Absorption / MOS
Seller-leaning absorption
MOS 3.0 mo
sold_6m 81 · actives 41 · High confidence
81 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.
Free: Hard Reject rates, MOS, Verified/Modeled mix. Pro $15/mo: street addresses + MAO $. Methodology
FlipScout Dealpedia
Chicago, IL Hard Reject Underwriting Tape (60609)
FlipScout underwriting tape for Chicago, IL (60609) — 41 actives, 4 Verified / 28 Modeled. Absorption: Seller-leaning absorption; sold_6m=81 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject rate 100.0% on Verified w/ ARV (QDA defaults — Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy on Bid Tape; Bid $ free).
Signal Narrative
Chicago, IL (60609) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=81 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 41 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 3.0 mo (Seller-leaning absorption; velocity ≈ 13.5 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 4 Verified / 28 Modeled / 9 Unscored. Hard Reject at ask 100.0% on Verified-with-ARV (QDA defaults — rates only on free hubs). Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.
Underwriting terminal
Neighborhood tape
As of 2026-07-30T06:40:27Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro
Quant Art
Neighborhood math
Backed by FlipScout solds + Verified ask tape · 2026-07-30T06:40:27Z · daily snapshot
MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 41 ÷ (81 ÷ 6) = 41 ÷ 13.5
Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12
monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 81 / 6 = 13.5 closings/mo
Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape
gross_margin% = (ARV − list − rehab) / list · Verified actives @ ask
Universe: Verified ask tape · n=4 · not sold-comp ROI
HardReject% = list_above_mao / Verified_w_ARV = 4 / 4
QDA defaults: 12% required net · 4-mo carry · 2% slip · Bid $ free on tape
Total Listings
41
Verified 4 · Modeled 28 · Unscored 9
Median Verified margin
-53.14%
p25 -70.05% · p75 -32.24% · n=4
Hard Reject at ask
100.0%
Strong 0.0% · Pass 0.0%
Share where list exceeds FlipScout MAO at QDA defaults (12% required net / 4-mo carry / 2% slip). Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy at ask on Bid Tape; Bid $ free on sheets.
Rehab bands
T2$64.7/sqft · n=4
Verified · condition tier $/sqft
Median Apex
52.25
Hot 0.0% · n=4
Trajectory
Stable
Neighborhood enrichment signal
Honesty mix
9.8% Verified
Modeled 68.3% · Unscored 22.0%
List → ARV discount
-42.11%
Deep share 0.0% · n=4
Hold bleed pressure
$100–$150/day
Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro
Condo/SFR split withheld — need ≥8 Verified per class.
Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes
Active inventory
40 shown of 41 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $259,500 · mix V4/M36/U0
Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 60609. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.
PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$289,00010.2% V55VerifiedChicago, IL · Verified listing
Open brief
$335,0007.6% V53VerifiedChicago, IL · Verified listing
Open brief
$398,0006.0% V52VerifiedChicago, IL · Verified listing
Open brief
$484,0005.0% V51VerifiedChicago, IL · Verified listing
Open brief
$729,0007.5% M53ModeledChicago, IL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$675,0007.5% M53ModeledChicago, IL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$540,7507.5% M53ModeledChicago, IL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$500,0007.5% M53ModeledChicago, IL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$450,0007.5% M53ModeledChicago, IL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$399,9007.5% M53ModeledChicago, IL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$340,0007.5% M53ModeledChicago, IL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$339,0007.5% M53ModeledChicago, IL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$278,0007.5% M53ModeledChicago, IL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$269,9007.5% M53ModeledChicago, IL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$265,0007.5% M53ModeledChicago, IL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$260,0007.5% M53ModeledChicago, IL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$259,0007.5% M53ModeledChicago, IL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$248,0007.5% M53ModeledChicago, IL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$238,0007.5% M53ModeledChicago, IL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$235,0007.5% M53ModeledChicago, IL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$229,9997.5% M53ModeledChicago, IL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$224,9007.5% M53ModeledChicago, IL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$219,9997.5% M53ModeledChicago, IL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$187,0007.5% M53ModeledChicago, IL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$179,9007.5% M53ModeledChicago, IL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$160,0007.5% M53ModeledChicago, IL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$149,9007.5% M53ModeledChicago, IL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$149,9007.5% M53ModeledChicago, IL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$130,0007.5% M53ModeledChicago, IL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$99,9007.5% M53ModeledChicago, IL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$99,7507.5% M53ModeledChicago, IL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$79,0007.5% M53ModeledChicago, IL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$299,000——ModeledChicago, IL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$135,000——ModeledChicago, IL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$135,900——ModeledChicago, IL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$385,000——ModeledChicago, IL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$249,900——ModeledChicago, IL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$399,900——ModeledChicago, IL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$225,000——ModeledChicago, IL · Modeled listing
Open brief
$384,900——ModeledChicago, IL · Modeled listing
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PriceMarginApexAddress
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US Goldmine Atlas
Sold-density underwriting terminals nationwide. Browse all Goldmines · Absorption regimes · Fix & flip underwriting · Methodology · Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Markets hub · Illinois Goldmines