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Chicago, IL Hard Reject Underwriting Tape (60629)

FlipScout underwriting tape for Chicago, IL (60629) — 41 actives, 5 Verified / 32 Modeled. Absorption: Seller-leaning absorption; sold_6m=106 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject rate 100.0% on Verified w/ ARV (QDA defaults — Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy on Bid Tape; Bid $ free).

Signal Narrative

Chicago, IL (60629) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=106 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 41 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 2.3 mo (Seller-leaning absorption; velocity ≈ 17.7 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 5 Verified / 32 Modeled / 4 Unscored. Hard Reject at ask 100.0% on Verified-with-ARV (QDA defaults — rates only on free hubs). Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.

Underwriting terminal

Neighborhood tape

As of 2026-07-29T06:29:59Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro

Quant Art

Neighborhood math

Backed by FlipScout solds + Verified ask tape · 2026-07-29T06:29:59Z · daily snapshot

Absorption dial
2.3 MOS mo

MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 41 ÷ (106 ÷ 6) = 41 ÷ 17.7

Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12

Sold liquidity stripe
sold_6m 106 actives 41

monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 106 / 6 = 17.7 closings/mo

Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape

Margin quantile ladder
0% p25 -55.2%med -46.8%p75 -18.2%

gross_margin% = (ARV − list − rehab) / list · Verified actives @ ask

Universe: Verified ask tape · n=5 · not sold-comp ROI

Hard Reject ring
100% at ask

HardReject% = list_above_mao / Verified_w_ARV = 5 / 5

QDA defaults: 12% required net · 4-mo carry · 2% slip · Bid $ free on tape

Absorption / MOS

Seller-leaning absorption

MOS 2.3 mo

sold_6m 106 · actives 41 · High confidence

106 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.

Total Listings

41

Verified 5 · Modeled 32 · Unscored 4

Median Verified margin

-46.78%

p25 -55.22% · p75 -18.23% · n=5

Hard Reject at ask

100.0%

Strong 0.0% · Pass 0.0%

Share where list exceeds FlipScout MAO at QDA defaults (12% required net / 4-mo carry / 2% slip). Hard Reject ≈ WALK-heavy at ask on Bid Tape; Bid $ free on sheets.

Rehab bands

T2$59.23/sqft · n=5

Verified · condition tier $/sqft

Median Apex

52.8

Hot 0.0% · n=5

Trajectory

Stable

Neighborhood enrichment signal

Honesty mix

12.2% Verified

Modeled 78.0% · Unscored 9.8%

List → ARV discount

-27.23%

Deep share 0.0% · n=5

Hold bleed pressure

$100–$150/day

Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro

Condo/SFR split withheld — need ≥8 Verified per class.

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes

Active inventory

40 shown of 41 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $324,000 · mix V5/M35/U0

Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 60629. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.

Browse all in Houses →
PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$210,00014.9% V58Verified

Chicago, IL · Verified listing

Open brief
$350,0007.7% V53Verified

Chicago, IL · Verified listing

Open brief
$355,0007.5% V53Verified

Chicago, IL · Verified listing

Open brief
$399,9907.0% V52Verified

Chicago, IL · Verified listing

Open brief
$399,7007.0% V52Verified

Chicago, IL · Verified listing

Open brief
$478,5007.5% M53Modeled

Chicago, IL · Modeled listing

Open brief
$420,0007.5% M53Modeled

Chicago, IL · Modeled listing

Open brief
$420,0007.5% M53Modeled

Chicago, IL · Modeled listing

Open brief
$419,9007.5% M53Modeled

Chicago, IL · Modeled listing

Open brief
$385,0007.5% M53Modeled

Chicago, IL · Modeled listing

Open brief
$379,9007.5% M53Modeled

Chicago, IL · Modeled listing

Open brief
$375,0007.5% M53Modeled

Chicago, IL · Modeled listing

Open brief
$364,9007.5% M53Modeled

Chicago, IL · Modeled listing

Open brief
$359,9007.5% M53Modeled

Chicago, IL · Modeled listing

Open brief
$359,9007.5% M53Modeled

Chicago, IL · Modeled listing

Open brief
$340,0007.5% M53Modeled

Chicago, IL · Modeled listing

Open brief
$337,5007.5% M53Modeled

Chicago, IL · Modeled listing

Open brief
$334,9007.5% M53Modeled

Chicago, IL · Modeled listing

Open brief
$329,0007.5% M53Modeled

Chicago, IL · Modeled listing

Open brief
$325,0007.5% M53Modeled

Chicago, IL · Modeled listing

Open brief
$323,0007.5% M53Modeled

Chicago, IL · Modeled listing

Open brief
$320,0007.5% M53Modeled

Chicago, IL · Modeled listing

Open brief
$310,0007.5% M53Modeled

Chicago, IL · Modeled listing

Open brief
$299,0007.5% M53Modeled

Chicago, IL · Modeled listing

Open brief
$299,0007.5% M53Modeled

Chicago, IL · Modeled listing

Open brief
$299,0007.5% M53Modeled

Chicago, IL · Modeled listing

Open brief
$274,9007.5% M53Modeled

Chicago, IL · Modeled listing

Open brief
$270,0007.5% M53Modeled

Chicago, IL · Modeled listing

Open brief
$264,9977.5% M53Modeled

Chicago, IL · Modeled listing

Open brief
$260,0007.5% M53Modeled

Chicago, IL · Modeled listing

Open brief
$250,0007.5% M53Modeled

Chicago, IL · Modeled listing

Open brief
$249,9997.5% M53Modeled

Chicago, IL · Modeled listing

Open brief
$219,9997.5% M53Modeled

Chicago, IL · Modeled listing

Open brief
$199,9007.5% M53Modeled

Chicago, IL · Modeled listing

Open brief
$175,0007.5% M53Modeled

Chicago, IL · Modeled listing

Open brief
$175,0007.5% M53Modeled

Chicago, IL · Modeled listing

Open brief
$114,9007.5% M53Modeled

Chicago, IL · Modeled listing

Open brief
$499,900Modeled

Chicago, IL · Modeled listing

Open brief
$275,000Modeled

Chicago, IL · Modeled listing

Open brief
$274,900Modeled

Chicago, IL · Modeled listing

Open brief

Verified Invest Deals

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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — 100% of Verified actives with ARV screen Hard Reject at ask under FlipScout QDA defaults.

US Goldmine Atlas

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