sold_6m 39 actives 5

monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 39 / 6 = 6.5 closings/mo

Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape

Margin quantile ladder
0% p25 -22.3%med -15.1%p75 -11.1%

gross_margin% = (ARV − list − rehab) / list · Verified actives @ ask

Universe: Verified ask tape · n=5 · not sold-comp ROI

Hard Reject ring
100% at ask

HardReject% = list_above_mao / Verified_w_ARV = 5 / 5

QDA defaults: 12% required net · 4-mo carry · 2% slip · Bid $ free on tape

Absorption / MOS

Seller-leaning absorption

MOS 0.8 mo

sold_6m 39 · actives 5 · High confidence

39 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.

Total Listings

5

Verified 5 · Modeled 0

Median Verified margin

-15.11%

p25 -22.27% · p75 -11.09% · n=5

Hard Reject at ask

100.0%

Strong 0.0% · Pass 0.0%

Share where list exceeds FlipScout MAO at QDA defaults (12% required net / 4-mo carry / 2% slip). Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy at ask on Bid Tape; Bid $ free on sheets.

Rehab bands

T2$51.75/sqft · n=3
T3$51.75/sqft · n=2

Verified · condition tier $/sqft

Median Apex

28.5

Hot 0.0% · n=5

Trajectory

Declining

Neighborhood enrichment signal

Honesty mix

100.0% Verified

Modeled 0.0% · Unscored 0.0%

List → ARV discount

-3.33%

Deep share 0.0% · n=5

Hold bleed pressure

$100–$150/day

Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro

Condo/SFR split withheld — need ≥8 Verified per class.

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes

Active inventory

5 shown of 5 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $549,000 · mix V5/M0/U0

Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 07042. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.

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PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$450,0001.3% V29Verified

Montclair, NJ · Verified listing

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$549,0001.1% V29Verified

Montclair, NJ · Verified listing

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$699,0000.9% V21Verified

Montclair, NJ · Verified listing

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$714,9900.6% V28Verified

Montclair, NJ · Verified listing

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$389,0000.2% V25Verified

Montclair, NJ · Verified listing

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Verified Invest Deals

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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — 100% of Verified actives with ARV screen Hard Reject at ask under FlipScout QDA defaults.

Neighboring Corridors

Analyzing adjacent investment corridors? Track live margins in Passaic, NJ (07055) and ZIP 07103 (07103).

US Goldmine Atlas

Sold-density underwriting terminals nationwide. Browse all Goldmines · Absorption regimes · Fix & flip underwriting · Methodology · Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Markets hub · New Jersey Goldmines

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